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CNN This Morning

only 9% for nikki haley, 49% for trump, 23% for desantis for extremely enthusiastic. that has, an seltzer famous for this polling, saying she's on very -- nikki haley is on very shaky ground. so haley is happy to be in second, in the margin of error, will you shaky ground. >> i guess i missed the memo the more indictments you get the more popular you are as a candidate. it's opposite day again and again and again. nicki has run a strong campaign, she's peaking at the right time, getting the right message out, her background is succinct to the current environment with all of the international issues going on. but we still see this stranglehold of donald trump. you talk about evangelicals, i still am i a mazed they have stuck with him as long as they have. the math doesn't make sense. as far as the evangelicals and what their background is and this whole book about jesus really doesn't fit really well with donald trump's autobiography that he continues to write. >> good thing we have two

Nikki-haley , Donald-trump , Ron-desantis , Ground , Polling , 23- , Seltzer , 9 , 23 , 49 , Second , Popular

Decision 2024 Analysis

-- strong enthusiasm, it is a commanding position. >> and seltzer. and, thank you very much. and joining us now is nbc news national political correspondent steve kornacki. so we got the broad overview, steve, of the polling. break the numbers down specifically, show us what you are seeing in this poll. >> yeah, i mean i'm seeing what everybody just saw. we could just take you through the numbers, trump obviously with a big lead here, nikki haley in second at 20%. not much of a change from the last poll. trump here leading with evangelicals, obviously a very important part of the electorate in iowa. trump lost by double digits with him back in 2016, now he has an overwhelming advantage to see that as he has gone after this group considerably. haley has, as you were talking about this, she's got support now with independents. she was at 23 in her last poll, she's up to 33 here. but the bad news for haley, again talking about this conversation here, the favorable unfavorable numbers here for haley have changed, a

Enthusiasm , Steve-kornacki , Numbers , Polling , Position , Nbc-news , Seltzer , Broad-overview , Nikki-haley , Donald-trump , Trump , Poll

Decision 2024 Analysis

ground game and organization payoff? the assumption is always that trump has the most ardent supporters, but if they also assume that trump has it in the bag, will some decide to stay home? we have real insight on these questions, with real numbers from the gold standard in campaign polling. the person who always gets it right. so let's get right to her. joining us now is the pollster behind what's considered, again, the gold standard in polling in iowa, president and founder of -- company jay and seltzer. and it is good to have you. top line numbers, donald trump still leads by a historic margin. explain that, and explain the slippage that you are seeing? >> -- well his numbers surely are ones to be proud of. he's 48% of the first choice votes. but that's down from our december poll, which hadn't at 51%. and really, it's only a few percentage points, but they are symbolic down there. he was above 50%, and that is

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Decision 2024 Analysis

hard enough to go out? nikki haley's team is seeing a boost in the polls. does enthusiasm for her match it? will ron desantis's 30 million in ground game and organization pay off? the assumption is always that trump has the most ardent supporters, but if they also assume that trump has it in the bag, will some decide to stay home? we have real insight on these questions, with real numbers from the gold standard in campaign polling. the person who always gets it right. so let's get right to her. joining us now is the pollster behind what's considered, again, the gold standard in polling in iowa, president and founder of seltzer and company, j. ann

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Inside With Jen Psaki

bad news for haley in the primary. i think it's actually bad news for trump in the general election. donald trump is the incumbent. he should actually be getting more than 50% of the vote. against these sort of subpar candidates, and the fact that a quarter of the people who told your pollster that they were going to go out and likely caucus in sub-zero weather, say that they will vote for joe biden over donald trump in the general election. so it's not all good for donald trump, it may be good news for winning a primary, but there are some warning signs for the general election. >> there is some slippage too, what an seltzer talked about as well in some of the coverage. tim, i want to ask, you i want to go back to new hampshire, but i did want to ask you. sometimes surprising things happen, and this is all kind of a race for second place. let's be clear, trump is headed to the nomination, barring something crazy happening. which it could. but desantis and vivek ramaswamy have both kind of invested money, resources, staff, organizing on the ground, that's important when it comes to cold weather too. is there anything you're watching for that could be surprising here, or not really?

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New exhibit inspires 'Family Fun with Science' program at Elkhart County Historical Museum

The Elkhart County Historical Museum paired learning and entertainment with its "Family Fun with Science" program.Families were able to participate in Family Sc

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Celebrate National Hard Seltzer Day With These Refreshing Drinks

For Hard Seltzer Day, which is celebrated on September 20, here are some of the biggest drivers of the style and some of my favorites to enjoy.

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All In With Chris Hayes

rise up against trump, it's going to come from this group right here. in terms of who could take advantage of that, the favorable, unfavorable numbers, i do think it's interesting. trump is very popular with iowa republicans. but the highest number, the highest favorable is actually ron desantis. the best ratio is actually tim scott, 59% favorable, 17% unfavorable. there is broad goodwill for some of these other republican candidates, which at least to me suggests the possibility they could tap into that goodwill and translated into support in the polls. >> steve kornacki, it's officially this season of the big board. i know everybody is very pleased about that. thank you so much for joining me this evening. and seltzer is the president of seltzer and company a iowa polling company that she founded in 1996. their polling is considered the gold standard -- i know from doing money iowa college aid myself. it is the firm that just conducted the first 2024 nbc news des moines registered

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All In With Chris Hayes

here right now where if trump could build some support here, win them back over, he could be unbeatable. but if there's going to be a rise up against trump, it's going to come from this group right here. in terms of who could take advantage of that, the favorable, unfavorable numbers, i do think it's interesting. trump is very popular with iowa republicans. but the highest number, the highest favorable is actually ron desantis. the best ratio is actually tim scott, 59% favorable, 17% unfavorable. there is broad goodwill for some of these other republican candidates, which at least to me suggests the possibility they could tap into that goodwill and translated into support in the polls. >> steve kornacki, it's officially this season of the big board. i know everybody is very pleased about that. thank you so much for joining me this evening. and seltzer is the president of seltzer and company a iowa polling company that she founded in 1996. their polling is considered the gold standard --

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Morning Joe

footprint number, again, people who are at least actively considering is in the 50% range, so he's in the top tier of candidates that are out there, i'm also surprised chris christie who has written off iowa but he gets 5% of the votes for first choice. >> interesting president of the polling firm, seltzer and company. thank you. >> i think tim scott has a high ceiling. the numbers, too, ron desantis, much like john mccain at this point in 2007 running a dreadful campaign, mccain came back and surprised everybody after being written off in july and august in 2007, came back in 2008, won the republican nomination.

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