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Central Bankers Are Spooked by Signs That Inflation Is...

Many central banks are starting to withdraw the emergency stimulus they introduced to fend off last year’s pandemic recession.

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Central Banks to Pour Money Into Economy Despite Sharp Rebound


Central Banks to Pour Money Into Economy Despite Sharp Rebound
Bloomberg
2 hrs ago
(Bloomberg) --
The aggressive rebound in global economic growth still isn’t enough for most of the world’s central banks to pull back on their emergency stimulus.
In Bloomberg’s quarterly review of monetary policy covering 90% of the world economy, the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are among the 16 institutions set to hold interest rates this year.
© Bloomberg
The Bloomberg Central Bank Outlook
The outlook suggests officials still want to guarantee the recovery from last year’s coronavirus recession by maintaining ultra-low borrowing costs and asset-buying programs. That may require them to accept any accompanying bounce in inflation.

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Brazilian Traders Pile Into Rarest of Bets in Zero-Rates World


Brazilian Traders Pile Into Rarest of Bets in Zero-Rates World
Bloomberg
2/1/2021
Aline Oyamada
(Bloomberg) -- It is heresy in economic circles nowadays to talk about raising interest rates. With the virus still raging and economies still sputtering, rates need to be held at record lows for a long, long time, according to consensus thinking all over the globe.
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Except in Brazil. Traders there are frantically driving up interest-rate futures in anticipation that policy makers will lift the 2% benchmark rate next month. Encouraged by debate among central bankers themselves about how soon to tighten monetary policy, traders have determined that at a minimum the Selic rate will be raised by a quarter point in March, and maybe even as much as a half point.

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