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Hard. >> you say poll of polls. florida. that's why cnn does the poll of polls. florida, clinton is back up there. the average is it's a tie. that means if it is tied there, does trump now have a better potential path to 270? >> yes. if he loses north carolina or florida, it is hard for him to get there. the straight forward path is to hold the states romney won in 2012. which means north carolina. >> he has to hold north carolina? >> yes, i think. and then add ohio, florida and pennsylvania. pennsylvania seems like a bridge too far. they have to come together something else. combination of ne...

Could win iowa, and close in on the nomination. but if he loses any of the states that romney won, then he is taking a step backward. and so tau is the least of those why you would expect a republican to lose. so this is a story that bears watches. >> david, almost 20 million -- >> a democrat hasn't won urks at that since '646789 it would be pretty historic if hillary clinton won. >> we'll be watching: 20 million americans already voted in this ax election. do you think that may cushion the blow from this so-called brooklyn october surprise. >> certainly these people weren't privy to what happ...

Hard on donald trump. and evan mcmummen is a good safety valve for republicans who are looking for a way out of supporting donald trump and aren't comfortable with hillary clinton. this could become a significant story if this race continues to titan. donald trump could win florida, ohio and iowa, and close in on the nomination. if he loses any of the states that romney won, he's taking a step backwards. and utah is the least of those that you would expect a republican to lose. >> a democrat hasn't won utah since '64. it would be pretty historic if hillary clinton won. >> of course, we'll be w...

Difficult to look at. now, again, we have to look towards the middle of the week. they had planned this trip to arizona before last friday's e-mail controversy came out. so it's not as if they are going to change their travel plans and send a signal, oops we are going to stick with the states where we have a better shot at winning, so they are going to go there, but i think the clinton campaign is going to have to reassess in their state polls. maybe she will end up in a state like florida, which is very, very tight right now. donald trump has to cover a lot more terrain than hillary clinton h...

>> 1882 i was white house political director so i lived through that debacle of record high employment and economy was a mess, just gone through reinforcement. the critical thing here you have to remember despite the terrible numbers, these seats are pretty well drawn to protect republicans and democrats. what could happen is what happened last week with the poster boy of every candidates nightmare if you don't take care of her district you can lose the primary. pretty hard in these seats that are pretty well drawn so my sense is republicans will pick up a few seats. the senate i think we have...