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Washington. soonest he might make it, there june 6th. he still has a court date between now and june 7th here in montana. >> this blows my mind. i want to bring back steve. let's talk about how big of a win this was. please, just parse for us when these coavotes came in. it's very important to help us understand how many people voted early before the incident happened. >> it looks like about 70%. it looks a little north of 70% voted early and voted before this happened. however, when you started to look at these returns last night, the questions of the democrats was were you going to see a hug...

Coy wire was there. he knows how to do it. that kid did too. prediction time. i'm a patriots fan. i say the patriots win but don't cover the spread, so the 3 point victory. coy wire. >> 38-28. get the victory over the patriots. even though they have the greatest quarterback and coach of all time, this is the year for the falcons. they rise up and get it done. >> hines ward? >> not so fast, my friend. i got to go with the patriots. i mean, tom brady, i've only beaten him once in my entire career. the guy is special. i bow down to him. hands down, best quarterback ever. i think he wins this supe...

2000, our last predebate poll, had george w. bush 6 points ahead of thal gore. '04, george w. bush was up 4 points he held on to win the popular vote by 2.5 points. obama's final margin was plus 7 when the votes were counted in november. and fine letter, all tied up going into the final debate in 2012. president obama was reeling a bit from that first debate performance against m.i.t. romney. he did emerge with a four point victory. back to the present. our last nbc news wall street journal poll had hillary clinton leading drummed by 11 points. no real correlation through the years, it's worth...

Incumbent has pulled the rip cord, there are states that romney carried by double digits, the democrats said i'm not going to go through another tough race. the republicans have excellent candidates in all three, leading in the polls. they have big cash advantages. the republicans are likely to take those as long as they don't give up or take it for granted or as long as they keep working hard. >> all right, let's look at four states where conventional wisdom tells us we have a great chance of winning, in the great state of alaska, arkansas, mark pryor, mary landrieu. >> and in all four, they'...

Chronicles the five years colorado flipped from blue to red in time for -- >> red to blue. >> red to blue in time for 2008. the kind of groundwork that was laid down by democratic activists and union guys, that is not dismantled overnight. i think that a lot of that is still very in play and very much foundational and that will give obama the win. >> i had a harder time making the call on who to give colorado to than any other state. i ultimately went with romney, but i can be easily persuaded. i have a feeling it's the closest state margin-wise election night. colorado symbolizes the politica...