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Polls and we look at the most recent national poll -- >> it includes the abc tracking poll. >> in case any of them and you see clinton is up 5%. 47% to 42%. >> you have the suffolk usa today and the fox news and the abc tracking polls. you have five major polls. >> michael, what do you see? >> what i see is that it is within reach for either. they are neck and neck in the national surveys. she has a distinct advantage with the electoral college means and let's put it this way. it's within reach for either and, therefore, it becomes a turnout election and i think it's fair to say she's relying ...

The gaps have been tightening a little bit in recent days, and so they're investing funding in advertising, and in sending surrogates, to states that are pretty reliably believe will vote democrat in this presidential election but also where there's important state elections, federal elections as well, and where it's a good idea to make sure that we've secured the base. >> look you say the polls are tightening. in a new abc news tracking poll, the daily poll, they are exactly even. i mean it's a dead heat. 46% to 46%. how do you explain how at this late date it is this tight? >> well, alisyn w...

Answer to one question. is trump cutting into clinton's lead or is he not? we just talked about, he is cutting into the lead but not enough to get all the way there. for a while, i've been saying there are certain things he would need to do if he'll be in a position to pull off an upset in this presidential contest. a surge in national polls was one of the things. we've seen it in the abc news tracking poll but not a significant surge in any other major national polls. he had to show more message discipline. towed lock into some clinton controversies and there had to be this expansion of the e...

Map on election day she still remains ahead of donald trump. >> hmm. >> but it is concerning that this is a campaign that's turned into one more about negatives than positives. >> and to be clear we want to show the cnn poll of polls in case any one poll is an outlier we crunch the numbers of the top five polls, and here you see hillary clinton still with a lead, 47% to donald trump's 42%. senator, what do you make of what is happening with the fbi? not just the letter that director comey sent to congress, but this this next thing, this next surprise as it's being called, this tweet that was s...

And one of those places that remains long shots for him. >> i think both campaigns think it's a three-point race. last week it was a six-point race and both campaigns are quietly saying it's a three or four-point race. >> in the clinton campaign, they will tell you basically, north carolina, pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, colorado, which one of those states is donald trump going to win? >> i will give you three. pennsylvania, virginia, north carolina. pick one? >> he's not going to win one. >> there's still a pathway even with him losing pennsylvania, and there's no pathway if he loses vir...