M.P.'s have now written to him to trigger a vote of no confidence we support our correspondent at Westminster David Porter the vote will take place between 6 and 10 o'clock this evening so it means by tonight we will know whether to resume a has managed to see off this threat what she needs to do is to win she only needs to win by one there are 315 Tory M.P.'s who are eligible to vote so if she gets 158 or more she would have seen this threat of it's not quite as simple as that though in practical terms because a lot will depend on how many people either vote against trees or May or withhold their support from her extra spending on health and education will form the core of the new Scottish budget package to be announced today the finance secretary that of a car he says he's trying to create stability and prosperity in an effort to counter bricks at chaos but the Tories are warning many Scots will end up paying more income tax than in England this from our political editor Bryan Taylor Derek McCarthy has already pledged a real terms increase in health spending and he'll give priority to education to partly to fund a teacher's pay deal on income tax he's likely to leave the $5.00 Scottish tax rates alone it's the upgrade the income threshold to which these 5 rates apply in line with inflation that would leave Scots on low to average income paying less than in England while higher earners pay more the Tories say that gap could hinder the economy but Derek Mkhize ses his balanced approach will aid stability lacking a majority the S.N.P. Needs to do a deal with another party probably the greens but they are holding out for radical reform of council finances hundreds of police officers are hunting a gunman after 3 people were killed and 12 others wounded in a shooting in the eastern France city of Strasbourg the suspect escaped after exchanging fire with soldiers and armed police yesterday. A Christmas market tests are sealed is a Utah news journalist the question that people here asking you know last night wondering Has it been arrested is it safe to be out on the streets and the interior minister he said that schools and high schools here will be open but it is up to the parents if they would like to let their children go to school today I think that is the main question is whether it is all right to be police in New Zealand say the body of the murdered British backpacker Greece Malayan has been formally identified the 22 year old graduate from Essex had been missing for more than a week before she was before she was 5 and her family are making arrangements to bring her back to the U.K. Traffic has begun flowing in the longest stretch of the Aberdeen bypass to be opened barriers on the 20 mile creep's turn to stone haven and Charleston section were lifted at 2 o'clock this morning however the whole route to still to be completed motorists using the order being urged to drive with caution Police Scotland say they'll be conducting speed checks out and Duncan is from the road policing unit the nature of the road it's a very safe design it's very long street stretches drivers really need to pay attention the speedometer not be increased to allow the speed to creep up and stay well within the limit particularly as you approach junctions in that you're going to vote and or protest or from well some self with what little it looks like and how they are actually my cynical junctions and trying to poach the retailer Dixons Carphone has reported a pretax loss of 440000000 pounds for the 1st half of the financial year but compares with a profit of 54000000 pounds in the same period in 2017 the group which issued a profit warning in May and plans to cut its costs by 200000000 pints. Meanwhile Scotland shopkeepers face a nerve racking Christmas season after reporting a very poor set of figures for November Black Friday promotions failed to stimulate sales of non-food items according to the Scottish Retail Consortium and revenue fell at the fastest pace for 21 months of business in the colony editor Douglas Fraser reports grocery bills last month were up though the pace of growth slowed in previous months the categories causing most alarm to retailers were in non-food particularly clothing food where toys and beauty products for conventional shops non-food sales registered the worst figures for 20 years don't 5 percent in November last year when they'd fallen more than 4 percent in the year before this part of late Black Friday discounts at the end of November and may be a sign of household spending cut backs There's also the shift to online shopping yet even including web sales non-food was 4 percent during the Scottish Retail Consortium described the figures as dire ahead of a nerve wracking festive season at the end of a bruising year for many a great grandmother in Australia is thought to become the world's oldest skydiver at the age of 102 Eileen O'Shea who completed her 1st skydive on her 100th birthday completed 814000 Fu tandem jump to raise money for charity that's the main news sports headlines feel good like Gary thank you he's near Bud player is he it's how the understated Derek McInnes is describing much when a debt of fairness and after it has midfielder scored an injury time overhead kick went out against Livingston last night the Dunn's $32.00 victory sees them leapfrog Levy into the Premiership top 6 sky will end their involvement in cycling after the $21000.00 season it follows a decade of success with Team Sky winning 8 to get on to it including 62 at the fronts the team will continue if they can find a new Barca and former world champion Stuart bang them as out of snooker Scottish Open Trump Mark Allen and home favorite Martin minus are all safely through the opening round. Marie Watson has the latest on the travel front in detail in looking to the slaughter cures on the A 9 so burn near the charnel fear you've got roadworks which should finish today and when the North by and partially blocked by a broken down gas tanker near the Darwinian Tarnoff city's main tell you go here and 5 ball far we're getting reports of Western Avenue blocked between ball far and Kadam I think an ambulance is on the scene here is again what the approach and it is spend an Edinburgh look you saw at Harrison gate West by and through Glasgow you've got congestion on the M e junction 13 Provan to 17 Great Western Road and on the train's destruction to Airdrie bollock and Motherwell to Damir services via were flipped because of damage to wires at Drumchapel nothing between Western and chapel is affecting the lights have made a hill partic Island services to do check B.B.C. Radio Scott the travel details on the weather forecast from Good Morning Well this morning starting on a cloudy note with a little mist and hill full but also some patchy rain affecting western districts specially towards the west coast and the Western Isles through today that patchy rain will linger but elsewhere it's looking largely dry and we should see some bright or sunny spells develop especially in the north initially and then later through central and eastern districts temperatures today peaking between 5 and 9 Celsius for most with a keen a safe easterly breeze through this evening and overnight the rain fizzles light becoming dry and clear temperatures dropping lower than last night so the rest of Apache frost and then the next couple of days bitterly cold with a significant wind chill brisk winds but mainly try and fairly bright that's the weather thanks very much for that Gale 8 minutes past 8 now and you're listening to Good Morning Scotland so let's bring you right up to date with the news to the U.K. Prime minister treason may will face a vote of no confidence in her leadership later today Conservative M.P.'s will vote between 8 o'clock and 6 o'clock and 8 o'clock this evening. Mrs May has been prime ministers and shortly after the U.K. Voted to lead the European Union in 2016 but she has faced criticism in our party for the breakthrough plan that she's negotiated David Porter Westminster correspondent joins us again David morning again good morning are we expecting to hear from so Graeme Brady then we will be hearing I think very shortly from ziran Brady he will appear on Abingdon Green which is that patch of grass outside the house of parliament to make a brief statement and take questions he has already issued a statement and he says the threshold of 15 percent of the parliamentary party seeking a vote of confidence in the leader of the Conservative Party has been exceeded that would lead me to believe that actually more than $48.00 letters have gone in $48.00 letters is 15 percent of the parliamentary party which triggers what is going to happen let's not underestimate this this is going to be a huge day in British politics in about 12 hours time when that ballot closes at 8 o'clock we'll see evening we will know if treason May is still the leader of the Conservative Party and still in effect prime minister now even if she was to do so she would remain as prime minister until someone else come in to take that position but things are moving very very quickly this morning and it would be wrong to under estimate the importance of what will happen at Westminster today yes and I mean obviously some of her allies Jeremy Hunt and others back in the PM saying the last thing the country needs right now is the leadership battle and that she needs 150 votes I think to win any idea what the chances might be well I think views have been changing you're right she basically there are $315.00 conserv M.P.'s and she has to get 50 percent plus one I.E. $158.00 votes to remain conservative leader now if she gets that. She cannot be challenge for another year so you would think that she would then be able to go ahead and see breaks it through I think we have to put a sort of perhaps a just a couple of writers on that I think a lot would depend on the number of people who do not support Theresa May whether that be voting against her in a secret ballot or perhaps abstaining but those who refuse to give her their support I think the conventional wisdom had been some time ago that they thought that the reason they would win any vote of confidence within her own party things have been so feeble and have changed and are so fluid at Westminster at the moment particularly I think since she decided to postpone that vote on the withdrawal deal here this week that it is perhaps a little bit more difficult to call than we have perhaps done if we are having this conversation a couple of weeks ago I think there are a number of Conservative M.P.'s both brakes hears and remain as who are to put it bluntly exasperated at the way that she has actually conducted the Brainsick negotiations and I think there will be an awful lot of Conservative M.P.'s thinking very hard today loyalty to trees in May but do they think she is the right person to take her and the party forward Thank you very much David Porter there are Westminster CORRESPONDENT Well let's speak to columnist and commentator Andrew Peirce unders we've had this confirmation from Greene Brady What do you make of the timing of this 1st of all that there are going to be voting in just a few hours time where they're just getting on with it and that's partly because of the pressure. Because there's that the clock is ticking and when we've had leadership contest before we didn't have this great looming iceberg of Bragg's it in the background it doesn't give Mrs May much time of course to galvanize support on the back benches but she will address the 922 Committee she's not a brilliant speaker so she's really. Going to have to pull something out of the hat because I I rather agree with David I think the tectonic plates have shifted against a lot in the last week she's got an awful lot of support on the back benches and amongst ministers the decision to pull that meaningful vote at such short notice when for weeks people have been telling us she was heading for a huge and calamitous defeat but the reality is that a change of leadership in the Conservative Party would potentially be quite disruptive at this difficult time for Bracks it and there's no guarantee that a new leader even if they are someone who's very pro breaks that lots of names have been suggested would actually be able to make any sort of headway because the parliamentary government won't change well that's true but I suspect the pitch if she's if she's toppled the picture of people like Sajid Javid the home secretary Boris Johnson the former foreign secretary will be that they would go for a managed exit they won't talk about crashing out they would try and pitch that as a way to get through this impasse because frankly Mrs May's deal is doomed she's got absolutely no support or succor anywhere when she went traveled around Brussels and Germany and to Holland yesterday and I think if she carries on saying it's the only deal that could seal her fate because most Tory M.P.'s I speak to you see there is no prospect of that ever being passed by parliament I think you see if she pushed it to a vote she might have lost by about a 150 and they're the sort of numbers she needs tonight from backbench Tory M.P.'s to survive Yes indeed and I suppose the difficulty or at least the potential danger for those who are pushing to get rid of her is that if she does survive this evening then she's in post for a year she is she's there for a year and there can be no challenge whatsoever she'll carry on trying to make this deal work and frankly it won't work so you just can't see really how this is resolved which is why I suspect they've decided to push this to a vote now about bench Tory M.P.'s and ministers of course. Because they think they're going nowhere with Mrs May still and somebody else has to give it a try although she said the vote would be by January the 21st this deal can be put back till the end of March but you will hear cabinet ministers low to Mrs May saying if you topple her article 50 will have to be delayed that's the case the make camp is going to play that they will have to delay Article 50 which means we don't leave the at the end of March as we as we planned whether that will work or not I'm not sure I think she's in deep deep trouble and if we are talking to more war and she has lost the vote of confidence tonight how difficult a process might it be for the Tories to choose a new leader because as you say there are people in the Cabinet who are ambitious we've got some who believe that it's time for a break city or to take charge of number 10 and could it be fractious it will be because they they they will not they were NOT be a coronation like there was with Mrs May They were not gather around one leader I'm quite sure of that I think Johnson will run I think Sajid Javid will run possibly dominate Rob it doesn't rob doesn't and David Davis the former Bracks except he will run they can get down to the last 2 which is what the process requires the last 2 M.P.'s very quickly they can have a series of hustings they could up the last 2 next week but then it has to go out to the membership in the party in the country and that's going to take several weeks we might not get the new Tory leader till after Christmas so Mrs May or soldier on as prime minister trying to sell this deal but she'll be a busted flush a lame duck prime minister and frankly why would any leaders even bother wanting to see her and where does that leave the opposition parties and all these calls yesterday for a vote of no confidence in the government and different process in Parliament Well I just don't know what they're doing at the moment I mean the S.N.P. Seem to be making more more play on this than in the Labor Party Jeremy Corbyn says he's going to stay as hand until he thinks a confidence motion will win well isn't this the time to do it when they may be about to topple a prime minister maybe they'll take all the measures. But there is a lot of pressure on Jeremy Corbyn because a lot of these M.P.'s do not think he's making enough political capital out of frankly some of the worst chaos I've ever seen in government ranks in all the years I've been writing about we talked about a garden on the shadow front bench just as this news was breaking about half past 7 and he wouldn't commit to now being the time for this but if we were to see the Labor Party bringing forward a motion of no confidence in the government we could be in this rather odd situation where Tories who have no confidence in their leader do have confidence in the government Yeah and they did it would be bizarre wouldn't it they would rally behind they would rally because they course they would try and vote down the measures they don't want an election because they do not want the election and Tories they're not voting for Christmas but what with the do you P.C. Do of course with they support the Tory government. Or with what they decide to bring them down because they do not like Mrs May's deal in any shape or form I suspect that if they do there is a competence motion it will be seen off under Pearce thank you very much that's a good speech to you as well thank you for joining us at short notice this morning columnist and commentator and repeat. So high has the news that Theresa May face says a no confidence vote affected the markets under black can i get us up to date on that markets always react to claims or rumor which is what we've heard in the last year or so but know that we know one thing is happening a probable no confidence vote things that slight slightly more sold Sterling did fall against the dollar to a new 20 month law yesterday when these rumors started circulating this morning other planes against the dollar fell to $1.00 that was a bit earlier on. Up 1.25 again it's worth pointing out that we do get all this economic data on a 15 minute lease we will know where the the true picture a wee bit later on and the things the thing that the markets want really is clarity so if we're not going to get the results of a new. Confidence vote until later to the they we're going to have more turmoil on the markets and then of course you have to run to the fact that we don't really know what the Brits the OR is going to think an uncertain day definitely on the markets today and I think that's what's going to continue in the weeks ahead. Many thanks for that 90 minutes past 8 day let's just go back to our Westminster correspondent David Porter again David hello again hello we have seen I've seen. The green Brady walking along he's no indeed on B.B.C. Television speaking and we have said from. From what he's said he said he had this conversation with with tourism may last night it was very businesslike and that she was keen to resolve this as rapidly as possible you know I think the reason May and her supporters will be wanting to try and keep the momentum and keep inherent loyalty as they would hope from a concert event because we are expecting to hear from the prime minister in the next 10 minutes or so I would expect she will come out of Downing Street and make a brief statement and I would imagine she is saying that she is going to put a name forward that she will wishes to continue as prime minister because her deal on breaks it is the only one on the table at the moment and she believes she is the person who can take this forward I would expect throughout the day you will hear from ministers who are loyal to to reason may and from Downing Street itself to be saying this is all a huge distraction that you can get the leadership of the party resolved fairly quickly but if the reason May was to be defeated or did not get enough support then you would have to have a leadership election for a new leader of the conservative party and someone in the fullness of time to take over as prime minister the M.P.'s can sort out their bit fairly quickly they can whittle it down to 2 candidates but it then goes out. To the party at large in the country and that would take several weeks and I think very much the view from Downing Street this morning will be that it's a huge distraction when the prime minister is trying to sort out the final part of this very complex breaks it deal David many thanks for that 21 minutes past 8 now. Now let's go to sport feel good lad is here with us Larry thank you 5 goals injury time winner from an overhead kick it was all happening at petard last night this hour but in edged out Livingston and what we might call a thriller Paul Mitchell was there Louis Fargus in any sport season Aberdeen deserved a reputation for schooling vital goals and he secured overhead kick can still be secured all 3 points for the side of Aberdeen took the lead after 9 minutes to number one Luis an impressively came from behind to lead Scott Pittman with the equaliser and the 2nd from Jack McMillan the 2nd half was a different tale as the home side don't many teeth after the halftime introduction of color McLennan some cause cooler equalized in 57 minutes former McLennan cross and I would even went in search of a want to let me serve thought lead secured a point Bellew's Ferguson's acrobatic effort in stoppage time meant the way of potentially without a point you can see that goal and indeed all of the highlights from last night's March at our website this morning quite a finish for that Lewis Ferguson overhead kick winner here smile each of Derek McInnes. How money's not our player is capable of bad moments you know I thought was about tired than the game you know it was a way for this fantastic whale to come up with a one on a last minute shores of it tells you a lot but the boy but also tells a lot that the team in general and home ported 3 points were interesting to say this morning that just 6 points separate Plame a ship lead a south take with Aberdeen who are now up into sex the place as for the Livingston boss Gotti HOLT Well he was not disappointed but I still like they had some good chances same really good chances in re we can avoid a lot a little but yes I think today I are going to hang on I'm going to hang on but it's cost and lots of but it's something we have to we have to learn from we have to look tough and there will from as a team and League 2 it's as you wear the top leaders held in city drawing one all with Peter Hades they stay to clear off the Blue Toon Spurs have through to the last 16 of the Champions League after a late equaliser secured them a point away to Barcelona but he sighed qualifying for the knockout stages despite winning just a solid 3 point from their opening 3 group games that remember always us that in the end no one believes yes or the mission impossible mission but we are here and we are in the next station healthiness massive achievement for the club we also copy for our funds that were here before the funds. For the world to live a polite also into the knockout stages of the competition more solid scoring the only goal of the game at Anfield last night as Liverpool beat not pally one no boss you're going Klopp now looking ahead to Friday's draw so we wait for the draw no problem with that until $755.00 tonight I was really not sure that we will be in the draw a game still and now we are in it and how could our city and any team I I don't care so we are 2nd in it in the group so we will have an outstanding strong opponent. The future of Team Sky just delivered Tour de France wins for Britons but oddly we're going successful man get on Thomas is and that this morning it's because broadcast the sky announced it will withdraw backing for the team at the end of 29 teen The former model champions 2 had been a Miss crashed out of snooker Scottish Open he was whitewashed by the world number 79 Tiang P.N. Phase in Glasgow injured Trump Mark and Tom favored Alan McManus all safely through and the conclusions of an inquiry are that after the deaths of 6 horses Judy jump racing short piece Chelton Festival back in March will be announced later 3 horses died in one race the grand annual chase here so racing correspondent can only a slice it ensuring that unarguably hazardous sport is as risk free as possible is the key issue for racing particularly over jumps and since the 2013 changes to the Grand National course again tree have proved so far to be successful the horse welfare spotlight has switched to Cheltenham following the deaths at this year's festival the British Horseracing Authority set up a review to look at various aspects of the incidents including the jumps horses and Joe he's taking parts plus numbers of runners much focus has been on the big field fast and furious grand annual chase the last race of the fixture in which 3 horses suffered fatal injuries one likely recommendation is for the maximum number of contenders currently $24.00 to be reduced Can only a slice at their. Let's get a travel update what's happening on the roads this morning on Marie Watson the Aberdeen bypass as we've been saying this morning the 20 mile stretch between stone haven and creeps in is open that are broad closures are and between the king's well north junction and creeps and no access from here for northbound traffic yet an alternative route as signposted between blocked off until the demands of the road is open the case Miss you're looking at restrictions on the A 99 years an H.G.V. Came across it's off the board but its cargo is still partially on the road as being picked up and dealt with queues on the one at the slaughter of the stock Tarnoff you've got roadworks here templates in operation ongoing good works but this should finish today and so the United Del win in North by and is partially blocked because a broken down gas tanker near the Darwin 8 Tarnoff looking to faithful far reports that Western Avenue is blocked between Bol Fark and cod I'm Ed Rendell many in $1000.00 spend of it is curing traffic the some sort of problem from around the Scots and junction to the many Tarnoff to be $9.00 to $4.00 it is very busy that something is causing queues which is not entirely sure what yet delays on the northbound from Junction for Mullen's barn to junction 6 old and travel time an estimated 15 minutes or so delays westbound congestion junction 13 prof and to $78.00 Western Road them $77.00 if you're coming up to Glasgow you're looking for Junction for Newton Mearns junction one to break again it's anything up to 15 minutes and the still some disruption on the trains. And the mother will flip services some sort of damages at Drumchapel So check your journey B.B.C. Radio Scotland travel back to our breaking news this morning a podium is being set up in Downing Street we're expecting the prime minister to emerge from Number 10 shortly to make a statement we know of course that the threshold has been really has been there has been reached in terms of the number of letters being sent. To some green Brady who's chair of the 1922 backbench committee to trigger a leadership contest in the Conservative Party just a few minutes ago so grim had this to see what happens now given that the threshold was reached during the course of yesterday calling for a confidence vote to take place it was then my responsibility to talk to the prime minister which I did on the telephone last night to consult on how the process should be awarded and what the timetable for that might be she was very keen that matters be resolved as quickly as is reasonably possible which is very much in a cordons with the party's rules so we made the announcement earlier this morning the prime minister will come and address conservative colleagues the night to try to do Committee meeting at 5 o'clock this afternoon and immediately after that meeting a ballot will be held between 6 and 8 o'clock and we will count as soon as we can and provide a result as soon as we can after that. Obviously with the intention of providing some clarity as quickly as is possible it is a straightforward majority 50 percent plus wall is sufficient in the rules it is a straightforward choice either colleagues say they have confidence in threes and I as a leader of the Conservative party or they do not have confidence in juries most leaders are considered party not supreme Brady speaking in the last few minutes let's get back to Our Political Correspondent David Porter and finishing touches just be made in dining street to the podium David the prime minister expected shortly and what do we expect her to see yet it seems one of those cases where metaphorically and physically all only has will be on Downing Street today because the prime minister will come out very shortly and essentially address the nation now I imagine she's going to say that she respects the process that. The threshold of $48.00 letters 50 percent of the Conservative Party has been reached and I imagine she would indicate that she is going to wish to can as Prime Minister therefore she will be willing to face this vote but she believes that she should continue as prime minister to carry on the work that she has started she probably won't say it as bluntly it is but I think the the inference will very much be from her and from Downing Street this is a distraction which is not needed at the moment that it is her job to finish the brakes negotiations and get to a point where a deal can be agreed now we would YOU to have that very important vote on Choose day that was postponed on Monday from the prime minister and I think in many ways that has changed the terms of trade as far as many Conservative M.P.'s were concerned speaking to them privately a number of them were really quite exasperated the fact that she had decided to pull this vote even though she may thought she was going to lose it they thought she should have gone ahead and had the vote and then if she had lost it she could have gone back to Brussels and said look I tried I am not going to be able to get this through what has happened at the moment is that she has gone back to various European capitals and said look I didn't think I was going to be able to get this through and they will be able to say to a yeah but you didn't put it to a vote as I'm watching a screen now there are various officials from. Here we are indeed from Downing Street those very sufficient are probably going to be the most famous they have ever been before the prime minister comes out by Nature to read them a is normally pretty good on time keeping she's running a mine of knowledge a woman at 45 seconds late I would imagine she will be out very quickly the finishing touches are just being. Put someone conveniently is standing right in front of. The podium which means that I can't see if it's got the government crest on I don't. Know because I believe that they are talking about a conservative documentary here the last time she came out and had one of these was basically when she announced that there was going to be a general election every retimed the door opens at Downing Street we think our Yeah this could be it we're good we're keeping an eye on the obvious and the minute she steps out we will obviously cross over to Downing Street to hear what she has to say but just to get through the 2 scenarios here the voters tonight between 6 and 8 will get a result as soon as after that as there as they physically can kind the votes if she wins she carries on I presume but she's weakened potentially by this vote if she loses that then we're in uncharted territory in terms of a contest for the leadership yes we are will go through the day as we think it is going to pan out forgive me if I stop that will be because some far more important than me the prime minister is coming out to make her statement. We assume she will go ahead with prime minister's question time let's not forget It is Wednesday at Westminster normally the highlight of the week is the sparring that she has with the opposition leader generally called and others prime minister's question time I would imagine she would want it to be seen as business as usual she will continue that then at 5 o'clock this evening she will address the 1922 committee that is basically made up of all Conservative backbenchers in essence what she will be doing now is pleading for her political life between now and then there will be furious calls going in from the whips to conserve M.P.'s to try and get them on side to try and ensure that they support the prime minister between 6 and 8 o'clock this evening in committee room 14 of the House of Commons. There will be the voting which will go on which will be a secret ballot and they've only got to count 315 votes they should be able to do that very quickly certainly I would imagine within 12 hours time we will know whether to reason may is still the leader of the Conservative Party if she wins she can continue as leader of the Conservative Party and as Prime Minister and crucially she cannot be challenge for one year if she wins of just a couple of sort of writers or to put on that if there was a huge number of people that had voted against her but she had still won she may feel that she didn't have the support so that is a potential complicating factor if more than $158.00 Tory M.P.'s say they have no confidence in her she then will no longer be the leader of the Conservative Party going into the future she will not be able to stand in any contest that there would then be there would then be a contest a contest of as many people who wanted to stand for the leadership of the Conservative Party M.P.'s and who got the support could get and then it would be up to consider M.P.'s to whittle that down to just 2 candidates of which then the the the members the membership large would vote down that process the thing down from Consider M.P.'s could take place fairly quickly they could probably get that done within a week or so having a series of ballots and things like that the contest in the amongst the conservative party. Membership at large would take longer to sort out we have the matter of Christmas and New Year in that as well so it would probably be January before we knew who the new leader of the Conservative Party would be OK David sit tight but we're back with you I'm sure we're still waiting for the prime minister to emerge as soon as she does we'll hear what she has to say 25 to 9 and then in time may we're joined by the Conservative M.P. For West Aberdeenshire and can Carden and. Body Good morning to you good morning so what do you make of the situation and I mean it's a very fluid situation is going to be a very fluid day but I know that I'm going to be supporting the prime minister I think it would be her modernise for the Conservative Party to change type of change leader this crucial juncture for the nation well even backing her deal but obviously you may well be in a minority here. I think it's quite plain that it was there was a huge amount of Conservative M.P.'s who opposed the you deal with the prime minister to forward which is why the prime minister barged to your yesterday trying to get some movement on some of the sticking points but that is nothing compared to where we are today today the prime minister is in charge for leadership of the Conservative Party and I think as I said read my message we were to embark on a long and a long leadership election right now as we go shifting I was brought from European Union but she can't get those deal pasta in parliament she's obviously very clear about that having delayed the vote which would have taken place tonight not instead the Conservative Party are voting on whether or not she should continue saying leader of the party. The likelihood is surely that she will be honored. Well know that we don't know that until all the votes are cast saving and it's a secret ballot and want to wait until between 6 and 8 o'clock this evening to find out the result of I said I'll be ducking the problems a lot of my colleagues are blocking the problem is that close to my colleagues like myself believe that this is no I was not the time to change leader or to embark on a of what would be seen by the general public as an incredibly selfish move by the Conservative Party M.P.'s and that is to ignore the concerns of the wider interests of the country and focus instead on an insider leadership election when it's ended exit a crazy situation really at this stage in the breaks of negotiations that the prime minister's own party is oversee not in support of the deal that he's trying to to to clear and to push through for everyone look I mean we've had we've had the debate in high school has had 3 days of debate response have a further 2 was quite clear by the time we got to the end of day 3 that there was not the support and eyes of Commons to cover the full cost line not something that's old news really but here we are I think there's anything that can be done to rescue the Tories amazed position all of the deal at this point I mean we haven't heard anything positive really from anyone she's spoken to across Europe and in the last 24 hours is so that might suggest there's any legal remedy difference that I think is going to very different things than the one hand the leadership election and she's being challenged as leader of the Conservative Party today and on the other hand how the deal and terms of the leadership election I firmly believe that she will actually win leadership election tonight I think the story of my colleagues must of the position on the deal believe that I was not the types of Bachmann to on what would be seen as a selfish leadership election when the room so much is at stake and the national interest and in terms of the deal I think. As you said she embarks on a tour of European capitals yesterday she's talking to leaders across Europe see if you get any further concessions that you're very separate issues we've got to deal with you try to get across White House Commons I've got the vote today that you are not connected and I wouldn't call I would not expect. Nor would I think it likely that those who call. The deal will necessarily vote against the prime minister this evening but if a even if he were to win this said there's always the likelihood of a no confidence vote brought by the opposition. I mean again that's but that's about the 3rd thing I think is very unlikely because I think Jeremy Corbyn know was that they would lose such a confidence vote if they were to bring into the House of Commons if he were if he was of that mind set he probably would have bought it yesterday we saw the S.N.P. Available Democrats trying to push him to move the move over to the conscious of the government yesterday so I don't think that's going to happen but I guess again that's entirely unconnected to do what's happening today the internal fight within the conservative Well if indeed and I mean if he were to to win this the seasoning what happens then can see realistically continue I mean it will be quite clear that she will not have full support of the parties and you know kind of change if you know if you really need to listen to the critics you know in time for Britain if she wins of this evening that means the she will by default continue as leader of the Conservative Party as prime minister of the United Kingdom ups how the rules work and she will be able to be challenged for another year so as I said I'm going into the vote this evening and all my colleagues are going to be voting for the Prime Minister Well Damian Green has suggested that this is a described it as as an act of of self and indulgence but also wholly and clearly and that you would agree with that completely agree 100 percent I think it's completely self-indulgent I think it's selfish I think ignoring the wider interest I think the public must agree actually much to be inviting on something like this is such a critical juncture for the country do the numbers Matar tonight to you Andrew if she wins but maybe loses the support of more than the 48 or so who have submitted letters is the danger that she's undermined Look I think she needs to win I think question is to win by a quite a significant margin that's absolutely true and I'll be spending less today speaking to my colleagues and trying to convince them that the right thing to do right now is to but to Prime Minister and to keep the ship on a steady course yeah. She might disagree with her policies regarding the deal yes right here is how she's handling aggressively those issues but now is not the time to be changing leaders of course going to set us up and all that and I think it's selfish but this is a straight majority vote wants a game Brady has made it clear that if she wins by one vote then she stays on but from what you are saying that isn't enough in terms of bolstering her leadership Well that is absolutely right the rule stay the straight majority vote so yes of course one win by one vote would mean she would carry on as prime minister of course I think a lot of us would like to see a win by significant play a larger margin and I'm quite confident she will how much has the mood in your party shifted since that vote was cancelled earlier this week those who maybe were previously loyal to the prime minister changing their view. I don't think there's been much change Gary if I'm honest people's ears regarding the prime minister regarding the deal regarding the vote this week I think people are where they were largely over the weekend there hasn't been a significant change opinion certainly I'd love to change opinion but always been a certain percentage of parliamentary party who were not supportive of the prime minister or supportive of the deal and of course that's become quite clear to change but there are again a large proportion of the party who are support Prime Minister regardless of their position on the deal and I think they'll become quite clear that they like and it's interesting also though the number of I suppose people coming out there aren't that many tweets and you know lines for many of those in support of her you know the numbers do seem very small there's obviously a you know a big Dury of reticence to come out and on supporter at this point well I think that's actually right and I think that's nothing I think you're right but I think you will see. A lobster wing in the mass people are going to be coming out publicly supporting her as the hours drag on today I think with obviously the Prime Minister's but misstatements than history and I think following that a lot of people will be making the positions clear as we move on I mean that let's face it we've only known there's a lot of 40 lashes market been breached for an hour and 10 minutes so we're very very early into what's going to be a very very long and very fluid day thank you very much for speaking to us this morning 77 P. For West Aberdeenshire and can carton there doing our job for us because he rightly points out we are still waiting for the prime minister to have to come through the door of Number 10 and give the statement in Downing Street we were told it would be about $830.00 but obviously we'll stay with the seas more than the one minute 45 seconds later she most certainly is but obviously she's got a bit of a statement to prepare some guessing not so see what's going on behind the scenes and our chief political correspondent going Campbell is at Westminster this morning a hive of activity no doubt in the last hour or so Glenn Yes absolutely I'm speaking to you from college dean just across the. From the hose as a Parliament therefore just along the street from Downing Street where the prime minister will speak shortly there's a bank of cameras and journalists here waiting for signal Jim Brady the other key player in this unfolding drama the chairman of the 1922 committee the committee of backbench Conservative M.P.'s who now hold the state of to the same A as their party leader in their hands so ready it is so Graham that will organize this vote and if the prime minister loses will organize the contest to find a new leader of the party so he's due to speak to as very shortly on this you say the prime minister also due to make remarks from doing so and all of the other politicians out there are they coming out to show their support for the PM. Yes 7 politicians on both sides of this argument within the Conservative Party are appearing at the scene Crispin blunt the former chairman of the pharmacy as committee who's committed and one of those who confirmed in writing in the place this morning that he wanted to be a change of leader and a change of direction with Frank said I've just been spoken speaking a short time ago to Duncan the Foreign Office minister who seemed to me to have been as I when he was talking about this issue he thinks that it is saw least for the Conservative Party to try and get a contest at this stage when so much is at stake for the country and we've had strong Labor's bodyguard within the last while suggesting that this demonstrates that the Conservative Party are putting their own interests trying to resolve a dispute within their party and putting all of 5 ahead of the national interest and cabinet minister David Gold saying Elliott that it is in the national interest that the prime minister sabs he's one of those who actually wins and the fact that sacristy Barkley tweeting that he fully supports the prime minister as well I wonder whether through the day Glenn. Where you are if we have to take some of the . Statements with a pinch of salt because this of course is a secret ballot that's right so people can do what they think is right when it comes to voting on this issue of course the electorate is very small there are just 315 conservatives M.P.'s 316 falters and to when the prime minister needs a majority which I guess is 168 I don't know whether she will get that or not clearly there is a hard core within the Conservative Party of at least 48 and the who want to force a contest and want to force her out but will the numbers rise above a 158 when the secret ballot gets under way at 6 o'clock tonight if they do it doesn't mean that there is an automatic change of Prime Minister this is a contest or a vote on the leadership of Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party if she loses she continues as prime minister until such time as she resigns it is possible that she might do that and make way for a caretaker perhaps her defect to Deputy David living there would also then need to be a contest and it is Conservative M.P.'s who get to decide who is in the running for that contest if there was a a large field and I think there might be they would put old I'm not list with I see these are voting right where those with the least votes the candidate with the least votes would drop each time until there were only 2 latest And at that stage at those 2 candidates would go to the white membership of the Conservative party to the site we're still watching the Door Number 10 still waiting for the prime minister to a marriage if she does win tonight Glenn then is the size of her when important . I think it would be and I think the the chairman of the $922.00 committee would need to clear those numbers if it's a win by just a little bit then it's almost as bad as losing because to have the support don't nickel more than fossil fuel elementary party is a very dire damaging position to be and we shouldn't forget of course that although Jeremy Corbyn has never been prime minister and he's been through a similar experience where his oxy desperately tried to get rid of sourced a leadership contest in the country and Jeremy Corbin one for the 2nd time and remains in his place as leader of the opposition it is a much more dramatic picture when it is happening to the leader of the pasty that is in government planning to tell you anything operational not exactly the prime minister just a marriage from Number 10 just stepping towards the podium in Downing Street let's hear what she has to see the crime rate he has confirmed that he has received 48 letters from Conservative M.P.'s So there will now be those of confidence in my leadership of the Conservative Party I will contest not with everything I've got I've been a member of the conservative cause of 40 years I've served as an activist councillor and P. Shadow minister secretary and now as Prime Minister. I stood to be leader because I believe in the conservative vision for a better future a thriving economy with nowhere and nobody left behind a stronger society where everyone can make the most of their talents with the national interest and not this crucial moment in our history that means securing our bricks it still the delivers on the results of the E.U. Referendum taking back control of our borders and money. But protecting jobs all security and our precious Union as we do so. Through good times and over the last 2 years my passionate belief that such a deal is attainable but a bright future lies ahead for our country has not wavered and it is now with in of grass. I spent yesterday meeting Chancellor Merkel Prime Minister or President to askand president to address the concerns that M.P.'s have with the back story and we are making progress and is due to travel to Dublin this afternoon to continue that work but will now remain here in London to make the case for my leadership with my column in leagues Theresa May there at a change of the nation and the Conservative party who put our country's future at risk and create uncertainty when we can least afford it a new leader wouldn't be in place by the 21st of January legal deadline so a leadership election risks handing control of the BRICS it negotiations to opposition M.P.'s in Parliament the new leader wouldn't have time to renegotiate a withdrawal agreement and get to the legislation through Calment by the 29th of March so one of the 1st acts would have to be extending the rescinding Article 50 delaying or even stopping Brix it when people want us to get on with it and the leadership election would not change the fundamentals of the negotiation or the parliamentary arithmetic weeks spent tearing ourselves apart will only create more division just as we should be standing together to serve our country none of that would be in the national interest the only people whose interests would be. Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonald. The British people want us to get on with it and they want us to focus on the other vital issues that matter to them to building a stronger economy delivering 1st class public services and. Is that family and these are the public's priorities and they must be the Conservative Party's priorities. We must. Deliver on the referendum and seize the opportunities that lie ahead but the Conservatives must not be a single issue party we are a party of the whole nation moderate pragmatic mainstream committed to reuniting our country and building a country if we want the agenda I set out in my 1st speech outside this front door. Delivering the bricks it people voted for building a country that works for everyone I have to voted myself unsparingly to these tasks ever since I became prime minister and I stand ready to finish the job. Of the prime minister to resume a They're just I'm heading back inside dining straight after giving that statement there and Terry to Tam and the Tories I'm a Despite everything else happening our chief political correspondent Glen Campbell is still with us Glenda saying that she would contest this leadership vote with everything she's got but interesting Lee saying a new leader wouldn't have time to really sort out the bricks and deal would have to rescind Article 50. Just well this is a little quite this but the country as a result of these talks. Going in a crisis has got that I don't think there's much. To be said babies bites She's very clear that you don't fight when that. When that hope to avoid it but if she doesn't see a contest there will be. Different suggestions that I. Hate to take the just a 2nd. Go with radio earlier suggesting that it might be a pretty good it was a new leader of the Conservative Party it is of course possible for faster growth states to be in place and that's up to Graham's lately chairman of the park bench 19.2 committee and the student as prime minister that he said they stopped speaking in Downing Street he came before a Bank of Canada isn't paralysed here at Westminster speaking right now and just explaining the process rising so it could be possible to move more quickly. Because in place early in January Len It will leave it there does that the line is that it's a bit tricky distant to hear you on at the moment of for the meantime thank you let's get back to our political correspondent given Porter and David interesting from what the prime minister was saying it might well tell us how the day is going to pan out in terms of Harpeth 2 M.P.'s because she talked about this potential for this leadership vote risking handing control to opposition M.P.'s when it comes to breaks and yeah the tactics are becoming quite clear on the basically do not change the leader this important time she was making a couple of pitches to Conservative M.P.'s there 1st of all that you know she is embroiled in the Bridget negotiations and a leadership contest and trying to choose a new leader if that's what happens could delay the process and could be. That very difficult she made reference to the fact that the withdrawal will vote has to come back to the House of Commons and be voted on by the 21st of January saying basically if you go with a leadership contest that could all be put in jeopardy and very much making it plain to Conservative M.P.'s and I'm sure this is something she will be saying to them personally today when she does a ring round and house them in are off is to try and persuade them is that the only people who are going to benefit from this are Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonald She name checked both of them an essential E I think what she was saying to Conservative M.P.'s as you know just think very carefully what you are going to do here you may not be a great fan of mine you may not think that I've done things particularly well all the time but I am 2 thirds down the road on this now she didn't say as explicitly as this but it was pretty obvious you know it is her view and her pitch that it would be madness to change the leader now and David Given that you and I are very very this has echoes of the leadership contest that Margaret Thatcher faced but Interestingly unlike Margaret Thatcher trees a maze making sure she absolutely stays in the country and lobbies those same peas rather than going to Dublin as you plan to do this afternoon Yeah I prefer the term experienced or perhaps even venture into. Your program if you want to yes it does how shades of 990 and something we've been discussing this morning yes she's not making the mistake of leaving the country she's going to be in S.W. One today but Margaret Thatcher if you cast our minds back when she was challenge for the leadership she won that vote with the reason she had to go was because an awful lot of Conservative M.P.'s withheld their support from either voted against her or did not support and basically her cabinet colleagues went to her and said Look it is over now you may have won but you haven't got the support. To conserve him please you haven't got the support of your cabinet that could well happen again today if there are significant number of Conservative M.P.'s who don't support or you may find there are members of the cabinet they used to be called men in gray suits it's far more diverse than that now who go to to reason may and say look you actually you do not have the support of the party and quite frankly you do not have the support of those in Cabinet and what we get that detail this evening once a green Brady and nines is the result of this election we get the breakdown and to see whether it's been a convincing win for her or a convincing defeat the honest answer is I don't know but I think even if he doesn't give them to us you will start to get those figures very quickly it's often said about the Conservative Party when it votes for leaders that it is an electorate which is very well informed and quite frankly duplicitous and also at an electorate which tends to leak and put its own spin on things so I think even if the grain Brady doesn't give us those figures they will come out fairly quickly we will have to know whether she has won or not and we will soon know I think how many people have supported her and how many people of withheld their support from her and just in 30 seconds a busy day for her pm cues lobbying in the afternoon in this vote this evening yes she will be trying to keep it as much as business as normal today but this is not a normal day how often have we said that about events Westminster she will have prime minister's question time she will have to take questions from the opposition a lot of Conservative M.P.'s will be seeing how she performs there then she will be having people in to try and persuade them arm twist she will plead for political life 5 o'clock was receiving between 6 and 8 o'clock this evening perp little future and possibly her reign as prime minister in the long term will be decided OK David A busy day for you thank you very much for that so our political correspondent at Westminster David port from India. Keep up to date with all the shenanigans and what's happening at Westminster with Radio Scotland on news programs throughout the day handing you over now with more on this with Laura Maxwell thank you very much indeed it has been a very very busy morning so far so we're asking today Cantor reason may stay or should she go a content contest has been triggered which will see Conservative M.P.'s vote on her leadership tonight she says she'll contest that vote with everything she has got so what would you like to see happen you know get in touch away to wait 59295. To review $92.00 to $95.00 and each one of the media with B.B.C. Radio stuff. Lots of texts and calls already coming in supplies get yours in early but 1st let's get the news with Julian Wilson thank you good morning the Well as we've been heating to reason me will face a challenge to her leadership of the Conservative Party the chairman of the backbench 922 committee. Confirmed anough to the M.P.'s have written to him to trigger a vote of no confidence which will be held tonight and in the past 10 minutes the prime minister spoke at site Downing Street I will contest that vote with everything I've got I have been a member of the Conservative Party for over 40 years I've served it as an activist councillor M.P. Shadow Minister home secretary and now as Prime Minister. I started to be leader because I believe in the conservative vision for a better future a thriving economy with nowhere and nobody left behind a stronger society where everyone can make the most of their talents always serving the national interest. And at this crucial moment in our history that means securing a bricks that steel the delivers on the results of the E.U. Referendum taking back control of our borders laws and money but protecting jobs all security and our precious Union as we do so Scotland's finance secretary is to reveal his job to budget plans for the coming year not targeted later that evening I says he'll protect essential public services on boost the economy despite the prospect of breaks it hanging over to its opposition parties or warning ministers will need to work hard to get their plans through votes Mr McConnell says he wants to bring.