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Of error means that this race is a statistical dead heat. in our last iowa poll a month ago clinton was ahead by nine full points. while she still leads among women, seniors and stall ward democrats, sanders dominates with the three groups responsible for president obama's 2008 upset against clinton. that's first-time caucus goers, independents and young voters. mark, this race, all the data we have now shows it very, very close. what do you think the chances are that one of these candidates is going to get hot and pull away before caucus night? >> i don't think sanders can do that in iowa. sh...

Very closely. >> i think the sense is he will lose his job officially overnight and we'll hear about it tomorrow morning, tuesday morning, when bp announces its second quarter results, that's when we'll hear the economic impact of the gulf spill on bp. but more interestingly i think is that tony hayward has been able to stick it out so long, and that he is very likely to stick around longer, even though he may lose the job as ceo, talking about a possible transition period for two months, there is speculation out there. and also he might join the joint venture bp has in russia called tnk-bp, s...