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And it continues to strengthen. it will move through mountainous terrain. warm waters means reintensification before making landfall across central mexico. here is the wind forecast, you can see how it becomes more defined as it reaches the bay of campeche, main threats being landslides, localized flooding. and this is transparency henri, as we go forward in time, we have the potential to see an impact from a tropical system across new england, that would be for sunday into monday, this is a spaghetti plot, various models showing a westward shift in the trend, that is what metrologists look fo...

Unfortunately the east coast of the u.s. and this is all thanks to a very strong high pressure that will build just to the north of the tropical storm and it will use that as a steering current to keep this moving in a general west to northwesterly direction with unfortunately all of our model consensus, you've seen this before, this is a spaghetti plot, all the various computer models starting to hone in on the east coast, specifically the carolinas. of course we're several days out before the potential landfall of this tropical system. we're talking about tuesday, wednesday into thursday of ...

It's steered by a strong pressure to the north. how strong does it come? that is a deciding factor whether it will curve away from the u.s. coast. there is time it could miss the u.s. unfortunately appearing it will not do that and intensify with warm waters ranging from the middle to upper '80s, which is just jet fuel for these tropical systems to develop. all of the computer models, we call this a spaghetti plot. it plots out the various computer modems. it's honing in on the east coast. specifically the carolinas. there is florence. never mind a ten percent development in advance of that. t...

Attention to it because it's so big but this one is a long ways off and there are still a lot of time to see where this thing is going to steer, the thing that we are certain of, it'll be running over warm water, that's what it takes for the storms to get strong and powerful. you need 80-degree water, water of 85-degree range, that's enough for this to grow the entire track as it works its way towards east coast which means it'll be powerful one with strong winds. here is our spaghetti plot, most of them -- most take all the way up to the coast but you notice by the time we get out 5 or 6 days...

Tropical models say. a spaghetti plot that runs several different models in agreement running north of puerto rico but at this point that's when you start to question where will you go next? a couple different possibilities here, one as it moves that way we talk about strengthening from a 3 to 4 and going back to a 3 as you run over some of the islands. this will be a big one. it is still not totally known where it will turn right or left but guys, we're getting here right into the heart of hurricane season. actually it peaks on the 12 when this thing is getting closer to shore. >> ed: the gul...