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Election. keith ellison, i think this is consistent with what his tone and tenor is in the way he has an attitude towards the president and midterm elections. >> juan: jesse, a lot of trump supporters saying hey, look, his numbers are going up. you and i always talk about the poll numbers. "washington post" has him at 40% approval. it was 36% in january. you still have a large percentage, 56% to say disapproval. "washington post" internal. >> jesse: the 40% approval they "washington post" it is based on adult, registered voters. 44%. i take that with a grain of salt because they "washington po...

Presented actually policy specifics from infrastructure, to school choice, to taxes to give people a reason to vote for him. you're always going to have some of that. but any of this other language, i have no idea. >> all right. >> so, jason, let me just ask you kind of the megaquestion as we close here. obviously, there's some polling, both nationally and in key states, like nationally, "the washington post" poll, the abc poll, rather, that shows the race tied. but there are many more polls that show hillary clinton with a lead and in some cases a significant lead. what would explain donald t...

I find remarkable your analysis. tell everybody what you just did and with what result. >> we looked at a bunch of polls for various offices over the past several elections looking at polls during the several weeks before the election occurred. each poll has a margin of error. so you can look at that and also look at how close the poll is to what actually happens in the election. so you can calculate an empirical margin of error and how far are they in reality? the empirical margin of error twice as large as the theoretical margin of error that gets reported. >> in other words, when we speak o...

Points in california. who cares. it's 10% of the country -- megyn: californians and new yorkers and the blue people come out and say yes, yes yes. even fox news had a poll out that showed a big lead for president obama in those critical swing states, in florida, virginia and ohio. yet rasmussen is showing a much tighter race. >> it's apples and oranges. it's a question of who you are measuring. it's not a perfect universe. some of these oversampled democrats. some of them undersampled. you should measure one poll against another poll. look at gallup poll and see if there is movement within the...

don't feel as though you're doing enough to control gas prices. >> what did the president say? we'll hear his response. former "news of the world" editor rebecca brooks is arrested. they arrested the former aid and five other people. it stems from the alleged phone hacking scandal that now closed the newspaper. we begin this hour in depth in afghanistan and a reality check on the safety of american troops there. antiamerican protests are boiling up again two days after a killing spree. the taliban vowing to avenge the killings by beheading americans anywhere in the country. the s...