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Obama would win. 45%, mitt romney. of course, that's within the margin of error plus or minus 3%. >> good news with this particular poll regarding mr. romney is the fact that when it comes to independence and really, independents are the gigantic voting block out there these days, independents break for romney, 43% for him. barack obama just 38%. >> that's seen as the critical factor. >> of course. more and more people we've been telling you this year has registered as independents than ever before. huge part of the voting bloc right now, i believe it's almost to 40% of the people who actually...

Idea of raising the debt limit, and you can begin to understand why when you look at some other questions in the poll. most people, 55%, don't believe that failing to raise the debt ceiling would lead to a financial catastrophe. less than 40% do. this despite warnings from republicans and democrats that the first-ever default in u.s. history could lead to a global recession. meanwhile, the president's job approval rating still stuck below 50%, and it's slightly behind his disapproval rating though with a margin of error plus or minus 3%, they are statistically even. jon? jon: wendall goler at ...

Plains and now it's centered up through boston and northern new england. the windchill is incredible. minus 19 in boston. minus 3 in new york city. notice the windchills are still very cold here from kansas city to minneapolis. but they're not in the negative numbers like we are in new england. this is the coldest morning probably we've seen in about six years in new england. look at portland, maine. the windchill is minus 30. it's a dangerous morning to get caught outside for the kids at the bus stop. it's one of those mornings. you're hoping the car starts. minus 34 in caribou and look at th...

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