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Of this giant report of early vote from cobb county. so it's a democratic county, and the early vote is disproportionately democratic. so this is what you need to do if you're the warnock campaign. but you also know there are a lot of votes that still need to be counted. let's do the loop around atlanta. fulton county is also atlanta. this is the base, the largest county in the state. it's the base of the democratic party. that's where senator warnock needs to be, as close as 80% as he can be if a democrat is going to win. this is essentially the philadelphia of pennsylvania. this is where the...

Blake masters, who is now running behind would need approximately between 52 and 56% of the remaining uncounted vote. obviously, mark kelly needs less. he is currently in the lead in this race. so mark kelly needs about 42 to 46% of that overall statewide remaining vote to be counted. so as we look at each vote batch that comes in, we'll lock to see if masters and kelly are sort of hitting these marks that they would need to hit in order to win this race. >> david, thank you very much. i'm here with john king at the magic wall. i understand we're getting some new numbers already coming in from...

The newly counted votes, then you take it down and break down the percentages and that will inform us, assuming it holds. that was the pattern in 2020. what are we looking at? you would rather be mark kelly. blake masters mathematically, totally. >> absolutely. >> mark kelly has by arizona competitive standards, in the arizona senate race, we have no idea who will win this race. let's be clear. because se700,000 more votes. then in the governor's race, it is much more of a narrow lead. only a 3,000-point lead. the senate is in place. this is in play in both. so that's why we need the votes. in...

>> the senate. we come to north carolina. cheri beasley remains ahead. this is a static count. 53-45. >> most of this is still early? >> yes. disproportionately. if you are a democrat looking at this map saying, okay, mecklenburg county, number one. running it up. that's great, it's 50% of the vote, the challenge for ted budd -- he is not going to win that county. narrow that margin because it's the number one county, almost 11% of the state population. charlotte. up here again subsidies and it gets more exurbia. up to raleigh, democrats have high hopes about north carolina. why? they win the ...

Brian kemp getting 29%. if you come back -- let's look at the senate race for a second here. herschel walker getting 23% in fulton county. we discussed very early on that governor kemp was overwhelming or herschel walker was underperforming in the largest basket of votes, 10% of the state population. >> show me the overall senate race right now, warnock -- again, it's only 16%. but warnock has 386,472 with 59.6% of the vote. and stacey abrams is under that. >> remember, georgia, there's no unexpecting anybody in this race, democrat or republican. but if you look at warnock versus abrams, she's...