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First year of any presidency since circuit courts were created in 1891. an amazing establishment and they better keep the pace up coming into the new year. >> what about the rest of the agenda talking about welfare reform, entitlement reform, infrastructure spending. most or all of those will take 60 senate votes. maybe they can do one more reconciliation bill to get 50 but even that was 51 will be tough. >> you turned a reliable yes vote for the republican agenda into a know or maybe not. we will see if doug jones has any interest in reelection. >> it is a no. >> probably a know. at the margi...

>> stunning setback for senate republicans as roy moore was narrowly defeated by challenger doug jones in alabama sending democrats their first senate seat in that state in 25 years which what lessons can republicans take from roy moore's loss and what will this majority mean for the republican agenda going forward. we are back with kate odell and james freeman. dan, is this going to hurt tax reform? >> i don't think it will have a big effect on tax reform unless it rolls into the next year. it puts pressure on them to get it done this year, luther strange from alabama can vote for it. >> what...

Now so long-term probably not a big negative for republicans. >> the striking figure i saw in this race was donald trump's approval rating in alabama which is one of his best states was only at 48% in the exit poll for the senate campaign, 62% when he won, went from won in 2016. if he is at 48% in alabama we know he is under 40 in all kinds of important states where senate candidates and house candidates are going to run. what does this tell us about 2018? >> we know how much that hurt republican candidates. don't forget the alabama race comes on the heels of virginia and the gubernatorial rac...

Working as they did in alabama to turn their voters out, then you have republicans back on their heels so at the margin where these elections are decided democrats are at the moment running uphill. democrats in 2018. >> if you look at the map for democrats it is a tough map, they have to hold 26 seats and they have to flip arizona and nevada if they want control of the senate but that looks possible because of changes in nevada that made it a more blue state in the past we 6 years and in arizona we have another bannon backed candidate that could repeat the mistakes of alabama. >> you mentioned...

For republicans. look at this race and even if you like roy moore he lost come you got to win seats to affect policy. you have theirs reconsideration of this idea there needs to be a rebellion against mitch mcconnell, senate majority leader. look at the history of the conservative movement, it was about taking over the republican party from liberals in manhattan who had taken it over. mitch mcconnell was not a liberal, he set a record on getting conservative judges on circuit courts, he's about to get a tax cut so this is not the problem in washington, not that he doesn't have his faults but i...