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Running likely behind her democratic opponent, retired astronaut mark kelly who is polling at 46%. and republican senator martha mcsally is polling at 41% in arizona, the same state where democrats picked up a senate seat in last year's election. in may, the cook political report has shifted its forecast on republican senator susan collins's seat from leaning republican to toss-up. the leading democratic candidate in the maine senate race is the leader of maine's house of representatives sarah giedion. none of this polling information comes as a surprise to our first guest tonight, a patti sol...

In georgia, 6 hours ago. where does it go from here. they are putting their money where their mouth is in the abrams campaign, they just announced a $250,000 add by to tell people to vote for a runoff election that has not been announced. >> hard to keep all the juggling. we have reporters on the ground everywhere and this will take as long as it takes. for more election analysis let's bring in the power panel, richard fowler from the wall street journal, jason riley and former deputy assistant to president george w. bush brad blakeman. i want to start with you because you were in the middle o...

We'll talk about polling and how that has changed. what does early voting say to you with what measure of caution do you look at them? >> it's the forbidden fruit of election analysis. you're looking at it and you're looking for some sort of indicator of what's going to happen on election day. you've got these numbers and you want to read into they will. people made that mistake in 2016, have made that mistake in every election since this has become a thing. there are a couple problems. here is what we can say. turnout is going to be extremely high for this midterm relative to past midterms. i...

That is to fill senator bob corker's seat. he is republican. cloudily, bredesen gets support of 45% of republicans and 35% of independents. meanwhile, president trump waded into west virginia's crucial senate race and conducted an informal poll between two of the republicans vying to take on democratic incumbent senator joe manchin. >> should we do a little test? >> yes, let's do it. let's do it. >> who is voting for patrick? [ cheering ] who is voting for evan? [ cheering ] >> this is his congressional district. >> your district. >> statewide. >> it was fairly close. it was fairly close. >> o...

Election analysis. the why. we have it for you in t"the bottom line." here's the story of green mountain coffee roasters sumatra reserve. let's go to sumatra. the coffee here is amazing. because the volcanic soil is amazing. so we give farmers like win more plants. to grow more delicious coffee. which helps provide for win's family. all, for a smoother tasting cup of coffee. green mountain coffee roasters.