Transcripts For FBC Countdown To The Closing Bell 20130131

Earnings, earnings and more earnings, a mixed bag. No wonder the market starts amid a mixed bag. Ups ground after releasing its quarterly numbers but qualcomm taking off. Investors giving the chipmakers forecast a thumbsup and a big way. At stock continuing to move higher. Good afternoon, and i am liz claman, last hour of trading, countdown to the closing bell begins right now. Stocks in a Holding Pattern ahead of the big january employment report being released for tomorrow. As you can see mixed, the Dow Jones Industrials just a second ago down only 9 points. I thought we might make a run for the flat line, not quite yet, the nasdaq and russell in positive territory. On his last trading day we wanted to highlight the markets january performance, actually been a great month for the bulls, mcfeel like it but it has been pretty good, the dow 6 . That is the best month for the blue chips since august of last year and the best january since 1989. Not that bad. Check out the s p 500. It is up 5 . The best monthly performance since october of 2011 and largest january percentage gain, you have to go to 1997 for that one. We mentioned earnings, ups weighing on the s p 500, shares are down 2 at the moment. Would happen . Ups delivered weaker than expected 2013 earnings thanks to its of Global Economy impacting shipments of packages. That is the reason they gave. On the flip side look at qualcomm, shares jumping, this is a decent percentage move as you can see, trading at the best level this september, the cute 4 numbers top estimates, qualcomm chips are inside the high end smart phones, into the lower end smart phone business, something of the forecast for the current quarter, a lot of confidence there. You want to talk love on the stock . Check out the 17 gain, shares are skyrocketing after quarterly yearnings beat the street by a very wide margin. Needham has upgraded equipmentmaker from a buy to a hold. People of this stock or hate it. To daily living in and people are saying finally. Good for j. D. Back to the floor show, traded at the stock exchange, cme group, and on twitter, lets get to. This is for all of you guys, we have the friday report for january jobs, is that what we must work form can we pick up something today that matters . What is interesting is on the macro sense, the market will continue to go higher and it is the end of the month and we have seen handsome gains so far this quarter so were not seeing any profittaking the head of this unemployment number that is coming out tomorrow. I would have thought people would have locked in their month right now, some gains they have seen and take it one day at a time as they get this number. It is actually healthy to see People Holding on to their positions ahead of this number tomorrow, what everybody wants. That will dictate the market. Liz when you look at the ten year treasury which backed up the 2 yield at 1. 98 , i bring this up because so many of our viewers are in treasuries. I dont know what the benchmark tenure but right now you see that kind of move sends what message to the traders in the pits . You are going to start to see that shift. That is what were seeing, a shift out of the treasurys and into the equity markets and the gentleman that was on before me, made a good point. People are waiting in the wings. We came down, today has been a lot of noise between 15001491 but the significance to me of 1491 was the ten day moving average. That is very encouraging. You are seeing people going into the report here instead of looking to line up and add positions on breaks. Liz we see a few times before the break out. The sale that 1500 but a couple handles away from that liz 1500. 55. 1505 is highcost. I gather it has been a strong month and it is a encouraging you didnt see a bunch of profittaking coming in here and it was very encouraging that you saw people stand up to the table and divide a break here today. I dont think it was great volume but it was a good sign for me to see it bounce off of the ten day, 1500 has been a formidable resistance and we will make another run at it especially with a positive report tomorrow. Liz lets flip it over to the nynex where were seeing just a slight move in the reverse of couple seconds with got people excited. Cant tell you how many traders said in that chair and said 100 is next. Today we are not and we are now getting closer, just pulling back slightly. Is this a trend that continues the next couple days, weeks or is it one day blitz . I will go along with everybody and say i think 100 is next. Is a little bit of a pull back today but for the most part the macro news, Economic News has been positive. It is wait and see for tomorrows number. That is a big trend throughout all the markets. There is still some uncertainty and tension in the middle east throughout the area so there is a lot of indications that this push higher should continue. How much higher above 100 do we get . Not certain about that but at least you test 100 in the near term. The pentagon job number tomorrow. Liz you touched on something we have heard on the nightly news for the past 20 years and that is tension in the middle east but John Cortines and charlie, israel starts fighting back against syria on certain levels. We have a problem, do we not . Does it affect equities . Go ahead. I dont think the market is heating trading fear in the middle east. I dont think that fact is in but the market is trading decent numbers out of the u. S. And looking at a decent job number, personal income number was a great number today and the housing number. Liz click on cortines. It is not affected in yet but we will have a problem when it pops off. [talking over each other] liz we double the losses in 3. 5 minutes. The dow is down 30 to points. And wont get too hyper about that because were looking at the aggregate. What a month for stocks, best january since 1997. The s p 500 rising more than 5 . If you are in this market should you take some money off of the table . If youre not in the market what should you do . Joining us now is bob dole, chief equity strategist and senior portfolio manager. You are cautiously optimistic, are you not . This market we thought would grind higher but it got a higher, no question. Liz looking at january those numbers are stunning. Can that continue . I dont like pushing too far out but february and march. 5 a month times 12 is 60 . I dont think so. We are not going to go straight. We think the positive fundamentals will carry us higher but it wont be nonstop. You just talked about a bit of a pull back, hasnt followed through a lot, we will get a pullback at some point in time but i am not concerned as long as the fundamentals remain as healthy as they are. Liz i dont know if you consider Consumer Confidence of fundamental but it was a bit of a disappointment. No question about it. The if you put all the consumer things to give it a are feeling a little better about being able to retain their jobs, a little better about the price of their home, they are the two big ingredients about how much money consumers are going to spend. I would rather see the numbers being referred to go up than go down but i am not overly concerned. Liz five year highs with the s p and getting close to the alltime high for the dow on any given day. What would help us obtain that . What do we need to see . Is there one particular thing . I dont think it is one particular thing but think of what has given us so far and to an alltime high . We postpone the debt ceiling program, we get decent earnings, fundamentals here and abroad are reasonably good, Central Banks everywhere giving us all the help in the world and still returning zero and getting tired of that. Liz lets bring that up, can return zero. It may as well be almost treasuries which are just a 2 for the ten year. 46 of the s p companys reporting so far for numbers, 69 , are you comfortable with that number . It is staying, no question. Anything close to 70 is really good and on the revenue line, they have been above expectations as well. Liz if someone is positive with bob dole, i was into the market and im going to start picking, what the you look for when you are picking stock . You need to say i am a dollar cost average because i am not smart enough to get the lows and pick some of. Money earmarked for equities. Liz every paycheck auto debt that goes into what . Companies with Free Cash Flow you can find mutual funds that focus on that sort of thing or secure own companies will do that and in a world that still has slow growth you Want Companies that can hire a worker, modernize the plant, buy back some stock, many by the company down the street and Free Cash Flow gives you lots of freedom. Liz lets get your sectors and guide people, give one pick for each sector and we can start with one you like here, consumer cyclical. I will comedian names, comcast is a decent name, it has got growth, Free Cash Flow being managed for shareholders. Got further to go. Cheryl there is direct tv as well. I will add that to the list. Base is interesting. If you want to be a little more conservative, ands store and costco address the consumer space. Liz we spoke to joe kleine and dish, we asked about would there be a merger with directv at some point . Does that change your opinion . The media space is ripe for more consolidation and Free Cash Flow, allows and encourages that happen. Liz we always say you cannot have a real rally without the financials going along and what would be the crucible that comes out of a financial pick . I want the company finding places to grow. Most financials have grown their earnings because their Balance Sheet has gotten better and the cost side from hell. I want revenue to improve. Goldman sachs is a choice. Liz you wouldnt mind if there is a Management Change where Lloyd Blankfein decides it is time and somebody else goes in . Goldman sachs is a deep, rich company when it comes leadership. Cheryl or turkoman is your defense with raytheon and boeing. You are not staying away from the fire. This is my attitude. If you want to be a little more conservative and not buy stocks that have run but get some exposure, the Defense Space is cheap. Most has reasonable cash flow but the fundamentals ira lot of head wind. That is why stocks are where they are and boeing has other issues. Liz one sector to avoid . I would be nervous about utilities that lags last year and bond like and if you think Interest Rates creep higher as i do, utilities lagging again. Liz it is great to see you and you are looking well. Mr bob dole who i have known for a long time. Had been new year to you. Chief equity strategist, senior portfolio manager. See you next time. Closing bell ringing in 49 minutes. Dominion resources no longer, and i never thought they were a play, when they were in coal, nuclear, hydro, cant even imagine what they are doing, massive power providing, policeing da vinci executive Thomas Farrell telling us what is really happening here. Why are they getting rid of their coal plants and turning toward natural gas . Are they going to build one of those export terminals . That is straight ahead in a fox business exclusive. First volatility in facebook shares, the chart says and all. What is behind the gyration. Some answers when count down returns. Stay tuned. Big picture on it today. Let twins. I didnt see them coming. I have obligations. Cute obligations, but obligations. I need to rethink the core of my portfolio. What i really need is sleep. Introducing the ishares core, Building Blocks for the heart of your portlio. Find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. Ishares by blackrock. Call 1800ishares for a prospectus which includes investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Read and consider it carefully before investing. Risk includes possible loss of principal. Have given way to sleeping. Tossing and turning where sleepless nights yield to restful sle. And lunesta® eszopiclone can help you get there. Like it has for so many people before. When taking lunesta, dont drive or operate machinery until you feel fully awake. 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Liz power mover of the hour, constellation brand, the beer and wine, double digit percentage, looking at it right now, Justice Department said it is suing to block anheuserbuschs in bev proposed takeover of mexican brewer on antitrust concerns, scuttled. Constellation put out a statement saying it is disappointed millets the decision, so our shareholders and the company no longer expects to close the deal to acquire at a stake in Crown Imports during the First Quarter of this year. Even with todays losses, still up, this is not bad at all, 66 this year, crown is the u. S. Importer for the best known beer correll now. Shares of Harman International plummeting after a weak earnings report. Lets head to Nicole Petallides on the floor of the stock exchange. What has happened here . Nicole lets look at harmon coming out with their numbers, down dramatically. Their numbers miss, talking about job cuts obviously in order to save some costs. Stock is down 9 right now. They did note they will be cutting up to 1,000 jobs. They will be doing so in other countries as well particularly in europe where there price facing a lot of head wind. This company is based in connecticut. It is audio component but it has been tough for them and their results did not meet their expectations according to the ceo. In order to reduce costs and drive innovation and expand their portfolios they have to do some job cuts as well. Liz we profile that the Consumer Electronics show and theyre big sell is when apple comes out with something they immediately get accessories and products that can match something whether it is a nice little docking station or things like that, right away, they are very quick on their heels but not quite doing enough for these numbers. Nicole that is a good thing. Liz we will wait and see if they come with the numbers. Have you seen a tough day for gold after a great day for gold . Precious metal giving up yesterdays gains and then some. That is why we had sandra smith at the cme with more on this. Sandra post fed report yesterday we saw gold rising to session highs topping 680 a troy ounce, key Technical Levels for gold and the buying was on the fact that Bond Buying Program would continue and the money printing was going to continue and that would devalue the u. S. Dollar. Goldman denominated in u. S. Dollars a we rallied yesterday and selling off today, gold down 19 and the 1680 level was a resistance level in the yellow metal and when it got up some of the long ones got nervous the market selloff today. Right now silver is even worse than gold. Silver prices down 21 2 . The entire precious metal complex is down ahead of the jobs report tomorrow. According to things are worse than expected. We might see a flight to safety back into the gold prices following the report tomorrow. Liz we will have it here on fox business, the second it comes out. Thank you so much. We cannot ignore facebook. Facebook came out with numbers after the bell beating estimates on the top and bottom line but investors, look what is happening, a 2 3 . What is behind todays move . Shibani is amazing. Lets take an interday chart. This tells the story that people havent completely disliked this stock. Stock was lowered by 8 . It is fretting higher for the first time all day long. A couple things investors are talking about, no nearterm recovering this yesterday on after the closing bell. We got the numbers and the reports and analysts call happened and investor call happened and that is when you learned about the needy greed that turned investors of. Here is what city group said, quote, we view facebook as a net stock but plan to invest heavily in the business in 2013 and little expected contribution from new initiatives like gifts or graft charts. We dont see any nearterm catalysts for the stocks. Even so in terms of facebooks first mobile exceeded desktop users for the first time last quarter and revenues talking about this yesterday grew 23 and then all those products at the end. I think it was pretty optimistic but considering the turnaround we have seen, 8 to positive, great momentum. Liz down 7 to 8 and look at in moving higher by a fraction of 1 , what so long to figure out things were not that bad . Shibani what happened was you have longterm investors battling it out with shorterterm investors because everyone came away saying after the investor call yesterday in the shortterm stock may not move. Over the long term the stock will move. What you have our shortterm coming out and longterm coming in and you see that flipping around. Liz thank you very much. When you have a business, the gift business, in two seconds it was making 100 million and this is 200 million. Shibani not a credit card but a facebook card like a gift card, they are on it. Liz thanks, closing bell ringing in 38 minutes. Natural gas prices, everybody which they go higher but theyre not, theyre down 78 , from the record high in december of 2005. There is a spike when it was well above 15 per million british thermal units. The department of energy pushed for more exports of our natural gas resources, finally drive the price back up. Who would that help . Who would that hurt . A power provider doesnt love it, banking on it, Dominion Resources chairman and ceo Thomas Farrell joining us in a fox business exclusive. Stay tuned for this. [ male announcer ] ive seen incredib things. Otherworldly things. But there are some things ive never seen before. This ge jet engine can understand 5,000 data samples per second. Which is good for business. Because planeuse less fuel, spend less time on the ground and more time in the air. Suddenly, faraway places dont seem so. Far away. Liz your fox Business Market check, Dow Jones Industrials up 6 for the month of january, not a bad start, a 36 points. It is the best start to new year since 1989. Lets look at the best performers on this trading day, in third place we have caterpillar, despite a tough quarter on global demand, the company pull through, and down 10 from this month. Proctor and gamble, up and posting stronger Fourth Quarter results. And gaining traction. And this is a surprise to people over the last year, shares of the company up 18 for the month, this from the dog of the dow last year, primary cause of the rally seems to be the stock exceptionally low valuation meaning it is very, very cheap compared to what it is expected to earn. There is no significant news about the company, and you see this horrible three year chart at the far right it moved to the upside but it is time for hewlettpackard and meg whitman to say we told you so at least for a minute. A much bigger trend here. Talk about a beaten down stocks, hewlettpackard the only dow stock that is down from the march of 2009 bear market lows missing the amazing bull run the rest of the dow has seen, it is down about 14 but might be the start of something new. Plummeting Natural Gas Prices changing the face of energy in the u. S. And sparking a very loud and massive debate over how to best but the cheap energy we have here to use. Joining me in a fox business exclusive Dominion Resources chairman, ceo and president tom farrell in richmond, va. I am thrilled to have you on the program because i find this company extraordinarily interesting. What some people might believe to be a simple utility, you are very complicated. Hydro renewable, natural gas, nuclear, very impressive to look at all you are doing. The numbers slunk to bill haas but x items you did quite well. The question being you plan to sell three cote labs. I looked at that and said you getting out of the coal business . Is cold over for the time being . Can you tell me how to read into that . Thank you for having me. We are selling a couple coal plants, when and midwest, one multiple unit plant in massachusetts. It is in our merchant business and we are looking across what are prospects are and those are great plants in full compliance with all environmental regulations, but they dont fit well with our Strategic Plan and Balance Sheet so we thought they would be better off with other owners. We will continue to have coal in our utility in virginia although we are shutting plants there too because of environmental regulation. Liz basically your Strategic Plan will eventually perhaps have much less coal involved in it simply because it has gotten too talk to do business with the Environmental Issues surrounding it or you might be able to make more money with a cleaner energy and new opportunity . The plants we will retain 3 kenya are big plants in full compliance with all environmental regulations. They are in good shape. We are building new plants, two big large gap plants in virginia, looking at new nuclear here, expanding our pipeline business, looking at an export facility, we are going down at value chain. Liz exports you have gotten approval to start exporting natural gas as i understand it for the department of energy. Do you have a contract lined up on the other end, to whom you would be exporting . The d. O. E. Can fasttrack a company that says we have the contracts closer to the front of the line. We have two permits to export, one freetrade, we have that. We have that are met. Any nonfreetrade agreement, we are still working on that. Only one company has that permit so far. We should be second or third, third probably in line for that consideration. And were working on the contracts to tie down the exports. We will not take ownership of the gas, we will provide a service to exports, they will buy the gas, we will deliver it to the facility in maryland, freeze it, liquefy it, put it in the tanker for them and off it goes. Liz some people dont think it is great, so American Companies dont think it is great. He has been on the show, and i quote what he says. Natural gas is very much a Natural Resource and he says Government Policies have got to avoid artificially accelerating demand through this policy. He also believes if we put all this into motion, it could be catastrophic for jobs in the country, he says natural gas will be so expensive eventually that his company wont be able to buy it at the cheap price. Theres quite a bit of hyperbole in that statement. Look at the department of energy hiring consultants to come in and study the impact on the u. S. Economy from exporting gas, they thought it would be a net benefit to export gas for multiple sites read all that said, hitting the market will eventually determine how much of this is actually done and it will be far less than the amount of permits being sought. Liz were watching it. Really happy to have you on. Thank you. Thank you. Liz chairman, ceo and president , the stock is up 8 over the last year. A dividend attractive to a lot of competitors. The same baking analyst has made some very full calls on financials over the years. Financials many of you own. Now the controversial analyst is out with a whopper on banks. Coming down here. Will you wait selecting complimented him . Liz a quick market check. Nicole petallides with the seasonal trade of a certain stock. It wont surprise anybody bumping up against the super bowl. Nicole it is very interesting when you have a super bowl party, what do you have to have . Everybody would say wings. You got it right. Talking about Buffalo Wild Wings. Over the last five years, the return on that, the average february gain 14. 9 over the last five years. This is if you bought Buffalo Wild Wings on the last trading day of january and held it until the end of the month in february. Lets break it down over the years. 2008 a loser, 2010 was a loser, but tw 2000 9 30 7. 4 . 2011, 21. 1 . 2012 of almost 30 . Huge numbers. We cannot just go on this. The chicken wings are actually the most expensive part of the chicken. Every good party has to have their wings. It could be a good play bass what we have seen. Liz my house has to have luck molly. That is all i care about. Do they hedge avocados . Thank you, nicole, very much. Bank analyst Dick Beauvais yesterday unveiled his manifesto. Nothing like the one karl marx prevailed. I am not calling him delusional. You can. Charlie he is a friend. I have known dick bove since i was a kid read since he was, he hasnt changed in 20 years. So he had this thing yesterday where he unveiled his predictions and i thought it was interesting because some of them are so out there. He is right often, but from my Vantage Point there are out there. Take it for what it is worth. You know he is moved onto securities, we were the first to report. He predicts banks will be profitable the next 14 years. Liz every year . 14 years. Ups and downs, they will keep cranking them. He talked about the large secular trends of population, housing growth, whatever. That doesnt matter, he told me. Basically all the banks are screaming buy. He puts goldman at the top of the list. Here is where he really got me. He predicted the new Capital Requirements and banking rules global, even the u. S. Once, he says it will never go into effect and they will not implement doddfrank because regulars will recognize those questions hit the industry. Liz never go into effect . Tell that to jpmorgan. They are fast tracking it. Charlie that is some of the highlights. He sat there and talked an hour and a half. What is interesting is he never cracked a smile. Charles, 14 years. Liz courage of his conviction, 100 . Speaking of which, this is coming, this is a segue as he told me to do and then you pointed out. A lot of people are reading the business week Magazine Article of steve cohen. Charlie right. Liz people are still wondering if one of the former traders might turn to dell. Charlie i believe charlie had a system in place. There are some people in the Justice Department think this is part of his broad obstruction, some people think it is just how you weigh risk. People used to come to him and he would say what is your conviction level on a stock. I dont know this happened, but supposedly people like matthew would say i have a conviction, the highest order the lowest. It is what is your conviction, here it is. There are people in the Justice Department who believe that he is giving them a 11, he knows Insider Trading as the government suggest he had an insider tip and do some things about the stocks from an Expert Network and when he says 10, that means he should know it is Insider Trading. You saw the movie zero dark 30. This is 100 . Liz a redhead no less. Charlie she is in the room with all of these cia guys and say 60 we believe bin laden is in this location. 80 . What is your conviction . 100 mf conviction. And how do you know that . Liz your point is if he did that and did not say why he has that conviction. You guys dont deal with 100 . Obviously bin laden was in the building. Liz i accept your tie and shirt combo. Charlie how about the hair . Liz dont cut it shorter. I dont want the one flew over a cuckoos nest look. Charlie danny devito is a very nice man. Liz 60 minutes before the closing bell rings. We are talking transports, number of companies have seized the bottom line with manufacturing and demand for shipping has slowly recovered. One of the beneficiaries. It may very well be his last interview before he leaves the company and hands the reins over. What is in store . A fox business exclusive. Liz here is your fox Business Market check. We talked about this yesterday before the close. This is very, very closely watched and confirmed the state if u. S. Economy because definitive airlines, names like fedex and ups. If you look at this chart, things look pretty rosy. The index up more than 9 this month. The best since october 2011. Best january since 1991. The top spot, Delta Airlines up more than 16 for the month continuing to gain by four pennies today. You have ryder system. It is for the month. The best performing stock among the transport today is ryder system. The fourthquarter earnings came in ahead of analyst estimates. They do logistics as well. Im joined now by ryder system retiring ceo of in a fox business exclusive from miami. A little bittersweet because muchdeserved retirement here as you move on. You have always been a good friend of fox business and we really appreciate that. Welcome to the show won last time antime anything, anytime ar that to give your perspective, just so you know. Thank you very much. If you have an interest in my opinion from afar, but no. Liz are now the chairman and not the ceo, looking at what happened, the top and the bottom line, your businesses for people who dont know, rental, leasing and logistics. Which portion of this drove the numbers this time . This quarter it was largely driven by commercial rental. So there seems to be a positive demand level. We have rightsided our fleet over time. Utilization was good, timing was good and also take into account with the hurricanes handy recovery, that added a hit as well and we sold a few more additional use trucks. The lead this time was in rental. Sometimes when rental is strong it could be because customers have been a bit hesitant about signing a longterm contracts and that is what we want to make sure we keep that momentum as well. Led by rental, leasing was strong, leasing and maintenance and our supply chain that justice activity with new contract was up very strongly. Overall good, led by rental. Liz where do you want to spend it in 2013 . 2013 will be another significant year on capital equipment. That is where the vast majority of our Capital Expenditures go. Primarily when customers need equipment and they sign a contract, then and only then we will commit with the oem and maintain it for the customer. That is still going to be in the range of at least a billion and a half dollars of equipment in 2013. There is a heavy replacement cycle for equipment. We wont need to buy as much rental equipment in 2013 because we had high spending, so that will come down. In total and healthy Capital Expenditure for new fleet. Liz the senate has enough votes to suspend the debt limit for the next couple of months. The debt limit certainly weighing over your head, can i get your comment on that quickly . I think it weighed over a lot of consumers and customers as well. When you saw the gdp, the fourthquarter, i think all of that talk about sequestration in what could happen with taxes what would happen with the debt limit, i think what we really have to be concerned about my feeling is he really have to take care of the spending issue. We dont have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem in government and you can continue to raise the debt limit. Liz i have to push you on this, but when Government Cut spending in the most recent gdp report we reverted and everybody said then that country is not growing and we are not doing well. Will we cut Government Spending there . Think about where some of the Government Spending or concern about where Government Spending was. Look at the reports from the defense contractors. I think the government was already signaling to them they were holding off. They stop spending and there is a trickledown effect. But its on is one spot to takey suddenly and that was drastic. Im talking bout given with the longerterm issues of entitlements and all the other spending. Liz congratulations on your retirement as we look toward that. Ryder systems executive chairman and ceo. The stock up 230 in his tenure. We will be right back. Breaking news on your screen. We will be right back. Twins. I didnt see them coming. I have obligations. Cute obligations, but obligations. I need to rethink the core of my portfolio. What i really need is sleep. Introducing the ishares core, Building Blocks for the heart of your portfolio. Find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. Ishares by blackrock. 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A busy hour coming up. Blackberry still not getting any love from wall street. Nicole research in motion, blackberry has been under pressure. Response to the blackberry 10. The real rollout is not until midmarch. It is terrible. Liz after all that. And alicia keys. Lets talk about that, Constellation Brands and anheuserbusch suffered big losses. Department of justice things as they m