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In 1980, howard baker was the smart pick, george h.w. bush was smart pick. feared howard baker the moderate, ronald reagan got elected and won. you can fast forward to 1996, bob dole, the smart pick, bob dole lost. 2008, john mccain, the smart pick, john mccain lost. the reality is when republicans nominate moderates, more often than not, moderates lose. >> yeah, and to harold's point about electability and to your point here, joe, exactly, that new nbc poll we had out yesterday shows newt gingrich would win a primary. and this is something we've been saying whether it's rick perry on top or m...

Pick leon panetta. secretary gates ban the budget cut considerations, he was also deeply reluctant to have it go as fast as the president wanted. leon panetta, having the experience with capitol hill that he's going to have to contend with to make these budget cuts in defense, was really quite a smart pick on his part. but this is not going to be easy. and you know, the other interesting thing we haven't talked about, john, is who president obama did not pick for some of these top posts. he did not pick david petraeus to be chairman. david petraeus was recommending to the president, slower dra...

memorial day. on this national holiday, a heavy rush of politics. sarah palin's mystery tour rolled into town. we don't know when she will appear because her aides will not tell us. her stops included ft. mchenry and she's being cagey on the subject of whether it's a rolling civic lesson or a 2012 campaign. >> i believe there are many more people out there to add. competition breeds success. i would hope that there is going to be debate. >> also this day, president obama leads the traditional wreath laying at arlington national cemetery and announces a major change in his national se...

Candidate. what is this guy doing? he walks out there. every minute he is basically saying romney is not going to make it. i'm better than him. romney was doing well then he wouldn't have to do that. >> i will give you one other number before you start patting yourselves on the back. george w. bush at this -- george h.w. bush this exact time in his administration had 82%. >> he won a war. >> look what happened. >> he was churchill. >> all of this is very fluid. comfort yourselves. >> we're going to talk about the super bowl in a minute. who is going to win this thing. >> i'm a jets fans so i'm...