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Vote is a challenge. and i use the word challenge on purpose. as we reported earlier this month, the tea party group in ohio called the voter integrity project claims to have found 730,000 suspect names that it wants purged off the voter rolls in ohio. 730,000. we've now started to get a better sense of who this tea party group is challenging in terms of their registration and their right to vote. look at this. "the names selected for purging include hundreds of college students, trailer park residents, homeless people, and african-americans in counties president obama won in 2008." "the l.a. ...

Nbc/"wall street journal" shows a lot of blue on a battleground map of key states. obama enjoys a seven-point lead in ohio. in florida, five in florida, two states that, of course -- >> i'll tell you, the fox news state-by-state polls were pretty devastating yesterday. romney has to win florida. you look at these states. if he doesn't win ohio, then he has to win withvirginia and iow. it is state by state by state pretty rough. but you know, mika, yesterday the president went and was interviewed on univision. >> mm-hmm. >> and there's some interesting things coming out of that. >> well, he wen...

Way or another definitively? >> i think you got to look at, you know, key battlegrounds. you know, does the president grow his lead in those key battlegrounds? right now you have national polls, kind of an interesting dynamic. national polls are a bit tighter. but then you look at the certain battleground polls in particular what governor romney needs to win in order to have a path to win. ohio, florida, virginia depending on the polls he is down in all three of them. in ohio in particular. he can't win this election if he doesn't win ohio. the path becomes very difficult. so if you see this l...

Romney. if he doesn't win ohio and he doesn't win florida. winning both of those are increasingly unlikely, then it's very hard for him to win the presidency. he would have to run the tables on all the other races. the question about where rove puts his money? you're starting to see reverse coattail effect. if you look at senate races in maine, in massachusetts, in virginia, where cain has about a seven or eight point lead, in florida, in new mexico, all around the country, it seems very, very unlikely the republicans are going to take the senate and -- and as recently as two weeks ago, it loo...

But as someone who has done politics, i don't understand. they kind of blew through the last 90 days not creating narrative either for themselves or one that they could frame president obama with. and now they've basically come down to one opportunity. and that is the first debate. when you're spending the amount of money they'll spend, the democrats will spend the amount of money they're going to spend, it kind of crosses each other out. so you're not going to really change voter's opinions up that debate. if he doesn't do well in that debate, if he doesn't really have a knockout blow, i don'...