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And of course, you know, i think the storm will get up to a category five inside the next 24 hours if not through the next couple of days. the official forecast does keep it as a very healthy category four, on the cusp of a cat five. a lot of people get fixated on the numbers assigned to the storms. i want to note that about two-thirds of storm fatalities with tropical systems are water related, whether it be flash flooding or storm surge. don't be too concerned necessarily about the winds associated with the system. if you're in the path of it, evacuation, proper evacuations, your evacuation ...

Turn to the north, a right-hand turn, but until that turn happens, we just won't know exactly what's going to happen or where landfall will be. european model in blue, u.s. model, the gfs in red, they are in great agreement and carry the system up, one on the east coast, one on the west coast. this is september 11th and we're looking at what could be like matthew last year, sliding along the coast and barrelling into the carolinas. just on the american model, these are the ensemble models that give us that one but you can see there is some deviation. it would be great to have something come ou...

Devastated them. suffering there, suffering in the northern islands of the lesser antilles, anguilea is going to take a direct hit, lose power, communications. 6 to 9 foot storm surge. next the u.s. virgin islands. puerto rico under a state of emergency already. conditions are going to start to deteriorate tomorrow afternoon. with the way this is moving, going to take a look at the track, the time period, as it slides through the caribbean, sometime friday afternoon, i expect it to be in the northern coast of cuba. that's critical because we expect the system to move to the right. a turn to th...

System stays pretty much over water. that's where we want most of the stronger winds. that's where we want the heavier rain. they are still looking at 6 to 9 foot stornl surges in the islands. 10 inches of rain. if you have a flight to have a if you do have a vacation in this area, call ahead by the end of the week o to see if they still have power or communications. a major category 4. here's the timeline. wednesday, puerto rico, dominican republic, turks and caicos on the northern edge with the bahamas. deviation north and sound changes this. national hurricane center track keeps it at categ...

Through, and me being a florida resident, being through a half dozen of these, a dozen of these things, you know what to expect. why is this so different? why hasn't this barreled through? because the day after you worry about tornadoes going here, tornadoes going there, power lines, and everybody recovers. unfortunately the people of texas, the people of houston they're just, they're still struggling with this. why is this storm different? >> because nothing was able to push it out of the way. there was no cold front to catch it and throw it north. there was nothing to send it south. we call ...