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China's Reluctance Toward Stimulus-Driven Growth

China's Reluctance Toward Stimulus-Driven Growth
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Japan , China , Chinese , Liqian-ren , Covid-zero , Current-policy-approach , Small-steps , Prevent-major , Policy-room , China-policy , Loan-rate-still-significantly-higher

Think Inflation's Ending? Think Again.

We believe the market remains overly optimistic about the return to 2% inflation by 2024. Previous inflationary regimes suggest this may not be realistic.

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2:00PM Water Cooler 7/15/2021 | naked capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 7/15/2021 | naked capitalism
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December 2020 Livingston Survey: Forecasters Revise Up Real GDP Growth for Second Half of 2020; Revise Down Growth for First Half of 2021

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posted on 18 December 2020
from the Philadelphia Fed
The 22 participants in the December Livingston Survey nearly doubled their forecasts for the second half of 2020 compared with their projections in the June 2020 survey. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, expect an increase of 18.0 percent (annualized) in real GDP during the second half of 2020.

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