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To victory, he had to win florida. president obama's campaign said all along we would like to win in florida but we don't have to win in florida to get beyond 270 and that's what the obama campaign proved last night. martha: you look at calculus and the exit polls and you try to pick through the tea leaves and determine what made the difference. and really when i think about it, the analysts had florida in mitt romney's column for quite some time. what do you think of why it went the other way? >> it was always going to be a close vote in the state of florida. but real clear politics had romne...

The reason they're doing that, steve, you see the border counties around cincinnati they vote heavily republican. hamilton county in cincinnati went for obama for the first time since 1964. when you talk about driving vote are turnout this is where the party is going as of today the. >> huge push on tuesday night, november 6th, if republicans don't get a huge push out of this area for ohio, it will not be a good night for them more broadly. bill: we'll watch returns there especially in places like warren county, butler county, that surround cincinnati. to see whether or not they match or excee...

Party. maybe even higher now. that affected the democratic coalition. independents, 57%. this is before obama's announcement. it's only in the republican party down at 22%. that's what's keeping the overall number in the low to mid 50s. outside the republican party this is basically a settled issue. that means when you put it in a blue state, maine clearly blue, washington clearly blue, maryland clearly blue. the odds are very good that this thing is going to pass comfortably. minnesota we think of as a blue state but it is actually, as it gets closer, three, four, five point win for democrats...

Independents, 57%. this is before obama's announcement. it's only in the republican party down at 22%. that's what's keeping the overall number in the low to mid 50s. outside the republican party this is basically a settled issue. that means when you put it in a blue state, maine clearly blue, washington clearly blue, maryland clearly blue. the odds are very good that this thing is going to pass comfortably. minnesota we think of as a blue state but it is actually, as it gets closer, three, four, five point win for democrats commonly there, a lot more social conservatives there so it is not su...

Independents, 57%. again, this is before obama's announcement. it's only in the republican party down at 22%. that's what's keeping the overall number in the low to mid 50s. outside the republican party this is basically a settled issue. so what you're seeing now, that means when you put it in a blue state, maine clearly blue, washington clearly blue, maryland clearly blue. the odds are very good that this thing is going to pass comfortably. minnesota we think of as a blue state but it is actually, as it gets closer, three, four, five point win for democrats commonly there, a lot more social c...