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People might be getting over the moment they had with donald trump. and very least more voters might be saying what they have been saying to me on the campaign trail is that they like ben carson has the outsider appeal that donald trump does but see ben carson as someone more sincere and more relatable to them, his values align more closely with their values than donald trump's do, and i think we saw that early on when the polls started moving in ben carson's direction in iowa, and now the question is will this trend continue for ben carson, or is this just kind of a flash, a moment? >> now to...

The number of flashes are the key. if there was a muffle launch you'd get an infrared flash for the launch itself and a second flash, a second infrared signature for the impact itself, and possibly even a third when the structure struck the floor of the desert as further fuel might have exploded, so the number of heat signatures is crucial. if in fact only one was detected, that in some respects might steer one away from a missile launch and on to some idea of an explosion on board the aircraft. >> there's been so much focus on a missile, but there are other ways, you know, as we've learned ov...

All right. we're continuing to follow the breaking news on the crash of metrojet 9268. the latest, a flash of heat picked up by u.s. satellite and what it might reveal about this disaster. was it a sign, an infrared signature of an explosion on board or maybe a missile launch or was it simply sadly the impact itself on the sinai desert? joining us is military analyst and retired lieutenant air force colonel rick francona and former transportation inspector mary schiavo who represents the families in airline accidents. we just got this information in, an infrared detection, a heat flash. does t...

Thank you for joining us and be sure to set your dvr to record ""outfront." ""a c360" with john berman starts right now. >> good evening, john berman in for anderson. breaking news in the plane crash that took the lives of 224 men, women and children, 25 children over egypt's sinai desert. a heat flash seen by an american satellite high overhead. infrared sensors detented this sudden flash of heat and that could speak volumes about what happened to that russian airbus. there's that and there is also fact that the airline owes employees two months pay or there's much more including an isis-affi...

There were children, and it's really struck a chord in this country, and so, yes, they want to get this -- get some closure on this, but they also want answers. was it terrorism, or was it technical failure? and the investigators have to answer that, john. >> 25 children on board. matthew chance in st. petersburg, thank you so much. let's bring in our aviation expert. cnn safety analyst david soucie, former faa accident investigator and pilot and aviation expert miles o'brien and let's start with the breaking news, the infrared activity, heat flash detected by a u.s. satellite over the sinai...