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I have a feeling this is another brexit. >> donald trump's path to 270 may have to take a detour around colorado and virginia, at least according to one election forecaster. a political report now says those two states look out of reach for the republican nominee. that analysis, which teamed up with roll call, shifted those two battleground ratings from lean democratic to democrat favored. we're going to talk with senator mark warner of virginia coming up on "morning joe." still ahead, iraqi forces are advancing towards the isis stronghold. we'll have a report from the area. plus, could fo...

The race is for congressman chris lee's old seat. this photo appeared craigslist as he was looking to cheat on his wife. can't get enough of that picture of family values chris lee. anyway, new york's 26th district is supposed to be republican, period. the party has dominated the area since the civil war. the district has 30,000 more registered republicans than democrats. now, instead, polls show democratic candidate kathy hochul is within striking distance of republican jane corwin. tea partier jack davis is a little bit further back. today, one prominent election forecaster switched with his...

Post sam stein and msnbc political analyst and former chairman of the republican national committee, michael steele, you have some explaining to do as well. >> why? >> okay. >> we'll get to that. your opinions have changed a bit about the republican nominee. >> not really but okay. >> just a little bit. we'll get to it. but first, there's some recent polls out of texas that have shown a tight race there now a major election forecaster has added that state to its tossup category. real clear politics reclassified texas and its 38 electoral votes as a tossup. it comes as the latest poll gives don...