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Referee and Goalkeeper of the Turkish Straits: The Relevance and Strategic Implications of the Montreux Convention for Conflict in the Black Sea

Executive Summary Since Classical times up through the violence of World War I, the issue of control of the Bosporus, Sea of Marmara and Dardanelles—the Turkish Straits, which connect the Black Sea with the eastern Mediterranean—has vexed kings and admirals and led to the rise and fall of empires. When the largest global conflict until that time ended in November …

Montreux , Lorraine , France , United-states , Odesa , Odes-ka-oblast , Ukraine , Syria , Ankara , Turkey , Makhachkala , Dagestan

Turkish Closure of the Straits Can Hurt Russia's Syrian Route Should the War Prolong

On February 24, Ukraine asked Turkey to close the Turkish Straits (the Bosporus and Dardanelles) to Russian warships under the 1936 Montreux Convention (Daily Sabah, February 24). The Straits connect the Mediterranean to the Black Sea, providing the only way in and out between the two bodies of water. Ruling that the conflict had turned into a full-fledged war, the …

Black-sea , Oceans-general- , Oceans , Odesa , Odes-ka-oblast , Ukraine , Moscow , Moskva , Russia , Tartus , Syria , Belarus

Russia's Pacific Fleet Upgrades Kamchatka Submarine Base

Amidst growing tensions in the Western Pacific over rival Chinese and United States efforts to bolster their presence there, Russia’s military is pursuing a major upgrade of the Viliuchinsk naval base in the Russian Far East. Viliuchinsk is the Pacific Fleet’s ballistic nuclear missile submarine (SSBN) base on the southeastern coast of the Kamchatka Peninsula. The Sea of Okhotsk has …

Moscow , Moskva , Russia , Japan , Tsugaru-strait , Japan-general- , United-states , Archangelsk , Arkhangel-skaya-oblast- , Severomorsk , Murmanskaya-oblast- , Tanegashima

The Realities of Russian Military Shipbuilding (Part One)

In the last decade, Russia has increasingly sought to show off its muscles to the rest of the world. Extensive Russian propaganda has focused on purported successes in the country’s rearmament and military modernization programs, going some way toward convincing the West of the worsening threat posed by Russia’s Armed Forces. However, the actual situation arguably diverges from the rosy …

Germany , Black-sea , Oceans-general- , Oceans , Moscow , Moskva , Russia , China , Kyiv , Kyyiv , Misto , Ukraine

Russia Bungles Pre-Planned Intercept of UK Navy Vessel off Coast of Crimea

A shooting skirmish or a deadly collision between Russian and Western warships or aircraft in the Black Sea would almost certainly cause a serious crisis, evolving into a military confrontation, a regional armed conflict and, perhaps eventually, a global war. Such a doomsday scenario appeared to be quickly developing on June 23, 2021—but a far more prosaic reality soon emerged. …

Black-sea , Oceans-general , Oceans , Moscow , Moskva , Russia , United-states , United-kingdom , Washington , China , Odesa , Odes-ka-oblast

Moscow Pulls Back Land Forces From Ukrainian Border but Not Its Navy in Black Sea

Moscow Pulls Back Land Forces From Ukrainian Border but Not Its Navy in Black Sea
Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 18 Issue: 67
Russian ships in the Black Sea (Source: TASS)
Many observers are treating Russia’s pullback of land forces from the Ukrainian border as the end of the crisis—even some of those experts who acknowledge the Kremlin has not given up its aggressive posturing against Ukraine (Voennoe Obozrenie, April 25). Yet that belligerent stance may acquire a more immediate dimension than many currently recognize because Russia has conspicuously not reduced its naval presence in the Black Sea. Instead, Moscow has announced new maritime exclusion zones around Crimea until the autumn, beyond those it earlier imposed in the Sea of Azov (Voennoe Obozrenie, April 24; Ekho Rossii, April 25). Russia justifies this move by saying that it plans to conduct military maneuvers there this summer, but the naval ships it is keeping in the theater—ostensibly for those upcoming exercises—could easily be used to attack Ukraine from the sea. That reality fully justifies the conclusion of independent Russian military analyst Pavel Felgenhauer, who asserts that the situation in this part of the Black Sea remains “potentially explosive” (Novaya Gazeta, April 21; Voennoe Obozrenie, April 24; Ekho Rossii, April 25).

Black-sea , Oceans-general , Oceans , Norway , Moscow , Moskva , Russia , Bulgaria , Crimea , Krym , Avtonomna-respublika , Ukraine