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>> trish: democrats are hoping for a blue wave that rests on female voters going out, registering to vote because they supposedly really dislike the president's party. but, i think they might want to reconsider this strategy because i can tell you and i think a lot of people can tell you, you know, women, we don't all just vote as one. that whole gender identity politics doesn't work. ed: kind of assume that you do. here to discuss women's voting patterns for the upcoming election, these big midterms is daily caller stephanie hammel. good morning, stephanie. >> good morning. ed: let's start wi...

They're going to be more mobilized. if he's not, republicans will be. is thereidaty that shows that? >> that would not surprise me. so far what we're seeing is the way i measure is enthusiasm is the difference between registered voters and likely voters. is that gap getting wider? what we're seeing is it's not in fact. the people who -- the same people who said they were likely voters before, percentage republican and democrat, is the same as it is now. i'm just not seeing that right now. i will say though in the polling that is interesting is there does seem to be persuasion. more people sayi...

What somebody says on the phone. what i wonder is this. obviously, if we look at polling, there's an increasing gap in women and republican voting patterns. there's ab a 25% gap in women. democrats versus republicans. they favor democrats by 25%. that's compared to 7% only eight years ago. that's according to our republican friend here in washington. what does that mean in terms of turnout? people are so angry that they go and vote, or are there male republicans like wise motivated? i'm betting on the women to turn out more. >> dana: they might. david hoppy, i want to ask you about something. ...

Cycle. so voting patterns do they hold in a general election? >> what they basically tell you is that a party is energized or not. there's absolutely no question that the democrats are energized. i have heard people say in the democratic party i'm worried about another case of overconfidence like we saw in 2016 for hillary clinton. i don't see any evidence of that. democrats seem determined to produce one check and balance institutionally on donald trump and that would be the house if they can get it. >> okay, but voter enthusiasm has been measured. i want to look at some of the numbers. pew s...

>> and elise, great points by john in that the numbers are looking better right now. at the same time, democrats have had a great run of it over the past year and a half and if you can look at the intensity and that's what matters most in these midterm elections. these recent polls may not be good news for republicans running in the fall, they just may be good news for donald trump two years from now. >> joe, i would point to what john was just talking about with millennial voters and how their voting patterns are being set and they certainly aren't voting for republicans and if you look at wh...