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Make a couple of really tough speeches like he did yesterday, and the republicans will cave. i mean, that is the history of this. >> krystal ball, i wish i could share rush limbaugh's confidence -- >> he is always right, so -- >> of yeah, how this works, i don't really have a counter-theory of how this works out. we've never been here before, so we're just guessing. >> well, and the problem is here for republicans, they don't want to agree to any tax increases in this deal. so they feel like the cuts that are on the table are better than having to agree to tax increases. and the democrats feel...

I mean, that is the history of this. >> krystal ball, i wish i could share rush limbaugh's confidence -- >> he is always right, so -- >> of yeah, how this works, i don't really have a counter-theory of how this works out. we've never been here before, so we're just guessing. >> well, and the problem is here for republicans, they don't want to agree to any tax increases in this deal. so they feel like the cuts that are on the table are better than having to agree to tax increases. and the democrats feel like the cuts that are on the table are better than agreeing to different cuts in an equal a...

More tax increases. we agreed to that to avoid the fiscal cliff. we will not do that with sequestration. you are working with john boehner to make sure all republicans on are message. i was talking to a moderate democratic senator last week saying he thinks it could be into the spring or summer before members realize maybe we should do something here and we have to get home for our parades and for the fourth of july and it may drag out that long. >> irin, you have congress in recess until the 25th. the sequester deadline is march 1st, friday. you have four days. is there any sense of urgency h...

What is his gain? >> well, i think he is ready for a shutdown. i don't know that he would be ready to refuse to lift the debt ceiling. but, you know, he cease himself as having won something in the fiscal cliff go-round, chris, and so -- and i think that boehner sees himself as having lost something and needing to win back the fealty of those tea party republicans. so i still think we're in for an ugly few months. but i think they -- if they won't do the debt ceiling, they have less leverage. >> what a country. let's drop left wing, right wing for a second. we're the country of the world, we'r...

Warfare. >> that nightmare scenario triple threat includes raising the debt ceiling. you remember the last time that was fought over, the u.s. credit rating was downgraded. the sequester deadline was march 1st and then there's that continuing budget resolution. that expires on march 27th. i'm joined by the national journal's congressional correspondent. chris, ain't we got fun here? zit like one crisis to another, chris. >> compared to the fiscal cliff, how serious is this triple sf t threat? >> i think a lot of folks will tell you and i agree that the fiscal cliff pales in comparison to the d...