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The year 2000. come out to the what if scenario. 11 states now in play. you have a new survey out on these states alone and you show what, romney up three at 49-46? >> that's right. this is really been a change since that debate. for much of the year we kept talking how president obama was doing better in those 11 swing states than he was nationally. now that has changed. bill: how many swing states do you have, do you have 11 like we do or less? >> in this tracking poll we have 11. bill: i want to show you something, scott here. you're trying to figure out how to get to 270, right, on what yo...

>> how much did you cut them by?. >> governor, we produced more oil. >> no, no. how much did you cut licenses on federal lands and federal water. >> here is what we did. >> i have a question. how much did you cut them by? how much did you cut them by?

That --. martha: they will say, that is the same idea we had for the last four years, tony? is that right. >> that is exactly right. this is where the president is in very tough position. he knows he can not run on his record. he knows he can not promise people four more years what he just had and get reelected. that is why he only focused on why governor romney should be unacceptable. that is very big problem for him. look at "washington post", hardly a conservative media outlet. october 13th opinion editorial from the editorial board of the post. they basically said to president obama, show ...

You notice the administration quickly goes from talking about the death of the four americans to linking it to the video saying we don't, we don't, in our country, believe in this kind of stuff but we do have freedom of speech. you know, i think, i think in the debate, governor romney was on target. president obama was off target in asserting he called it an act of terror. certainly didn't call it act of terror when they sent out the administration's ambassador. bill: moment number two. thomas friedman called this story entirely contrived on "meet the press" on sunday morning. i listen to a lo...

Registered voter polls, they seem to lean towards the president, but when you look at likely voter polls which, i would think, are going to be more meaningful at this point, larry, they seem to lean towards romney, right? >> you're exactly right. why is there this discrepancy? people e-mail me constantly about this. because democrats aren't as excited this year as republicans. it is enthusiasm gap. remember it was the opposite in 2008. democrats were more enthusiastic than republicans. it showed on election day. republicans have more enthusiasm, they are more determined in this election year, ...