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Single digits. can supporters give him a boost with $24 million advertising campaign? i'm wolf blitzer and you're in "the situation room." 25 hours and counting to the big republican showdown right here on cnn. but on this, the eve of the gop debate, here at reagan library in simi valley, california, there are other numbers we want to take a look at and need to look at right now. new poll shows donald trump is still the leader of the pack but he's now just four points ahead of dr. ben carson. 27% to 23%. with the sampling error, that's effectively neck and neck. will carson keep turning the ot...

Showed. then you read into that. just those who watched, skewed democratic for that reason. 61% favor the approach to syria that obama zrabed in his speech, 37% oppose, sampling error, about 5%. >> that's a case for strong presidential leadership. those numbers are upside down from where they were, backing american intervention. that's a sign the president was successful. make a case for humanitarian intervention, saying we created room for the possibility of peaceful negotiation but if necessary, the united states will lead militarily in this. >> intel, he made a pretty clear case, the presid...

Anre washington, adam starks, good luck. >> all right. you'll do well. and if you missed the president's commencement address, you can actually watch part of it on cnn.com. it is actually in the center page there. it's really very, very powerful speech. >> yep. right in the middle. all right, a week filled with problems and controversies apparently not taking a toll on president obama's approval ratings. a new cnn/orc poll shows it all holding steady. >> in fact, it is up slightly to 53%, but the increase is within the sampling error. the president's job approval rating was 51% in april, 47%...

Back to politics now, and as the race for the white house heads to the finish line, some political pundits are talking about adding colorado, yes colorado, to a list of the must win state for both sides. it is neither red nor blue, but purple. the nine electoral votes could be one of the keys to victory. the race is neck and neck. the real clear politics average shows president obama and romney tied with almost 48%. governor romney leads the president 50 to 46%. that's just within the margin of sampling error. taking a fair and balanced look at colorado with fox news political analyst and demo...

But if it did happen, given probability, you'll almost certainly see some kind of revision or reversion back to the mean in november, and if that happens, then you could have the president having to explain a big jump in the unemployment rate. >> five days before the election. >> except that it helps the president nonetheless, because there'll be so many people who go out and vote in october before the last numbers will come out. but, let me just say, if anything, it's a sampling error and could ended up being corrected over time, in the next month or two, but i don't believe as some on the ri...