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Kass: I Have a Question, Are You Experienced?

I remain manifestly bearish on both stocks (value, growth and meme), bonds, Bitcoin and NFTs....BYND

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Random Thoughts From The Frontline 20January 2021


Random Thoughts From The Frontline 20January 2021
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Let’s jump in.
What Is Fair Value?
Many analysts contend that current stock valuations resemble the dot-com era. You can see it visually at Current Market Valuation. Here are just a few of the many charts on the website.
Let’s start with the classic “Buffett Indicator." It certainly seems to be in nosebleed territory. Notice that the valuations in 1966, the beginning of a long-term bear market, were also high.
Source:
Source:
This next one is unusual: valuation as measured by mean reversion. Mean reversion is the fairly unsophisticated concept that "what goes up must come down."

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