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Highs, what you see with 49% of the american people pay no federal income tax. what you see with 49% of all u.s. households having at least one person on federal aid. when you tie that all together and say this is a direct result of barak obama's policies creating this growing dependency crowd, i'm going to put a stop to it. here is how. >> bill: you've got to be simpler. >> he needs to be talking about economic freedom and how that raises -- >> bill: he's got to do it in a direct manner. 15 seconds. to you think romney lost, right? >> i think he's going to lose the election. i think the last ...

And momentum. he could have thrown mitt romney off. but he got, he is very undisciplined. he keeled off message. it was very interesting today to hear him not utter one word about healthcare. >> bret: for romney, save for close races in michigan and ohio, this could have been a different story as we head to this next. >> it could have. particularly, the michigan race which would have been embarrassing, could have been a game-changing defeat if romney lost. it's his native state. he is supposed to win it. he only won by 1%. santorum was camming off the hat-trick, the night he pulled off colorad...

Demographic, stupid. let's go through quickly what it is. this was the fourth most moderate state of the 17. 36% republicans. just 30% conservative and let me show you where that ranks. michigan and vermont. they were greater than that in the split between moderates and conservatives. blue state, blue state, probably still very blue. michigan and vermont. >> it drops chicago on the eastern seaboard. >> that's what my dad used to say. >> anywhere outside of the media market and outside of cook county south, romney lost because it's culturally. mark is right. it's demographics. we saw them tweet...

Territory to solve his evangelical problem. romney did not win a primary when more than half the voters are evangelical, the red area on top. in romney's losses, both states had over 75% evangelical voters, 80% in mississippi's case. those are new highs as romney lost. let's look at three upcoming tests, missouri, louisiana and texas. all have evangelical voters in 2008 above 50% topping off at 60 there. this year's trend holds true, romney loses here. texas would be a major loss obviously with over 155 delegates. the total delegates of the five battles discussed is a huge chunk when we take a...

I talked to the santorum camp last night and they say time is on our side. romney cannot get to the delegates. we'll see about that. newt gingrich really has to win tomorrow somewhere. has to claim victory outside his home state. >> today. >> i'm sorry. today. >> it is early. feels like yesterday. >> you're even with mike now. >> he's got to. i've got to take i issue with this idea of a southern strategy if you will. i think that gives the gingrich campaign a little too much credit. this is a strategy by default not design, right? it's not like he looked at the electoral map and said, well, i ...