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With 100 or 200-person sample sizes and saying, oh, you know, hillary's going to win by a landslide was just ridiculous. what trump was trying to say was, i'm not going to believe this stuff. i continued to show mr. trump there was multiple paths to victory. >> you are feeling very confident. how do you draw the lessons that you learned from the campaign into the next administration? do you have a role in the next administration? >> at this point, i'm still working on the campaign, spending my time in trump tower and doing things. if there's a role mr. trump wants me to help, i'd be there in a...

But those who show up at caucuses in particular and primaries as well are actually a subset, a relatively small subset of republicans. that's one reason. there are many. that's one reason why we see all of these variable results. >> so kaylee, you talk to a lot of republicans. what is the sense from republicans about these polls? which polls do they really buy into? >> you know, when you talk to republicans, you get an overwhelming sense that this is an outsider election. and i think that materializes in the polls. and while larry, what he said is absolutely right, these polls are confusing. t...

Difficult. you have small sample sizes. you see wide swings on who is in the lead based on the sample. if you looked at the polls this week, one had ted cruz ahead in iowa by a significant margin. one had donald trump. if you dug into the statistics of why that is, one poll registered voters. one poll is likely who turns out. that is big in the early states. polls not capture it at this point. who will show up and vote? >> a lot of time ahead of us. >> tal, thank you. nice seeing you this morning. >> thanks for having me. >> you will not want to miss the next republican debate. five days away ...

I think everyone's heading to milwaukee next week. i will say, i asked him what point do you realize, look at numbers and say i don't have the juice to make it to new hampshire he says it's going to happen after voters vote. he wants to see how iowa is, new hampshire. national polls are tough to move, these are small sample sizes. chris christie sounds like he's in it at least through new hampshire. >> it is interesting, maybe the drug issue he's been talking about so much now maybe might help him in the polls a bit. >> do you know what's striking too, kate? we are in new hampshire all the tim...

I think it's horrific, but he is not going to make it and donald trump is going to make it to that first stage. >> fox is saying that they're going to run the kid's table debate. it comes to a point in time and the eye balls and probably good for those participating. here is the other things you have those polls and the margin of error on the polls is all over the place. you're dealing with tiny sample sizes and no references. >> you're looking at 250 samples. it's ridiculous. >> right. so you have three people and two said yes to another, and then in the next one it's reversed. that's going t...