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I have the scars to prove it. i have the gray hair to prove it. and you have had my back in that fight. and after all we've been through together, we can't give up on it now. we've got more work to do. >> everything obama has done has hurt the economy, has hurt healthcare. everything he has harmed the debt, has worsened the deficit. there isn't anything that's improved. nothing. >> i actually think the question of this election comes down to this. do you want four more years like the last four years? >> no! >> or do you want real change? >> yes! >> real change is not just something i talk abou...

You average them all together, that's pretty much where he is. two states you know very well is the state of ohio and the state of -- or the commonwealth of virginia. let's start with virginia. what do you see happening there? most polls have gov. romney up by two. it's pretty close but it's a must-win state for gov romney. >> gov. romney is going to carry virginia. as you know, he was there today. the crowds, the intensity there remarkable. we have a great ground game. most importantly, we have a great message that's regular naturing very much in virginia. especially northern virginia and ham...

Going gram lop and racemessen showing him leading president obama 49% to 38%. that's well within the margin of error. newt gingrich joins us. before we talk about those, dixville and about 59 men's? >> it's great. it's the american dram talk, al, all the upon -- ponficating, the american people get to tell us. >> we will get to new hampshire in a second. new national policy just in, gov. romney up by one. i mean, it's tied. do these national polls mean anything right now or should we be focusing on these state by state? >> i don't think anything means anything you can reeye on. there are two a...

Clinton into pennsylvania tomorrow. i don't know if it's real but there is a tightening in the midwest. michigan you have governor romney up by one or tied and even minnesota very tight in ohio. pennsylvania and the fact that they have moved so heavily senate bill clinton in there for stops tomorrow the ad the rnc has put out it's okay to vote for change and make a change. seems very effective. >> rack that up and roll it. >> president obama came to the white house with big plans. half the deficit, strengthen economy, lower unemployment. what did we get? national debt over 15 trillion and clim...

The gallup polling company has governor romney up by five. exactly the opposite. we also have shown you the average of national polls and they all even out and it is a dead heat and for a little color just days before the 1980 election jimmy carter was up six points over governor ronald reagan. we all know he how that race turned out. here to make sense of it all, peter brown assistant director of the quinnf quinnipiac pollin institute. and jennifer. jennifer why so much variety. take the gallup poll discrepancy. a five point swing. actual lay ten point swing between two polls. why? >> because...