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Encouraging Signals Outweigh Realistic Concerns


Looking Ahead to 2022 with ‘Realistic Optimism’
Stock valuations are driven by future expectations. That mindset proved beneficial to equity investors who were willing to look towards the future with optimistic expectations for a re-opened world and the resultant economic recovery. They have been rewarded with positive returns over the past twelve months, but now that we are in recovery mode, what comes next?  Our Three Tactical Rules* shape our view as we look out over the next ninety days. Looking longer term, however, we also consider many qualitative inputs to help inform decision making. No one of these, individually, is enough to prompt a decision. Our views on these variables, combined with our tactical signals, inform portfolio positioning. Here are some of the themes we are watching now.

New-york , United-states , Taiwan , Japan , Tokyo , India , China , North-korea , Russia , Ukraine , Japanese , Ukrainian

Expected Profit Margins Are Very High – Investment Watch

Expected Profit Margins Are Very High – Investment Watch
investmentwatchblog.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from investmentwatchblog.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

United-states , America , Sam-ro , Jesse-felder , Trading-sentiment-composite , Sentimentpoll , ஒன்றுபட்டது-மாநிலங்களில் , அமெரிக்கா , சாம்-றோ , ஜெஸ்ஸி-ஃபெல்டர் , வர்த்தக-உணர்வு-கலப்பு

Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD inverse correlation with US T-bond yields stays intact


4/9/2021 10:58:38 PM GMT
Gold advanced to its highest level in five weeks above $1,750.
Plunging US Treasury bond yields fueled XAU/USD’s rally.
Gold could target $1,785 if it manages to break above 50-day SMA.
The XAU/USD pair stayed stuck in a tight range at the start of the week as the thin trading conditions due to Easter Monday allowed financial markets to remain calm. On Tuesday, the sharp drop witnessed in the US Treasury bond yields weighed heavily on the greenback and triggered a rebound in the pair. Although gold struggled to break above the key resistance at $1,745 on Wednesday, a 3.7% decline seen in the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield provided a boost to the precious metal on Thursday. After touching its highest level since early March at $1,758, XAU/USD staged a correction on Friday and settled below $1,750, gaining nearly 1% on a weekly basis.

China , Jerome-powell , International-monetary-fund , Us-bureau-of-labor-statistics , Institute-for-supply-management , Easter-monday , Supply-management , Economic-projections , Labor-statistics , Core-producer-price-index , Consumer-price-index , Personal-consumption-expenditures

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bears are not done yet


4/2/2021 3:12:00 PM GMT
ECB’s Lagarde dared market players to test the bank “as much as they want.”
US President Biden’s plan taking shape, also facing fierce opposition.
EUR/USD bearish potential increases on a break below 1.1700.
EUR/USD downtrend extended to a fresh 2021 low of 1.1703 this week, although the pair managed to trim most of its weekly losses ahead of the close. The dollar peaked on Wednesday, as US Treasury yields reached late on Tuesday a fresh over one-year highs, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note hitting 1.77%. The greenback’s strength faded afterwards, as the same yield retreated to 1.67% ahead of the close.

Germany , German , Christine-lagarde , Joe-biden , European-central-bank , Markit-services , European-central-bank-president , Retail-sales , Sentiment-indicator , March-manufacturing , Forecast-poll , Eurusd

AUD/USD Weekly Forecast: Pressure mounts in the near-term, but bulls still has an ace up the sleeve


Following
AUD/USD Weekly Forecast: Pressure mounts in the near-term, but bulls still has an ace up the sleeveANALYSIS
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3/12/2021 3:43:24 PM GMT
The Reserve Bank of Australia took action to curb the yields rally.
The US Federal Reserve is having a monetary policy meeting this week.
AUD/USD could fall towards 0.7620 but the long-term bullish picture persists.
The AUD/USD pair is has managed to post a modest advance this week,  recovering well above the 0.7700 threshold. The greenback strengthened on the back of soaring government bond yields, but in the case of AUD/USD, the stronger dollar was partially offset by Wall Street reaching all-time highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P both hit records on Thursday, after US President Joe Biden signed the $ 1.9 trillion stimulus bill into law, granting more easy money to markets.

Australia , Melbourne , Victoria , United-states , Michigan , Australian , American , Jerome-powell , Philip-lowe , Joe-biden , Melbourne-business-school , Federal-reserve

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bond yields shattering central banks´ plans


3/12/2021 3:34:10 PM GMT
Government bond yields keep ramping up despite centra banks’ measures.
Growth imbalances in favor of the US should provide further support to the dollar.
EUR/USD is technically bearish and heading toward the 1.1700 level.
The week ends as it started, with government bond yields soaring and the greenback following their lead. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield peaked at 1.62% at the beginning of the week, then retreated to as low as 1.47% mid-week. Heading into Friday’s close, the yield resumed its advance and stands at 1.62%.
The EUR/USD pair traded alongside, peaking at 1.1989 on Thursday, following the European Central Bank Monetary policy announcement, now trading around 1.1930.

Germany , United-states , Michigan , American , German , Jerome-powell , Joe-biden , Paycheck-program , Astrazeneca , European-central-bank-monetary , European-medical-agency , American-rescue-plan

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: ECB and US Treasury yields to make it or break it


Following
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: ECB and US Treasury yields to make it or break itANALYSIS
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3/5/2021 3:26:31 PM GMT
Federal Reserve chief Powell pushed government bond yields to fresh one-year highs.
The European Central Bank may step up the pace of assets purchases in its next meeting.
EUR/USD has bounced just modestly from a critical Fibonacci support level.
The EUR/USD pair fell to a fresh 2021 low at 1.1892 this week, ending with a handful of pips above this level. The dollar soared across the board following comments from the head of US Federal Reserve Jerome Powell.
Powell revived yields’ frenzy

Germany , United-states , Michigan , American , Jerome-powell , Joe-biden , European-central-bank , Federal-reserve , Retail-sales , February-nonfarm-payroll , Domestic-product , March-sentix-investor-confidence

AUD/USD Weekly Forecast: Aussie bulls won't give up easily

The AUD/USD pair kick-started the week with a positive tone, rising to 0.7837, but fell to its lowest in three weeks, below the 0.7700 threshold. The

Australia , United-states , Michigan , Australian , American , Jerome-powell , Philip-lowe , Commonwealth-bank-manufacturing , Reserve-bank , Governor-philip-lowe , Wall-street , Nonfarm-payrolls

The Three Rules play 'Red Light Green Light'

The Three Rules play 'Red Light Green Light'
etftrends.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from etftrends.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Japan , United-states , Kevin-nicholson , European-central-bank , Incorporated-baird , Baird-financial-corporation , Bonds , Federal-reserve , Exchange-commission , Riverfront-investment-group , Pandemic-emergency-purchase-program , Riverfront-investment-holding-group

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls gearing up for another run towards 1.2350


2/19/2021 3:19:29 PM GMT
Policymakers from the EU and the US pledged to maintain exceptional monetary easing.
Slow economic progress and pandemic fatigue weighing on investors’ mood.
EUR/USD long-term bullish stance remains firmly in place.
The EUR/USD pair ends the week where it started, in the 1.2130 price zone, and while it expanded its weekly range, it held within familiar levels. Investors’ attention centred on US Treasury yields, as long-term ones soared to one-year highs. The dollar initially rallied with yields, but the exceptional correlation was short-lived, fading as the days went by.
Central banks aligned
Speculative interest had little to work with, still waiting for fundamental headlines related to a new stimulus package in the US and progress in the battle against the coronavirus. The financial world seems to have entered a new stage of pandemic fatigue, trapped between concerns related to new strains and delayed vaccines’ deliveries, and hopes for an economic comeback in the second half of the year.

Germany , German , European-central-bank , Union-gross-domestic-product , Economic-sentiment , Consumer-confidence , Retail-sales , Durable-goods-orders , Business-climate , Forecast-poll , Eurusd