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Agree to the insurmountable characterization. >> all the focus will be on illinois. newt gingrich even though he's third is not competing in illinois, over the weekend, he didn't campaign at all. i don't think he'll be there on monday either. it's going to be truly a two horse race. at stake is 54 delegates. rick santorum only eligible for 44 because he could not get cleared in four separate congressional districts. >> that's right and this morning on this monday before the illinois primary tomorrow, according to the real clear politics average, mitt romney right now is ahead by 6.4%. but if -...

Perry and santorum out of the race and having romney along with ron paul one-on-one? that is a potentially dangerous situation. they'll have more resources than in florida but romney one-on-one against santorum or gingrich, there is a bit of an x factor they'd rather not see. they'd rather leave here with a strong enough win that no one goes to florida strong but mitt romney. >> and you're talking about the new florida, the rick scott florida, the florida of the last election, a much more rightist party? >> it's a closed primary, only republicans. and you know it wasn't that long ago that ging...

Martha maccallum with you this morning. a total reversal of the numbers we had on monday. hear is the breakdown, if the primary were held today, mitt romney would win with 39% of the vote with newt gingrich's 31%. santorum and paul at 12% and 9% respectively. bill: the big story as we go through the numbers, how much the story has changed since monday, only four days ago. in words of the man who did the polling this is just nuts. scott rasmussen is the man. live with us from rasmussen reports. what is going on here, scott? >> bill, you have to remember a week ago we were having mirror image of...

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In florida, but romney one-on-one against santorum or gingrich, there is a bit of an x-factor they'd rather not see. they'd rather leave here with a strong enough win that no one goes to florida strong but mitt romney. >> and you're talking about the new florida, the rick scott florida, the florida of the last election. more tea party than the past. a much more rightist party? >> and it's a close primary. it's only republicans. and you know it wasn't that long ago that gingrich was way up in florida overwhelmingly. now the "time" poll today has romney up by a lot, but the number could bounce b...