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A 75% vote advantage. i don't think it is the entire county. just a portion of the county. another bad sign for the helder camp in wascco county in the swing state. rosen held a 10,000 vote advantage. adding an additional 3,000 from people who voted today. she still holds a 9,000 vote advantage. all of the punnedets tell me for dean helder to have a chance to win the state. he has to win in washo county, because he will be killed in clark county around las vegas. he did well in the rural cows 68% of the vote in many rural counties, but there aren't that many votes there. clark county has about...

Mobile. there are a lot more votes coming out of jefferson. again, i'm sitting here. i'm trying to give you some kind of moore scenario. i can't come up with one. i think this jones margin sitting at 11,000 is going to continue to go up. again, shelby is the only place i can look at. it's the same story. we don't have new vote in. but it's just not an impressive margin for moore there. he did not -- we are not seeing -- it's the suburban voters, the traditional republican suburban voters and the college towns. i think the college towns are a key point in this. auburn, tuscaloosa. they're just ...

At nine. at nine, i like where hillary clinton is. i mean, since we talked last week, the race has really kind of gone her way, they've done a great job turning out what we call these low-propensity voters, 250,000 vote advantage with them, and when you see the turnout with miami, it's really remarkable. >> and steve, there's a latest florida poll from quinnipiac showing hillary clinton 46, donald trump at 45. and that's the kind of thing that makes people very nervous. how do you read that? >> yeah, at this point, the polls don't really mean much. we are down to looking at real vote. probably...

29 electoral votes up for grabs. so far, 6.4 million have cast their ballots. think about this. 8.4 million people voted in 2012 total so turnout is huge, on pace to be huge here in the state of florida. on top of that, who is voting is important. there's been a 4% spike in the number of latino voters so far taking part in early voting and the question for both candidates is who is voting among those latinos. is it the puerto ricans in the central part of the state that influx of several hundred thousand puerto ricans we have seen move to florida who are democratic-leaning or is it cuban ameri...

Much won the state. we win with 450,000 vote advantage. by monday, we get to the first weekend of polls and how it trends out. if we see anything like yesterday, by monday we will have a good sense of where we are headed. >> goodidate to geek out with you. we will do it again. let me bring in the panel. the senior editor for national review. democratic strategist. steve, are you ready to spike the football? >> are you where shale is? >> you guys were totally geeking out. that was a great expedition of what's going on and how to look at counties and make progressions. i'm not ready to spike the...