Change your nappies and fiji you and be the you input should a bed well i think were in that bit of the cycle with the u. S. Dollar remember the petro dollar was conceived in the 1950 s. But really born in 1981 when nixon took us off the Gold Standard and weve come full circle because remember in the 1970 s. We had the oil embargo wars in the early days of this petro dollar being a full you know u. S. Dollar backed global currency grid and here we have a special report trump told saudis cut oil supply or lose u. S. Military support so apparently in an april 2nd phone call trump told Saudi Crown Prince mohammed bin solomon that unless the organization of the Petroleum Exporting countries opec started Cutting Oil Production he would be powerless to stop lawmakers from passing legislation to withdraw u. S. Troops in the kingdom for sources familiar say yeah well i dont really understand us all saudi relationship anymore you know i mean why are we why do we have troops there and saudi arabia anyway why do we have troops and cutter so huge military bases right its a waste of my. Ani. Why do we have troops in south korea thats a waste of money why do we have troops in germany 50000 american troops in germany thats a waste of money you know we cause we have this huge military presence all over the world we have a huge cia n. S. A. All these intelligence agencies that we pay you know as taxpayers theyre funded with 1. 00 to 1. 00 trillion dollars a year and then when this covers 19 thing it trump is like. We dont know or we think its from china we think its from ohio but what am i paying him the cia for they cant do a coup in venezuela theyve lost their ability to do that anymore they dont know whats going on anywhere in the world what give me back my money ok i know what to do with my money i dont need to be giving it to the cia well in terms of looking a lot like the 1970 s. Right now as we head into the last days of the dollar you know back in 1973 through 79 we had you know the 1973 oil embargo then we had the 1979 iran revolution and that caused in 73. 00 the price of oil went from 3. 00 to 12. 00 and this causes huge lines across that place and we had inflation we had interventionist fed by the way that was the beginning of the interventionist fed when tall paul told paul came in in 1979 any re Interest Rates way up high in order to basically keep the dollar as good as gold now we have the opposite were having to go negative and then there was a shortage of supply of u. S. Oil and that was maintaining you know the u. S. Dollar and our primacy and our hedge of money we threaten to basically bomb them or you know cut off saudi arabia at that time but they have the power here we have the opposite is in oversupply this was ted cruz back on april 21st and he tweeted 20 tankers filled with 40000000 barrels of saudi oil are headed to the u. S. This is 7 times the typical monthly flow at the same time oil futures are plummeting and millions of u. S. Jobs in jeopardy my message to the saudis turned that tankers that back around so you know just like when youre a baby and youre born and your diapers are this big now or diapers are this big and you know thats the only sort of difference as very similar to what we had in the 1970 s. While lists were off the russian gay hoax where that ran for like 3. Years off broadway fun seeing n. B. C. Rachel maddow playing their crazy housewife who sees russians in her cupboards oh my god russians and then that got played out and then we i think ron to china and gate and the saudis are trying to disrupt the american shale industry oh my god imagine that theyre trying to disrupt the american shell industry after weve boasted that we are bigger exports of oil than opec than saudi arabia they responded right and theyre out there are sending you know thousands and thousands of tankers lined up its its you know we need females running the world i think i think males of have have you know their sell by date has come and gone there are just too. Stupid i think maybe we need a new kind of global u. S. Dollar standard a new Standard Unit of account because this is met its half and days again were back to the 1970 s. We had a cold war back in the 1970 s. That was its no. Coincidence then that the baby boomers who are in basically a midlife crisis want to return to their teenage years this is before they return to their baby years and they need this big nappies so right now theyre back in their cold war days they want that what they had an experience back then we were threatening to bomb iran back in the one to seventys that still going on we had nixon also of course not only did he take us off the Gold Standard but he also you know introduced china back and he brought china into the World Economy thats been great for china not so great for they u. S. Citizen so you know back in 1970 s. We also had stagflation and the shortages and you see people lining up for gasoline to fill their tanks back then that was in one. 173 we also had serial killer is a lot of serial killers as with that in cells of the day we now have in cells today who do Mass Shootings but back then they used to do serial killing and that brings me back to because of course ted cruz is all upset about this Oil Situation he was born in 1970 by the way but many say he was the Zodiac Killer which was one of the serial killers of the 1970 s. Full of stuff forget about disco right this is really did the defining characteristic of the seventys donna summers possibly the greatest female vocalist but much better than Barbra Streisand much better than Madonna Donna summers is really maybe not as great as chaka khan but definitely she put the boogie into the seventys like nobodys business i can tell you that and remember i said theres a cycle of life weve come full circle and this is and the most amazing quote from Richard Nixon in 1983 and this is when the oil embargo started and iran then as opec they said they wanted the price to double or triple they wanted to set the price higher and it was at 3. 00 at the time for a barrel of oil and it did eventually go to 12. 00 but Richard Nixon of course was angry and he said this and now think of fracking and what has happened today with negative oil prices and september of 1973 Richard Nixon said quote oil without a market as mr most had learned many many years ago does not do a country much good referring to the 1951 nationalization of the Iranian Oil Industry but between october 1073 and february 97 for the opec countries raised prices by 4 fold to nearly 12. 00 so loyal 2 without a market as iran learned. Is does not do a country much good so here we have fracking without a market. That storage for their price that they need to break even now not the next 1. 00 also said that around the time famously i guess were all keynesians now. Right so he understood that the economy was transitioning to one of pure debt based money right that the days of hard money the days of accountability the days of the american supremacy in terms of its ability as a manufacturer and export are what they inherited after the huge when of world war 2. Were over and there was also the last time that wage earners had any kind of decent wages the average wage earner could support a family and not go not to live in their car and work in a walmart chair right so he understood the damage he was inflicting on the u. S. Economy and. You know the oil markets should have gone belly up long ago you know its supports the quoted industry that has already been superceded by far superior technologies than the Combustion Engine and some of these other technologies that are 100 years old or more but you know we keep it around like some demented 98 year old great great grandparent that you know maybe. Is past the past their prime well that sounds like our you know our president ial race but lets move on to what you know here he was not only referencing how the us empire is born of you know violence and threatening overthrowing the the democratically elected most today in iran and he nationalize the oil industry today weve come full circle because america has basically nationalized its oil industry its been 0 percent Interest Rates that interventionist fed that has subsidized the oil industry the fracking industry which has lost money the last 10 years and that the only way you can lose money and keep on going is in a soviet sort of style where youre being subsidized by the state but now theyre actually the u. S. Government is going to intervene and bail them out even though they still wont make money but now the taxpayer gets to own them and you know in terms of this full circle he took us off you know and Richard Nixon tarkus off the Gold Standard hard money and were now back to hard money because when is the revenge of hard money against the us its the death knell is the final nail in the coffin of this u. S. Dollar system that isp. Spidered and you know the whole rise and fall the crashes in 2002008 this are all about this right plus its global so every country has being victimized by keynesian psychopaths venezuela colombia mexico everywhere in the world china japan you know you name a country and theyre a keynesian fia moneys cesspool and they have access to bitcoin and youre separation youre separating the state from the currency lattimer putin recently said in an interview something he was asked about bitcoin and he said well its you cant have a National Crypto currency because they are transnational theyre not they dont theyre not something no borders no borders right and were within 5 seconds stop pushing himself as probably the only world leader anywhere that even has any understanding of crypto and bitcoin at all and finally i want to end with these 2 things that show you that the dollar is doomed and this is the death now these are the last days that the dollar its a petro dollar system so here is the price of oil going back to 870. 00 this is the 1st time its negative both nominally and in real terms and finally of course that you need an economy you need a thriving wealth producing industry you know leading power in order to rule the world and here is debt to g. D. P. Vs velocity of money this is the death this is this is it since 2000 its been dying velocity of money is way down its in the hands of a few they think that you know the games over right thats exactly what happened the soviet union you know were recreating the soviet union i would love to talk to president bush out of here putin about this on the casa report you know ive been sent over hundreds of invites to your office on the crime one so far no response blat lets make it happen. Well well take a break and when we come back lets walk coming your way see. The world is. Shaped by those. Who. Thinks. We dare to ask. Welcome back to the kaiser report imax kaiser time now to go to Jason Williams hes a cofounder and partner at morgan creek digital jason welcome to the kaiser report hello hello great to have you on now we want to get john for one thing thats going on here is they have an ng its expected around a may 11th in the big coin having. To explain briefly what that is for folks and have has it been priced in yet up so the having is a important event in the big corn world where the allocation of bitcoin gets cut in half its a devastating event for miners and that they have to have their businesses right or they will essentially go out of business so what youre seeing right now is as an exciting moment a little bit of foam oh people are buying into this event my opinion is though were going to have a sell the news and probably have a minor capitulation going into the having which causes the price to go down so pressure. But amazing event happens every 4 years and this is it coins olympics yeah a bit coins olympics you know you mention mining there and you got into big coin really mining and doing a lot of mining and we can talk a little more about that but to kind of broad now a little bit so. I just saw a number basically that miners span or were rewarded last year i dont know how many billions of dollars but this was this was positioned as this is the cost to secure the Network Mining secures the network explain what that means yes so the hash rate that thats contributing to mining bitcoin it costs money. So you have to purchase power. Put that power through computers those Computers Cost money and that money those assets that contribution of that hash rate all securest what is the block chain a bit coin and secures those transactions youre able to for people like me who are investors a big point arrive at a base price for big corning if you can start to look at the amount of cash rate thats contributed to the network. And most of us feel like here in north america the floor for mining big coin is around 55800. 00 box if youre in kazakhstan or iceland could be lower some of the miners like genesis miner may even have lower base prices but. Youre able to start to contemplate what the floor is on this thing where really brings the pain for miners if the price drops so it sounds like any other type of mining gold mining so mining coal mining theres a cost to it and if youre profits down dixie the cost 10 years ago not a business you know this is interesting because a lot of people say because it is backed by nothing well it that you know i know feel that money is backed by nothing and the cost of creating a trillion dollars a fee at by clicking on a computer key and adding some zeros i know that is generally nothing but in the big plane area actually there is a cost it is backed by something explain yeah i mean its backed by the cost of the computer so back when i started mining the theory im in bitcoin were building g. P. Used by a sick miners those miners back in s 9 would cost you about 2800. 00 box back in 2016 and you know youd have to put together thousands of these computers to to put together in a network get on a mining pole and you start taking 2800 times a 1000 you can do the math. Theres your hardware contribution then each of these computers takes about 1250. 00 watts of power times a 1000 now youre buying nearly half a mega water a megawatt of power to run these things that cost money you get power bills at your hall so take that power bill multiply it by a 1000 and its a real op ex and cap ex cost that legitimate Business People are investing in the Bitcoin Network it is backed by real money Real Investments real power and thats why this thing is not like our feet dead money that were dealing with today so in the gold mining business as i dig deeper and deeper and deeper my costs go up so the value of that scarce resource which i have to go get because and go deeper to get it goes up because people want it its hard money i guess similarly with Bitcoin Mining even though the reward after having as cut and half it goes from 12 and a half to 6 the quarter bt say. The the the hope of course is that the value per bitcoin goes up because if in fact the having happens and if the hatchery goes up its because its becoming more scarce its becoming harder money and in a world flooded with money theres going to be a demand for hard money but you describe this as to very tricky for miners a massive get things very right or they could we could see some miners go offline and some of describe what you mean by that yeah max you know there are miners that are going to hit the wall come may 12th when the having a curse because their technology cant keep up with the difficulty thats occurring so right now theres some portion some percentage of miners that are running ass nines or some technology thats similar to the. And those miners contribute about 13. 5 terra hash for 2nd so the network the next generation s. Seventeens that have been released by the basics producers contribute 58 terra hash for 2nd so youve almost got this exponential efficiency through chip set Technology Advancements thats come in says and so the market miners who are in this game the long hands the people with low time preference theyve already switched out the old miners and put in the new technology so theyre prepared for the future the next 4 years of mining those that didnt have the resources for capital constraint had been selling their decline to keep up with the depressed price and havent made the cap ex expense to put in the new technology there don totally don come may 12th the when the having a curse because theyre going to be not able to mine any decline and they still have the op ex expenses of our the hardware replacement so this these computers are scrap max theyre scrap it and now you mention the difficulty so lets talk about that a little bit so the having is one layer of the big coin protocol stack another layer in that stack would be the difficulty adjustment so every 2 weeks that the protocol essentially surveys whats happening out there and will either increase or decrease the difficulty at which its to find a block and a block happens every 10 minutes and the rewards or pay out every 10 minutes and the Monetary Policy because it has to issue because every single 10 minutes but that difficulty adjustment or the way youre describing it if there is a lot of mine or something go offline and hash rate drops then when we see a difficulty adjustment way. With essentially a just for that and its a a lowering in the adjustment and the network would maintain the genius of this protocol that the the 10 minute block time when would continue unabated right you have actually described it beautifully in the genius that is the Toshi Nakamoto or whomever that group of people is that represents that idea theyve built the system to incentivize miners so as difficulty increases its more competitive for us to be awarded bitcoin with mining contribution but if there was a vent and event where minors came off line and there was less hash rate the difficulty follows that to incentivize people to come back online or to stay online because theyre getting more of a share of the big reward every 10 minutes its an amazing Monetary Policy thats algorithmically driven without a fed without gero how without these these as you would call a cut the cracks and all this crony capitalism i mean i wish we had more time to talk about p. P. P. And all the rest of it because ive just seen my friends my family our Small Businesses be absolutely decimated by putting me in a basement right yeah i wish we had a lot of time to talk about it maybe well do something on the podcast but lets talk further about this difficulty so the adjustment occurs in a way that would override any notion of a mining death spiral so this was a over the 1st few years of big coins life there were big coin advocates or personalities who would say you know and mistakenly claim that a big coin death spiral would occur because once the has fresh starts to go down and the profitability of mining goes down. Its a cascade effect as you might see in the Banking System for example of one bank goes down it takes a lot of banks down but what weve discovered really several years into the project right this was an obvious day one it was only obvious several years later again to the genius of the toshi here that if in fact a lot of miners go off line the protocol somehow figures out the sweet spot to get greedy miners to commit capital to go try to make big point right it isnt that how capitalism and free markets work if theres an opportunity to put money to work and make a return on that investment smart Business People do that all day right max right so and the goal of the miner is to get the reward so theyve got to solve the hash and that means you add a block onto that onto the chain which has all the transactions of the last 10 minutes theyre verified by the. The minor gets to add to the block at the get the reward and they have to solve for about half and just in a way all it took to describe how this works so that so its that the solving of the hash its a brute force. Calculation barrage you know trillions and trillions as you point out i think the house right now isnt they quintillions hundreds of can tell you answer thousands of quintillions but those are gases theyre guessing at the solution thats being put forward by the protocol and that cash rate if the price keeps going up in the ashtray keeps going up and the nonce which is that number that theyre chasing continues to get smaller. Is its interesting because the hardest money in the world is produced by chasing an ever smaller fraction of a number jason. Max one would think that the price goes up and that sun ario as it coing as more hash rate continues to be added to the network as the difficulty continues to rise as the reward continues to shrink you get this supply and demand shock thats constantly hitting the network the price has to go up you know this is baffling not my opinion right on all right well thanks so much for being on the kaiser porchester while you observe morgan creek digital my pleasure and thats going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser as they severed like to thank our guest Jason Williams as i said hes over there morgan creek does it all if you want to catch us at twitter its tweet us the kaiser report intellects dot bio. Thousands of american men and women choose to serve in the countrys military decision a little shot. Every time to complete. 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