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As on June 24th, the rain deficiency was -4%. We expect the rain deficiency to creep up further as revival of Monsoon seems to be weak until June 27. The east west trough will once again move to south over Northern Plains leading to the increase of easterly and South easterly winds from Bay of Bengal.
Delhi is going to miss the onset date of Monsoon but the delay will not be significant. Temperatures will subside over Northwest and Central India, giving significant relief from ongoing hot weather conditions.
Delhi may soon get relief from scorching heat as the Indian Meteorological Department is expecting the arrival of monsoons in the capital as soon as June 27.
Favorable conditions are building up for its further advance. Progress over the eastern side is expected to be quicker than the western one. Southwest monsoon is likely to advance over more parts of Uttar Pradesh between 28th-29th June. Further, between 30thJune and 02ndJuly , it is likely to reach Delhi, Uttrakhand, East Rajasthan and more parts of Gujarat.
Statistically, seasonal rainfall did break even but suffers from unequitable distribution of rainfall. The rainfed areas of central parts including Maharashtra and Gujarat face the scare of parched conditions, detrimental for the agricultural activities.