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And tell us about the demographics of this and the fight it will take to win in 2020. >> it is d plus 26 district. and she did not like a land like they are saying. it is a totally different animal. a lot of people coming out. we have an excellent chance of coming out on top. >> our people district with the job she's been doing so far? >> know. they really haven't. anybody else i come in context with patrolling streets every day and does come up a lot. they are frustrated she's an absentee landlord.

Favoring democrats. the margin is narrowing. it is unclear whether stacy arose will be able to pull off an outright victory, but her supporters are hoping at the very least about they will be able to force this race into a runoff. under georgia law, a candidate must get more than 50% of the vote in order to win the election outright, but if that doesn't happen, this race would go to runoff, continuing what has been a very contentious and sometimes bitter campaign. back to you. >> okay, jonathan. right now, the democrats in the house race are plus 26. they need 23 to control. we called it earli...

Help him any time soon. the wild card is the president. the president knows his supporters and who his most vocal supporters have been. as bob notes the president knows who's been on tv supporting him so you can't calculate what he's going to do in his 280 character platform. i think the white house political operation is keenly aware of the map and that they don't have the money or resources to put into a plus 26 plus 27 republican district even if they wanted to so they'll try to stay away but you never know if the president decides he wants to wade into it. >> bob, before we go, it seemed t...

Allegations were important to your vote. 70% who voted for jones said yes. moore analysis. african-americans plus 87. i don't know how much of a surprise that is but that next line is. plus 26 for those under the age of 45. okay, brad, let's go ahead and start with the caveat sometimes we read too much in these elections. sometimes perhaps we do not read enough because the nuance may give us a lot of clues along the way. what do you see today? >> a couple lessons. jones would not have won unless republicans gave him that seat. that can be said absolutely in this race. republicans stayed home a...

Same year. i would say, bill, there is one word that can describe the number one reason that roy moore lost this election and that word is republicans. nothing happens in alabama politics without republican voters deciding it needed to happen. democrats what they needed to do to get jones in the ballpark but republican voters who wrote in another name and crossed over for doug jones and thousands upon thousands of republican voters who sat at home unwilling to support roy moore. >> bill: the last point is well taken. there is a tendency to look too much into these outcomes. over the coming day...