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Elections q a. This is our first time doing this panel so we are incredibly thrilled to be back we are very grateful to our host at net roots nation and also, thank you very much for Live Streaming the session. We will be taking questions. You can tweet us to our twitter account and we will try to get to your questions as well. In the spirit of the blogosphere, this panel has always been about interactivity. We dont do any speeches and presentations and we will just give quick introductions about who we are and then well get right to your questions because we think arming progressives with information about the election they need to be fighting in is whats going to make us the most effective we possibly can be heading into the 2018 midterms and beyond. My name is david and im the political director and i run part of our website. We put out a newsletter every morning called the morning digest which covers every key race for senate, house, governorship and also for theyre down ballot and the state legislatures races. Sometimes even more obscure than that. We also are responsible for candidate Endorsement Program which im sure we will come up on this panel and the team here is all involved in helping us choose who we decide to support and who we feel we should ask our community to support. On the panel here, starting from my left is david, david works for the asl. He has been writing since 2015. His specialty is actually International Elections and he is one of the main riders on our Monthly International digest which is a great tool if you want to learn about whats going on in other democracies around the world. To my left is jeff singer. Jeff is our senior elections writer. He has been with the team since 2013. Among other things, jeff is the guy responsible for calculating the president ial Election Results for every Congressional District. Every time you see someone that Hillary Clinton 158 in such and such district, the reason why we know that is because of his efforts. Our newest member of the team, yes, i think that deserves a round of applause. The newest member is carolyn, carolyn joins us from the legislative campaign committee. David jerman once described it as the indie rock band of Democratic Committee because there are so many thousands thats what they are focusing o on. Im sure well talk about that today. Thats particularly because of the legislators who create the district that affect the house and those gerrymanders are a big part of why republicans are in charge day. Weve hired carolyn and she writes her own newsletter called this week in the statehouse action which covers exactly that going on in the legislature and government throughout the country. To her right is daniel who is from portland oregon, and dan is focused on maps and charts and graphics of all kinds. He loves to visualize the data that we put together. He has been working on a lot of data visualizations about the special election that weve seen since trump was elected for democrats have been far outperforming all historical trends and im sure he will want to talk about that later today. Finally, a last but not least, the instructional designer from Seattle Washington and david has been working with the daily Election Team since 2016. He loves to take deep dives into demographic big pictures and has been looking at the role that education place in defining the electorate in 2016 what that will mean Going Forward. Thats enough from us. Now we turn it over to the microphone. If you cant get to my phone to speak loudly. I will repeat the questions for the audience. Go ahead. I wanted to ask a question about the topic that i didnt look at very much and dont know a lot about the background, but omaha. What happened to the candidate in omaha. So the question is about the election in omaha, i presume youre talking about the omaha mayoral race that happened earlier this year. This was a difficult situation that daily host found themselves in. We endorse the candidate, keith was a former state legislator who is running for the mayoral race in omaha. I will be forthright. We did not do Due Diligence that we should have. It turned out that he had a record on abortion rights that we felt was not acceptable for progressive communities like daily coast to support him. I want to be very clear. We did not say that we thought democrats shouldnt support keith and that he should run and we should kick him out of the party. For daily coast, we have to pick and choose and be selective about the endorsements we make and we werent as selective as we should have been. When we learned about his record on abortion, we chose to withdraw the recommendation. We didnt attack them publicly and we started the reason for the withdrawal and we moved on. He ended up losing to the republican incumbent. There are some folks with said he lost because of what happene happened. Some other folks were unhappy about his abortion stance and others were unhappy about people making issue but the math seem to be fairly simple. There was a two round election. In the first round, the income of mayor was a republican and they were separated by two or three points. It looks like a potentially close race. The problem was there was a third candidate running who is also a republican in the runoff between mello and strother, the republican mayor. The other republican endorsed incumbent and ultimately that was the margin that she prevailed by. I have two questions so feel free to answer the first if thats not permissible. Alabama special election, anything, any update whats going on so that this mysterious Robert Kennedy and the democrat will have a shot. Candidate recruitment in new york, Staten Island district. We will get to both. We appreciate the short to the point. Whats going on in the Alabama Senate in the special election and whats going on with candidate recruitment in the 11h district on Staten Island. Any takers . For the Alabama Senate race, the primary is this tuesday. If nobody gets 50 or nobody gets majority there will be a runoff between the top two candidates. Its alabama but the very tough race. Nobody can deny that. We do have a democrat, doug jones who has some connections and some profiles. If lightning strikes in then some maybe hes in the right place and can pull off something, but he has a few people running against him inc including someone whose name is Robert F Kennedy junior who is not linked to the real kennedy family, but the issue is, its a pretty low energy race and the worry is that democratic voters will vote for the namely recognize even if he is not the Robert F Kennedy junior or anything like that. In the last few days, we have seen some democrats endorsement endorsements, but nobodys really spending much money here. As far as i know we will just have to see on tuesday how things work. Maybe we will have a runoff, hopefully kennedy wont run out right, but we will just have to see how that goes. Democrats are aware we are putting effort into it. New yorks 11th district on Staten Island has a piece of brooklyn. Its the only piece of new york that trump won. He did very well on Staten Island. The republican incumbent is the former Staten Island district attorney. He did not invite the Police Officer who killed eric gardner and that was a big controversy but he won very easily. Its really tough district. Stan mylan is kind of typical trump territory but its always good. [inaudible] we had a candidate who recently stepped up, former army veteran, his name escapes me at the moment. New york city is the most expensive place to air tv ads in except for parts of new jersey that also airs in new york. Its one of those districts where we should compete there and if he year from now were talking about this district its probably a good sign for democratic hopes. Thank you. Were willing to be do the hard work that needs to be done. My question to you is how early in the process do you endorse progressive candidates do you d wait until after qualified or after the primary or do you do first come first serve. The question to ask is how do we go about the endorsement. I am in the works right now on a lengthier post explaining this but i will try to answer any brief questions. Its not hard and fast rule but we usually do and the reason why is because we dont want to be perceived as the big National Group the big local race. When local folks can do an excellent job of picking their own candidates. Typically we wait until after primaries until after the final deadline. In that sense we probably well mostly have the 28th endorsement. I could go on for far too long on this question. There is something criteria and fractures but the one that i will mention is that generally speaking we try to get involved in races that we think her neck and a get huge amount of attention. The reason might we do that is because if you are running in a multi milliondollar race its gonna come in with dollars for you. The bang for the buck. It will be for a lower tier race were less money is involved. In the event that there is a big wave that we have a chance to capitalize on then we can help expand that plainfield. Say they are played in seats number one through 20 for the first two dozen seats we want to play in the next two doesnt to try to increase our chances of pulling and folks who might not otherwise have a chance. Our community is very open to back in backing the candidates that are longest shots. Thank you. It is all over the school officials. Im trying to have anybody that has the hot new take. Most of them are up this year. It doesnt mean that they dont identify with us. They have 202000 up in november. Anything that is not the big city stuff that we should maybe be aware of. The question is about which municipalraces are. One that was in the past that i think was a positive sign was in san antonio. Where there were a number of democratic victories and i think in the spring that including that. They were really seen by the most republican part of san antonio. It certainly points towards positive results. In terms of the 202000 municipal races i think that its difficult for us to cover those races just as a reality of the number of people who are involved. I think there are some great blogs of a state blog that does really great work. We can really drill down onto the lower level than those of us who are looking federally and state state wide and nationally and what they can do. I will chip in one specific race. It has come across our radar. Gilchrest. Did he get through yesterday. In detroit there had been voting problems for various sorts of problems for a number of years and the clerk there is been challenged by a young rising star and that is that. There are races that tend to get ignored. The municipal level we probably need ten points of this. We really do try to Pay Attention to those nuts and bolts races. The kind of things that do really matter to people. So we dont necessarily think about daytoday. I would like to add a little bit of excitement on the state legislative level. A little further down in most peoples radar i Record Number of candidates are running in virginia. They are setting up to run all over the country. I think we will see that level of excitement manifests itself lower down as well. Im really exciting. Really excited. It sounds like im trying to stop you but i really dont know whats going on in these races. The state legislative special election in mississippi. But the candidates dont run with party labels. In special elections in mississippi. Im not been able to determine with certainty who the democrats are. I have also been really hard and by that virginia races. I did see that one dropped out. If you any insight. There is a virginia bridges legislative race. Just on tuesday there well be a los local caucus. If they are stepping up to run again in that seat. It brings a total of women running she won 17 of the current seats. They are held by republicans and house of delegates virginia. Really excited about what is happening in virginia this year. They would overturn the result is like they did a couple of years ago. Lets call it a unique system. We are keeping an eye on that. Next question. A question on my former childhood memo. They will try to endorse. The question is about dana verb acker. The republican in california. In the 39th district. The question is whether they are concerned about not being able to get to the november general election and pass the top two primaries and also endorse in that race early. See make that would require remarkable circumstances of the second republican candidate whose name is alluding me right now. We have no idea whether he has anything going. Almost secretly as well. I dont think we will endorse until after the primary. Just through the natural asserting process. That they develop a stronger profile whether its just through the other ones where the natural next question. You may recall about two and half years ago when governor christie. As my that is my political calling card in new jersey. Most people know me as that sit down and shut up guy. What they dont know sometimes is that those in the dnc and im running on a very full progressive campaign. Given that i had 11 months until that happens. To engage the community this the sadness to help raise the profile within the community. End of the support that going to need to win the race. What should a candidate you mentioned that they had been writing on the site. That is a number one way to get people excited. The campaigns reach out to us very often. If you havent already create an account i recommend that the names and for congress in that. The thing about that. It is a very big site. And not everything that you write is going to get attention. Thats just not possible. Once in a while one of them hits. It moves on. I try not to get discouraged. Keep posting and also respond in comments to users people have questions or even if they dont and just remarks engage with them. Is how you are going to find supporters. And people in your district or your state they will want to volunteer. Those are definitely the best ways. Possibly even with your supporters directly on your email list. Having your supporters come to daily kos is a good thing also. All of them will be familiar with it. And if we have a general election this year i would be pretty excited obviously a lot can happen in the next year what are the key states for flipping legislatures in 2015. Im so glad you asked. Democrats have a lot of ground to make up instate deflectors across the country. Rich environment and what is shaping up to be a very good year. Mostly special elections we just spoke up. The majority has been further down the ballot and those indicators are very good. We flipped two seats in oklahoma. So top targets for 2018 unless i could have up to 2017. The house of delegates is they are on a pretty severe minority there. There is a real chance to make serious inroads there. And that impacts things Like Committee makeup and stuff like that. In terms of 2018 they are including places like the minnesota house. The main senate this. November we have a chance to pick up a majority special election there. If we dont do as a as a top target for 20 2018. It will still be narrow once the majority we will want to pick up more to solidify that. The Colorado State senate has a one seat republican majority. It should be a really good year to do that. In light of which seats are on the ballot. How about thoughts on to cycle target. Places like the michigan house. The democrats keep winning more votes for the state wide house there. It is a prime multi cycle opportunity. If we can keep that up for 2020. Other multi cycle targets are like the Florida State state senate. Those maps are not great but not terrible. Given that its pretty even pretty statewide. Weve a real chance there. Considering how much is there. Is a multi cycle target. Literally always. It strikes me as another possible cycle opportunity. I dont sleep on iowa either. It tends to be trending more republican. Lets see if we can flip that back in 2018 and 2020. And there was one that i wanted to add for 2018. I would never forget the new york state senate. Funny situation not funny ha ha in North Carolina. There would be new elections on new state legislative maps in North Carolina in the house and senate in 2018. We dont know what those maps are going to look like yet. They honestly cannot be much worse. Weve a chance to break the super majority. It would help the democratic governor quite a lot. Dont sleep in North Carolina either. Nancy jones. And i have to tell you that im a little overwhelmed at the analytics and expertise on this panel. I appreciate it. And most of what i know about elections outside of where i live comes from you guys. Thank you a lot for that. I have a question i have just been wondering about. I wonder if you guys had thought about it at all and following your work. Im aware that some of these races that have been going on have been initialized for instance that. And others. And others are not Getting National attention and from what i see and i dont dig into it that deep. They are winning somewhere theyre not Getting Nationalized. Im just wondering if you all had run any numbers or thought anything about that. Its whether they are faring better. In races that. Just north appear. I dont know that we had run any numbers but i definitely think we have some of those. I think there is a degree in a difference that we will see in these races that have become National News and have become very heated. Among the democrats they created a response among republicans. It will probably turn out higher than they have. There has been no News Coverage of it. Theres only so much i think we can do to control it. Out to get something we can dwell on too much. Its very under the radar. In the Republican Party come in and did wrobel robo calls. I think that was around six points because of increased republican turnout. Its something that is beyond our control. If they would advance any sort of that. The goal is to get voters out. And hope that there are more of them. I think there usually are. When everybody votes. I think we just head to kind of leave that. Its great for us in terms of winning the election. The congressional high and the viewing once that they had been very interested. The fact that it was six points in kansas for those. Even though its not great to lose them at high levels no one had done anything. Theyre still really good news at the broad scheme of things. One last time if you are watching the life history. As someone who works in the crazy New Hampshires office. I am looking ahead at the redistricting they have the wonderful districts. That help makes the elections very swinging. They produce Sexual Assault winners that they win seats and hold seats. She was a state rep. To do the data and look at what that legislative body should be looking like electorally that well had to get through that chamber between now and then if its going to be changed. So the question is about the state house. The craziest state legislator chamber. It has a 400 members based on the population if the u. S. Congress have the same ratio of population to members we would have 96,000 members of congress. I think i like that idea. The general topic i think is how do we get that. Its fair to say. I just dont think it. New hampshire is unique. So if you voters in each district. A low rate of return for your typical officeholder. Being a member of the New Hampshire state house. Its partially about the folks that run. Having to find new folks. They make the Time Commitment each year and make the commitment to run. Running for office is not easy. Its not just lower education its about recruitment. New hampshire is special with that. They can meet pretty much all of the voters. At least a huge chunk. It might seem like very often you should really try hard to win in the seats. The New Hampshire legislator. You cant take your election for granted more than just going on vacation. You should really try hard. Some of these people when and they dont try hard. And one other thing i would add. More broadly is that they get paid a hundred dollars a year. You get the quality of the legislator that you pay for. I think that is something we have seen and state legislature. When officials are paid like fulltime officials. They cannot afford to. During the legislative work. They are not getting any income for it. Your state legislator. Is not a popular popular seems to always take. They need to be able to be paid like a serious person. I hundred dollars a year is not really one. What is your take on the second Congressional District. Yes bill if you run. I think he is vulnerable simply by virtue of being a very close swing district. And also were in special Election Results. I think we are seeing a lot of snapbacks from lower educated districts like that. They are showing us that the voters are not permanently lost to the trumpet ish version. Theyre having second thoughts. Note be my main concern with the main second. Whether we can get the voters back. Main second is an odd district. It includes the portion of maine. A lot of rural areas north of portland. They have that with one surprise. They are carrying it by about ten points. They are shifting from obama by nine points to trump by ten points. They are shifting back. The first two terms he kind of kept his head down. This time he is getting his head into the more trumpet things that he than he should be. His been handling questions about that. We do have some candidates who are inking about that to have some good bases. I think this is one of those areas and a good year we could definitely shift back and mean it doesnt maine doesnt tend to like reelecting them. I think some of the things are coming off on them. This is a chance for you to talk a little bit about turnout. The california organization. And that congressional seat. And our primary strategy if you will as the basis of turnout. The midterm turnout. They achieve closer to a president ial turnout. That a lot of these seats. And they get closer to the surge that weve seen in a the special elections. So at least 12 or 14 of the seats are not within reach. The question is what is the role of turnout in that gap between general elections. And what kind of focus or importance that place and Going Forward in 2018. In california because of the top two primaries is very possible at the top that there well only be two democrats. We also an opportunity that way. So turnout is a very broad topic i guess its a is a little bit difficult to address but i will look at it through specific lens of the georgia six race which im sure everyone paid a lot of attention to. In that race they set a record for democratic turnout. The problem was they also set a record. Sort of touches on another set that weve answered before. And i think that david beard was talking about this before. That wound up not working out for us precisely because it was such a republican district. I think the thing that got lost in the wednesday morning quarterbacking was that they were with so many seats that are bluer than the georgia six. Most of them. And in 2018 if we have that same kind of turnout surge even if they have a big turnout surge. The surge is bigger and there as many is many people that come into play. The trump results in the georgia six were very close in that kind of have a lot of people with the close district. If this enthusiasm keeps up and it keeps up i think we could keep leapfrogging that republicans on the security side. I would just add i think its important for us to think about three broad buckets. I think the democratic voters who may turn out. In the Republican Voters who may or may not turn out. I think it is true that you could see some problems with some republican turnout. Because if they dont end up with the republicans. And given the trump popularity. You could see problems with that but its also something thats really outside of our control. And so if that happens okay. And if its not i think we need to be in general focus on getting our turnout as best as we can be its probably not can be all the way to president ial level but the closer we can get to that is better. The republican vote will be what it will be. Its outside of our control. There is a question from online. In the question is what are your models telling you about 2018 for the house and senate. So last year we ran the polling based models to try to forecast the outcome of the elections on the president ial side they were incorrect in our predictions. They turned out to be quite accurate. There werent really any upsets. There is not enough data on the house as i do for us to do that. We still dont know who candidates are. I do think that we can answer more broadly what we see happening in 2018 and one thing you can do is look at the generic house ballot. It just asks people who do you want to see in charge of the house next year. You can plug that into we dont have our own model that were using but they have a model to use with historic data and if you plug the tenpoint generic ballot in. Thats at least a 30point gain in the house. It is enough to flip it. The question is what the historic precedent here. It is probably the most rigid map that weve seen with that democratic wave coming in. It is a question of how high is a levy that they had built against the way. We dont really know with certainty because there is not much historical precedent for that. I will add that we may not have a model but we had been noticing numbers coming in that are extremely favorable as far as the number of candidates who have already declared in the house races the amount of money they are raising. They are even set yet. We will take a look at these sorts of numbers later on. Maybe the third or Fourth Quarter when things are all subtle and we have a better idea of whos running where. But that together with the special election which i mentioned before just off the charts compared anything that weve seen in this century since 2004 and 2002 although i havent finished those numbers. It is looking good right now. And if we have the Midterm Election this year i would be really excited but a lot can happen in the next year. I do get even more than that. With this guy at the white house much more than a lot can happen in the next year. It could get a lot worse for the or scenarios that could get worse for them. The volatility is much higher than weve ever encountered before. Probably since the 1860s. My name is peter lazar. We hold resistance. We are not political but we do hold resistance meetings once a month to keep our cindy. We watch them in montana South Carolina and georgia disappointed by understanding that the trends were favorable. What is your opinion about whether these candidates came close. The rematches during the general election or do you have data to suggest it. Different candidate to compete. I dont know the answer. The candidates who ran in the Congressional Elections do they have any opinions on whether they should run again or whether they should look to new options. I dont think its super clear but i have found with notable once. There is not a lot of great history of special election winners. They tend to get the benefit of the doubt for their first general election. At the memories of the special elections are still in peoples heads. They tend to just vote however they voted in the special election. I think kansas for in the South Carolina race those are really tough districts. Both of those ran incredible campaigns. I think they would probably get a big benefit of the doubt. Theres also probably not a lot of candidates. With montana and georgia six i think there is not anything inherent against that. They raised money and ran reasonably close. I dont think theres anything wrong with it. If there are other candidates when they see who comes out on top. There is a lot of interest. I think that was there. In one of the oklahoma special elections a candidate who lost in the regular election one the 2,017th special election. And as a reflection of the changing political things that were in. How poorly they rejoin in all of the special elections leading up too and on election day. And since then you have seen a big shift as he has is god one office entered into office towards democrats. I think that is a prediction ofs shifting the win. A little different going from general to election. I missed the first 15 minutes so i apologize if this is already covered. I want to talk about that midwest. With what happened here. Considering what happened last year and where you think the race stands. Most of them are pretty will liked. They have varying degrees. And that they are all key governor race as well. Just some of your thoughts on those things. The question is what we see happening in a Key Senate Race where Democratic Senators in midwestern states any of which were one might trump in how we think they will be faring in 2018. These are states that they nearly one. In a midterm year if things are going even a bit against the white house like they usually are i think they will be okay. The republicans dont seem to have really top top ones. It is absurd and it might not happen but we said that two years ago and look what happened now. That said pulling off the type of person that they have. He is pretty will liked. He has won decisively twice. In pennsylvania did go to tron. It looks like the Top Republican candidate he hasnt declared yet but it sounds like you well. He is basically the pre trump of pennsylvania. As a matter of this small town. He passed all of these really good insight immigrant measures. He is basically volunteering the test. I doubt it will but we will see. Its someone at least the white house lakes. If trump is approved like they are now. People are going to be wanting a mini trump as for the other races they have a potential interesting candidate. He has some richmond backers. There are some speeches of him with this. I was a democrat and look at that. How smart i am now. We will see what happens there. And there are some other republicans talking about running there. Id love them pursue nation the impersonation of the republican meathead. Show of hands. Does north dakota count as a midwest or the great plains. Lets get heidi high camp then. My name is lala and im one of the cofounders of the sister district project. We are super excited to be playing in a bunch of virginia races this year. Aside from the surge in excitement and International Interest which is obviously super awesome. Are there any other trends that you are seeing right now. Or are there any trends are things that you are looking at down the line and you are concerned about. What other trends are we looking at in terms of going through the election. You mentioned the excitement in virginia and that is a real thing this year. I touched on this before. Its not just excitement among the electorate. Also do some folks stepping up to run. Running for office is hard. It is not a cake walk. Its not fun. It is a rude awakening for some of these folks. They have hung in there. And it kept wondering for office. That is another really positive indicator that they shocked me this year. Very pleasantly so. The number of women that is set to run in virginia is historic. More than half of the challengers taking on republicans and state delegates are women. Its truly remarkable. Nothing in the menstruation has done or republicans have done since they held. And they have that. Since the republicans were swept into power. I think the women who are already active in their communities are stepping up and taking that next crucial difficult step. The really good indicator of where we are right now. Just in the last quarter we saw a lot of people that run for office before that are inexpensive media markets in the districts. Despite not having held that before. And head that preexisting network. That in and of itself is a really good indicator. We are playing on existing rules right now and that is extremely important to raise that. Its good to see a lot of the candidates that are running in this district. We havent fielded a serious democratic candidate in a long time. The district that districts where we dont have. I dont want to say it is all sunshine and rainbows. We do still the people. But its a good trying to see people who are running incredible campaigns and a lot of these districts that have been ignored forever. Two sets of numbers that i will throw out at you very quickly from a new website. It is the number of seats in the house. And they have a look looked at how Many Democrats and republicans have filed with the fec to run for the house. It is a necessary first step in here is what the numbers are. There are 241 republican held seats in the house. And of those we have the Democratic Candidates who have filed in hundred and 91 of them. 79 percent of all seeds. It is only august 2017. Democrats only had 194 seats in the house and republicans have only filed in 62. Of those districts. I think in aggregate those numbers really show where the enthusiasm lives. It is not just that perception is the hard numbers really backing up. Do you know which states can we get a ballot measure on to do what california did and get the independent commission to decide the lines and which in which do we have to vote out the governor to get that kind of change. In which states can citizens put a ballot measure on the ballot to require independent redistricting versus which states accept the other republicans. The latter group is much bigger than the former stephen wolf who is also a member of our team he has done a lot of work on this. I wish he was here right now to answer this question the number of states we can do that is small i think ohio and michigan our examples of that. I think an important point to make is that in most of the states they have already been attempted sometimes multiple times in the states. Regardless of whether the remedy is available i think its not something to be relied on. Putting out the republicans in the state legislature is a much more reliable way of ensuring a fair reached districting. Like Voting Rights and reproductive choice and things like that. Sometimes you have to vote out some of that Democratic Leaders because some of them they would rather had state seats in the minority forever then risk their seats to get a majority. We have seen in ohio where during 2011 and 2012. They actually did have sabotaged us to put it on the ballot. And in pennsylvania you did have some of that Democratic Party leaders they did work with them to drop the districts. They went to their safe districts. You might need to anyone who is doing this will also had to work around the democratic establishment at least not rely on them and that is something that we need to be aware of. As pulled up stephens map. And the total number of estates where this could happen is eight states where you could get a ballot measure on to create the districting. Most of them are very small. It might be a win for good governance. They are putting the ballot measure on where it only has four Congressional District apiece. That is not necessarily a good use of our resources. The bigger to argue to beat michigan and ohio where the as possible. Florida is also a possibility there they did pass something they called the Fair Districts amendment the problem is that still has the power to draw the districts in it just creates restrictions on what they are allowed to do. This is what they do when they are told they can do something. They do it anyway and then they wait until they get sued. This has happened over and over again particularly in North Carolina theyve have tons of maps thrown out by the courts this year. The problem is we spend years and years with republicans winning elections under these illegal gerrymandered lines. It probably isnt an appetite for that anymore there. And you need to 60 for a measure to pass not just 50 . I think probably focusing on elections is really the better place to focus. We only have a couple minutes left we will take russians really quick. Real quick you guys built some great tools they were much more excess a bolt to get to. Is there any work getting done. They want to try to figure what theyre getting done there. The question is about the tools that they make available. Been more visible and prominent on the site. We are working hard to try to bring those back last year the day after the election when we have the big meeting. And unfortunately that meant all of the links to all of that the others had worked on. Really everyone. We will be bringing us back just as soon as we can. I am running against congressman no shoe smith. He has not is not lived in our state since 1983. He has not held an open public town hall meeting in 25 years. Its time for us to retire this 37 year and, and im curious to know the district leads republican with a pda rating of our plus seven hundred 26,000 democrats. 220 plus voters. Have you done any analysis on new jerseys fighting force and if you have can you please share with me. The answer is we probably artie had shared the main analysis that weve we done which would be the president ial results. In that district. Donald trump 156 percent. For Hillary Clinton it was actually a little bit closer when they wanted 54 to 45 back in 2012. What we will also be doing once jeff is finished with the beast of the project. We are going to go back and we are were going to look at the other state wide races that took place as and then bring this down along the lines for congressional legislative districts. That would include senate races and government races. We will also do the 2017 governor election. I would say expect to have it before election day. It is time. Thank you so much everyone for coming. And thank you for the artist capturing asked. Life coverage. Join us for live coverage of the 2017 conference on cspan. Saturday night on book tv, beginning at 9 00 p. M. Eastern, former marine Corps Officer tracy crow and jerry bell, former neighbo naval officer, talk about the history of women in the military in their book, its my country too. Womens military stories from the American Revolution to afghanistan. For so long, womens stories, womens military stories have just been discounted. Its been appropriated by others. She just felt like the timing was right. We ended up enough in iraq and afghanistan doing the same job as men and coming home to a country that did not recognize many of us as veterans and some of the same injuries as men. Jeff flake calls for a return to conservative principles in his blood. He is interviewed by essie cup, New York Daily News columnist. How do you make the case, rightly, that the health of conservatism is an urgent matter that actually has real world implications. I guess you can win elections and if youre doing that just for the sake of winning elections, then yes we can do that, but if we want to enact conservative policy, then you have to treat an election like how do we set this up for governing in ways that we can move forward with our agenda. Then at 11 00 p. M. , robert or neil who participated in the killing of Osama Bin Laden on his military career and his participation in 400 other missions. In his book, the operator. Firing the shot that killed Osama Bin Laden in the years as a seal team warrior. We didnt have a line of whos going where but the guy who ended up bringing me up pulled me aside and said dont take this the wrong way. Im going, but if we know were going to die, why are we going which is legit. I said well were not going for fame and were not going, were going for the single mom who dropped her kids off at school on a Tuesday Morning and 45 minutes later she jumped to her death out of a skyscraper because someone was burning alive inside. Watch saturday

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