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Sam youngman of reuters and dave weigel join me with the latest of what to expect in the home stretch. the mitt romney campaign disinformation continues. this time it's on jobs. we'll fact check the governor with ezra klein. simply put, it's time to move on. >> conservative democratic ben nelson of nebraska is stepping down. i'll tell you why this could be a win for the middle class. i can't go back in time. now all i can do is move forward. >> were you on track, governor? >> yes and no. >> the effort to recall scott walker is going strong. but the governor is worried that mickey mouse is ...

Still haven't decided no one can point their finger on who's going to be the winner in iowa or the winner of the nomination. what do you think? >> well, i just think you're right. this is a party that has one thing in common. it's they hate barack obama. you know, the people that you talked about mainly christie and daniels and the former governor jeb bush, have governing records. it's kind of hard to get elected. it's hard to build a real primary base for people who are actually out there doing things. i mean, christie's really new. you know, he would have had a lot of problems. but they've c...

The ballot in his home state, they tend to cross that person off. that being said, we've crossed him before and he's come back to surprise us. iowans will have the final say on this. >> he said he's going to be the nominee. now it's a different ball game. sam youngman, thanks for your time. let's turn to msnbc contributor and political reporter for "slate" magazine. dave, great to have you on. has the news letter controversy hurt ron paul? he still has a slight advantage. what is all this controversy doing to his campaign right now? >> things like this take awhile to percolate and show up. i t...

That's a problem. especially as voters here think who can beat barack obama? if they see one who can't get on the ballot in his home state, they tend to cross that person off. that being said, we've crossed him before and he's come back to surprise us. iowans will have the final say on this. >> he said he's going to be the nominee. now it's a different ball game. sam youngman, thanks for your time. let's turn to msnbc contributor and political reporter for "slate" magazine. dave, great to have you on. has the news letter controversy hurt ron paul? he still has a slight advantage. what is all t...

He's not. so you have a president who is organized, who can get out the vote, and knows how to wage a national campaign. i think we tend to understate that. but that could be a huge factor in the months ahead, i think. >> well, when these republican candidates go out in iowa. i'm going to be in iowa following ron paul's campaign. people show up in the hundreds. they don't show up in the thousands. when barack obama and hillary clinton and john edwards were going through iowa, people were out in the thousands. and so now we've seen the romney campaign make a shift here in the last 48 hours. las...