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Hot one night. it takes one clutch hit, and that thing can turn around pretty darn quickly. >> you have to believe they're going to start hitting at some point. it might be too late. >> you know, dream, dream, dream. >> it's a-rod you're talking about. >> if only we could hang a slider, we could come back on that. it ain't over. it ain't over. coming up next, behind the scenes of the campaign trail with paul ryan. mark joins us next to explain why he says paul ryan can't lose. [ lane ] your anti-wrinkle cream is gone...

So i think it's been hard to do. i think it's been more of a sense that this is someone who can do it rather than someone who can or is doing it in the day-to-day. >> he's not been on the ticket that long. but have we seen of your observation any evolution or growth in paul ryan as a national candidate? >> i think so. i mean, i think he really was pretty much ready fairly early on. he's been a national figure for a few years now. i think he's been used to doing town meetings in a national forum and doing a lot of national tv interviews. it's not like a sarah palin where he sort of zero to 70 i...

Debate. and i think the president will admit he did poorly in the first debate. but to hear the sky is falling, that's what you heard throughout the fall of 2007. he was terrible at debates, he wasn't punching back hard enough, he wasn't tough enough to be president of the united states and somehow he managed to become president of the united states. >> president of the united states. >> is history going to repeat itself again tonight? >> look, i think you're going to see an exceptionally strong debate performance from the president. he'll be energetic. we'll talk about as you all have been ta...

Because everyone else in the party kind of has to hang fire until she decides. everyone's frozen in place. when she looks at six months from now and she's 50 points ahead of every other democrat and the party's begging for her to run, it's going to be hard to say now and she'll more or less get the nomination by acclamation. >> mark, i wanted to ask you, if, in fact, ryan can't lose, he'll be bucking a historical trend. because the last vice president who really sort of had a second act was george h.w. bush. used to be getting on the ticket was your ticket to pressing forward. dan quayle, jack...

High. move on. but the romney people are not pleased with what happened over the last week. >> it goes without saying that romney has to win florida. but also the state of ohio. i sat here with mark haleprin yesterday and he's got an electoral college app on his ipad and went through all the scenarios. to win for mitt romney without ohio is very difficult. >> very difficult. >> he'll have to get both of those. he could do it without ohio, but he's got to win almost everything else. >> richard nixon used to say, you run for president as if you're running for governor of ohio. >> yeah. >> if you...