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Life Is Good s absence shakes up 2021 Kentucky Derby odds

Life Is Good s absence shakes up 2021 Kentucky Derby odds
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Do you agree with the 20 horses atop the Kentucky Derby odds?

70-1 Keepmeinmind Not that all these horses are certain to get to the gate or even qualify. Some might and probably will be bumped. For instance, Caddo River (75-1) could rebound from being the beaten favorite in the Rebel. John Sadler’s turf colt Rock Your World (75-1) could crash the party via next month’s Santa Anita Derby (G1). And who knows if Europe and Japan might actually accept their usually ignored invitations to run for our roses? If nothing else, drawing a line beneath the top 20 current betting choices is a good exercise in separating underlays from overlays the “A” list from the not-so-“A” list. Especially as major preps

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Value of Derby futures dropping like a stone - VSiN Exclusive News - News

Ron Flatter notes that popular favorites for the Run for the Roses are carrying very short odds

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Derby hopefuls time, opportunities dwindle - VSiN Exclusive News - News

Feb. 18 was the third anniversary of Justify’s debut. It was the latest date since 1882, the year of the now-discarded curse of Apollo, that any horse began his career before winning the Derby. Though it is mathematically possible for a horse to prolong his unveiling until as late as April 10 and still get into a fully subscribed Run for the Roses, let’s be real. That is not going to happen. Put another way: If a horse has not made its debut by now, it is not getting into the Derby. Almost as big a long shot is the 3-year-old that has already made his debut, looked awful doing it and has yet to be listed in the Las Vegas futures.

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Sharps hard to read on picks for Derby - VSiN Exclusive News - News

With his 2-for-2 record and his Sham Stakes victory and his debut Beyer Speed Figure of 101 and his six-time Derby-winning trainer, Bob Baffert, Life Is Good closed Sunday as the 7-1 individual favorite in Pool 3 of the monthly Churchill Downs pari-mutuel offering. It carries the name “Kentucky Derby Future Wager” as if it is the one and only and as if those other markets in outposts like the Nevada desert are rogue impostors. Silly money drove the KDFW market just as it did with Las Vegas bookmakers, who are happy to take it. Life Is Good is best-priced in Nevada at 8-1. Whether it is a closing pari-mutuel or a fixed price, 7-1 or 8-1 is awfully risky weighed against the possibility of a horse missing the race, getting a poor draw, running a sloppy track or starting at post-time odds of 4-1.

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