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Volatility in food prices continues to be the critical risk for the RBI as it could de-anchor household inflation expectations and generalize price pressures.
FY24 is expected to end on a good note with markets at near all-time high levels, says Poonam Tandon of IndiaFirst.
Analysts at the Japanese brokerage, Nomura, expect the government to pencil in a 16.5% rise in capex outlay in FY25 (compared with 36% budgeted in FY24), which should keep central government capex elevated at 3.4% of GDP
In a big blow to mutual fund investors, the government in Finance Act 2023 had decided that capital gains from debt funds and certain other categories of non-equity mutual funds would be taxed at a higher rate.
The effects of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign of 2022 and 2023 are expected to show up in 2024. While the outlook for financial markets looks constructive, uncertainties are aplenty. From the timing and extent of rate cuts to election outcomes and how geopolitical conflicts shape up, 2024 is likely to be full of ups and downs.