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Unlikeliest places, oklahoma statehouse four seats in the legislature flipped from republicans to democrats since trump was elected. in kentucky district where they voted by a margin of 50 points, they just elected a democrat from the house for that district winning by 37 points meaning an 86 point swing in democrats' favor in kentucky. kentucky republicans are looking weak in other ways. the republican leader of the house just lost his seat in the republican primary. a first time candidate kentucky teacher took the republican leader's seat. there was the biggest flip of all flipping the senat...

In kentucky district where they voted by a margin of 50 points, they just elected a democrat from the house for that district winning by 37 points meaning an 86 point swing in democrats' favor in kentucky. kentucky republicans are looking weak in other ways. the republican leader of the house just lost his seat in the republican primary. a first time candidate kentucky teacher took the republican leader's seat. there was the biggest flip of all flipping the senate seat in alabama previously belongs to jeff sessions. a democrat, doug jones holds the seat even though the republicans won by 28 po...

[laughing] >> down and down and down. >> in 2010 before the democrats got wiped out in the mid terms, this month's gallop had it in a -- gallup had it at a tie. cnn had democrats plus four in april. then november got wiped out. i think anybody paying attention to the polls and making predictions on them needs to look at history. but here's what i think we can look at, which is demonstrative of what is going to happen in november, special elections. an average of 12 point swing to the democrats in federal elections. nd then in arizona, we saw 15 point swing to the democrats. this is, when it's ...

I think then we'll have a better sense where this is going. so lesko leading, but we are not prepared to call this yet. i just want to put this in perspective no matter what happens. we're looking at a single-digit race here in a district trump won by 21 points, in a district romney took by 25, in a district with no modern democratic voting tradition, in a district where there was no scandal involving the republican nominee. we have seen democrats outperform trump in some very republican districts and always there's been an excuse. when it happened in kansas 4, we were told the kansas governor...

That's why the republicans lost 20 points off trump's margin. when it happened in montana, they said it was because the reporter got body slammed by the republican candidate. when it happened in p.a. 18. they heard all about this is ancestor ealy democratic. none of these factors that we've seen where democrats have made thooez gains before. it's six now. it may get closer. we're looking at a 15-plus point swing. those things don't just happen. if you are a republican looking to hold the house and you are nervous about all of these, what you're seeing tonight, i think makes you more nervous th...