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Week Ahead - BOE and RBA rate decisions in focus; US April NFP report could show over a million jobs created - MarketPulse


April 30, 2021SharePrint
Everyone on Wall Street is trying to figure out if the peak in Treasury yields will stick for a while now that the US is approaching peak growth. The best expansion since World War 2 is being accompanied with a Fed that remains committed to supporting the economy until a complete recovery. The playbook for many traders appears to be the Fed could announce at the June FOMC or at the Jackson Hole Symposium that they are ready to start talking about tapering, paving the way for a gradual reduction of the $120 billion per month in asset purchases.
Another busy week ahead has several key economic releases, central bank speak, and a couple of big interest rate decisions. In the US, traders will closely watch the ISM Manufacturing reading and Market PMIs, durable goods, factory orders, and the nonfarm payroll report, which could show over a million jobs were created in April. We will hear from ECB’s Lagarde, Fed Chair Powell and his colleagues Daly, ....

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Australia Stocks gain after RBA dovish policy stance reaffirmation


The Australian share market finished session at new 11-month highs on Wednesday, 03 February 2021, supported by gains on Wall Street, and as the Reserve Bank of Australia reaffirmed it would hold rates at record low levels for several years.
At closing bell, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 advanced 62 points, or 0.92%, to 6,824.61. The broader All Ordinaries added 63.36 points, or 0.9%, to 7,090.86.
RBA governor Philip Lowe, in a speech in Canberra, reiterated the bank s stance to maintain cash rate at 0.1% and insisted the country will need to maintain very significant monetary support for several years. Lowe s comments came a day after the RBA announced it had expanded its bond-buying program by another A$100 billion to support an economic recovery. ....

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Time to stop drinking the 'Kool-Aid'?


1/22/2021 8:50:37 AM GMT
The question we have is whether markets are still too positive? The virus keeps spreading, data is sliding, and mutant variants may be immune to the vaccine.  As we end the week, we have to hope that the stimulus packages keep working and trust in the science!
We still feel that we have seen the peak of optimism to start the year and that risk sentiment should pull back to match the deteriorating virus situation and disappointing vaccine roll out.
After strong New Zealand CPI this morning NZD now has a good story for further strength which supports the bullish technical indicators. Over the coming months an important question will be which central banks begin to exit the extreme monetary measures first. So far RBNZ looks like the front runner given New Zealand’s firm control of the virus and increasing inflation. ....

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America's Roundup: Dollar index languishing near 2-1/2-year low ,Wall Street ends higher, Gold gains, Oil prices jump 5% on OPEC+ output talks, Iran tension-January 6th,2020


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America’s Roundup: Dollar index languishing near 2-1/2-year low ,Wall Street ends higher, Gold gains, Oil prices jump 5% on OPEC+ output talks, Iran tension-January 6th,2020
Tuesday, January 5, 2021 11:15 PM UTC
Market Roundup
•Canadian Nov IPPI (YoY)  0.0%, 0.7% previous
•Canadian Nov RMPI (YoY) -1.7% ,-0.3% previous
•Canadian Nov RMPI (MoM)  0.6% ,0.5% previous
•US Redbook (YoY) 5.5%,8.9% previous
•US Redbook (MoM) 0.5%,0.4% previous
• US Dec ISM Manufacturing PMI 60.7, 56.6 forecast, 57.5 previous
• US Dec ISM Manufacturing Prices 77.6,  65.7 forecast, 65.4 previous
• US Dec ISM Manufacturing Employment 51.5, 48.4 previous
• US Dec ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index 67.9, 65.1 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT) 
• 03:30 Australia Services PMI    52.9 previous ....

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