And Mitch Mcconnell has a new plan to save his job as majority leader, embrace trump. This is mtp daily and it starts right now. Good evening, im chuck todd here at election headquarters in new york city. And welcome to mtp daily, with five days to go, the campaign trail is hoping. Trump went nuclear, though, claiming clinton will somehow be indicted t. Clinton campaign put out their own hit list on trumps various insults. We got nbc news battleground polls hot off the presses. We will dive into all of that for a moment. But first, lets begin with a bigger look at this race t. Race, of course is about getting to 270. Yes, ad dollars matter. The president ial contests are won or lost on the ground. For that reason, the campaign blitzed the battleground, including events in iowa, pennsylvania, melania stumped for the first time. Trump finished in North Carolina. Democrats had events in wisconsin. Obama spoke twice in florida. Sanders in ohio, clinton in North Carolina. Both side brought out the biggest guns they can bring out. This isnt a joke. This isnt survivor this isnt the bachelorette. This counts. If she were to win, it would create unprecedented constitutional crisis. If donald trump were to win this election, we would have a commander in ev ciao who is scompleetly out of his depth and whose ideas are incredibly dangerous. So, what do you think the stakes are for this election . Just small, huh, if you listen to trump and clinton there. Geeze, anyway. Presence cuts through all the spin because it shows you what these campaigns care about and where they think theyre as a resultner annu result vulnerable. Trump is an unconditional candidate, his schedule hasnt been untraditional. Hes blitzed all the traditional battleground, making more than 20 stops each e each in florida, pennsylvania, ohio and north cloip. Its for good reason. He has to win every single states just to get into the game. You cant think about 270 until he sweeps those four states. He made fewer stops in places where clinton held consistent leads, like virginia or the big blue wall of wisconsin and michigan. He will likely need to break through somewhere in the upper midwest to win. Hes made fewer stops in colorado, New Hampshire and iowa. Here are the states hes barely visited. Which includes placed they boasted about they wanted to put in play, deep blue connecticut, new jersey and illinois. Trump had to made i make a few pit stops in traditionally red states to try to shore up support like in arizona, even texas and dont forget about his stop in battleground mexico. Now, now new mexico, the visit to mexico. Mike pence has been to utah. Now lets go to the clinton map. His map screams one thing. Florida, florida, florida. She is from the sun shooempb state, winning more than 20 times since the convention. Her next most visited states looks a lot like trumps. There has been a lot of nevada and iowa with clinton and rounding out our peak map of travel is a mix of offense and some defense. There has been the traditional battlegrounds like New Hampshire and colorado, theres red arizona which is possibly in play, despite only going blue once since 1948 and then of course blue michigan, where the Trump Campaign is hoping to pull an upset. Clinton and trump have run polar opposite campaigns. But they both at least seem to agree where to travel t. Path goes through florida, 000, pennsylvania and North Carolina. They are the most visited Battle Ground states for both side by far. The schedule never lies. I am joined by two folks who know about battleground blitzes and why the schedules do tell us something. Sarah fagan a cnbc contributor and Campaign Strategist to the 2004 bush relay and bill burton, the National Press secretary and with priorities usa which was the president ial campaigns super pac for obama if 2012. Welcome to both of you. So the company schedule, sarah, it is obviously, i always we heard this, theres one thing you can never get more of. Thats the candidates time. The schedule is king. These schedules have been pretty traditional. They have been traditional t. Trump folks are smart. They know you got to win florida. That is the most important state for him. He looks reasonably strong or perhaps slightly ahead in ohio. Then of course that gets harder for him. Florida and then pennsylvania most likely. Thats probably the best path for trump to claim the Electoral College victory. Although that looks tough in my view. But his schedule reflects that. Bill, when you make a decision as a campaign to go to a state that hasnt been in the battleground state, say michigan, wisconsin, virginia within it comes to the clintonkain campaign, you know you will take some heat when that announcement gets made. Why would you do that this late in the game . Well, theres a variety of reasons youd go into these states right now. Even if you have a significant lead. For example, you know in pennsylvania where clinton has shown some strength. They dont have early voting. So her going to pennsylvania or tim kaine or the surrogates going there later in the game makes sense to make sure you are shoring up your base. Because everywhere you go, you likely end up on the front page of the newspaper, if you look at the front page of the Arizona Republic today, its a strong front page for Hillary Clinton. You dominate local News Coverage and your support gross. At the Clinton Campaign, theyre clutching information and getting those folks out to vote. Do big events matter even this late in the game . Particularly in the competitive Battle Grounds. Im glad you brought up that point, i was transitioning. Sarah, we have seen plenty of reports the Trump Campaign will hold a great rally, pass out all of these volunteer card, things like that. And then you hear they forget to check them. Or they dont go. I guess it is that has been up with of these cases where you see just as the Trump Campaign is picking up momentum, i have been accumulating these little ane anecdotes about ground game issues. Where is that going to cost them . Is that a point in florida, a half opoint in North Carolina . Yeah, i think its, donald trump ends up losing these key Battle Grounds by a point or a half a point, hes going to wish he never said that the Data Infrastructure was overrated. Look. There are real reasons hes behind clinton on this. The republican primary is long di visive. He didnt become the nominee until late. If fact is she has more time and invested more heavily in a ground game. I think for donald trump to win a state like. Holly or pennsylvania, its not good enough to be tied hes got to be up a point or two, maybe as much as two points because democrats billed in the obama victory, they have better infrastructure tan republicans, by deposition, you have a commander in chief sitting in the white house at your party. Bill, one of the things weve noticed here. Its not surprising you started to do it in 08. 2 and when you hold a rally say in late october in florida t. Clinton campaign has been planning them as close to an early polling location as they k. I saw it in North Carolina. The Trump Campaign hasnt been doing that as much. Maybe that just goes to inexperience on the ground. Right, its a big problem, the Clinton Campaign like the Obama Campaign before it is very focused on the actual mechanics of voting. What do people need to do to get their ballots, to get to the polling place and make sure their vote is counted. Making sure there is transportation, having organized, i remember in 08, we had people organize marches from the rallies over to the early voting locations. You know, robbie the Campaign Manager on the Clinton Campaign is one of the geniuses in field in the whole country. I think donald trump is a little late to the game and is doing his best to catch up. Its things like that thinking about the mechanics, how do you collect the information in how do you analyze the data that you have. It all matters, like sarah was saying. If you have places a half point or one point or two points away, that can really make the difference. We talk about surrogates matter a lot t. Surrogates that the democrats have versus the trub ticket. There hasnt been a comparison, because trump has not had party elders wanting to be a part of this but he did finally have his spouse out today campaigning on her own. Let me play an excerpt of her speech today in philadelphia. You have to find a better way to talk to each other to disagree with each other, to respect each other. We must find better ways to honor and support the basic goodness of o children especially in social media. What i found interesting is they have her do a speech when i think what they need is they need Retail Campaign and it seems to be that that is something that is another deficit of the Trump Campaign, part of it could be because the Republican Party elders havent been too fond. Its not like you have the obamas helping the clintons. We dont have the bushes and the romneys helping the trumps. I think having melania regardless of the event is definitely net positive for mr. Trump. She is graceful and elegant. She definitely softens him up and her speech while its gotten some ridicule because of the nature of talking about bullying and cyber stalking and so forth. She is right about, got criticism. Was that maybe the wrong campaign to be putting out that message . Well, i mean, theres all kind of analogies on twitter, Bernie Madoffs wife, so forth t. Reality is shes right and shes lovely and el gnt and donald trump should have her on the campaign trail every day doing as many events as she is willing to do. How much advantage thooung do you think this is, for obamas, bidens and a clinton spouse and trump is basically been going it alone. He gets, hes gotten guiliani, sometimes he has christie. Though not anymore. Some are not as effective as they used to be. Back a long time ago, i was john kerrys Midwest Communications director and that meant that we would organize all the different folks who on a campaign that sarah beat us on, by the way, was surrogates would come through, you could try to get local press in iowa, minnesota, wisconsin. If you didnt have a ted kennedy or a real major surrogate come out for you, you couldnt get major press on it. The fact that Hillary Clinton can bring the president , the first lady, Vice President and on and on and donald trump has only been using himself and not melania, its a huge advantage for clinton. I agree with sarah, the more melania is out on the trail, probably the better it is for trump. I think they were smart to send her to a place like pennsylvania where there are a lot of voters that i think she might appeal to but its pretty late in the game to start to do that. Its awfully late, exactly. Its late in the game. Well see how big of an impact it has. I will leave it there. Sarah tag ban, bill burrton. Appreciate it. Coming up, can Hillary Clinton break through in some of the reddest of is that its . Two weeks ago they role really thought they could. We will see states turning pink, not quite blue. Stay tuned. Can a toothpaste do everything well . This clean was like pow it added this other level of clean to it. 6x cleaning my teeth are glowing. They are so white. 6x whitening a i actually really like the 2 steps. Step 1, cleans. Step 2, whitens. Every time i used this together, it felt like leaving the dentist office. Crest hd. 6x cleaning , 6x whiteninga i would switch to crest hd over what i was using before. Crest. Healthy, beautiful smiles for life. Welcome back. We teased at the top, we have brandnew wall street maris polls, the borderline states, we got interesting results. We will share those with you in a minute. We also checked in on texas, because there hadnt been a good actual solid poll in texas in a long time. Heres what we found. We had trump leading. Johnson and stein combined a percent. A ninepoint lead for trump, right now smaller than a 16point win that romney grabbed texas with in 2012. Something to keep in mind and when i show you this next poll from california, well go from the biggest red state in terms of electoral to the biggest blue state. So a new online poll conducted by the field research, who used to be the preeminent phone poll in california, they have clinton with a 20point lead over trump in california. 5333. Perhaps the bigger news from this poll is they have clinton leading trump all over the place, including in traditionally republican strong holds like orange county. But theres Something Else hire want you to keep an eye on, on election night. Taken together, these numbers out of texas and california highlight what demographics are telling us. Many of the deep blue states are getting blueer. In some of the bicker red states, might be getting pinker. Trump may pete is in more of the battleground than mitt romney did. Consider this we could end up in a place where trump wins more electoral votes than romneys 206 but he could perform worse in the popular vote. If you look at texas, that tells you, he will not get the big margins. Clinton will get ginormous margins in california. Coming up, new numbers from arizona and georgia. Both states still competitive. Well be right back. Rsuit of he. It begins from the second were born. Because, healthier doesnt happen all by itself. It needs to be earned every day. Using wellness to keep away illness. And believing a single life can be made better by millions of others. As a Health Services and Innovation Company optum powers modern healthcare by connecting every part of it. So while the world keeps searching for healthier were here to make healthier happen. We have a brandnew nbc wall street journal maris poll from arizona and georgia. It is that its that democrats have been talking about putting into play tore a decade now, first arizona, Hillary Clinton appeared at a huge rally last night. Trump at 45, clinton at 40. Thanks, to our likely voter model. Gary johnson, of course governor of neighboring new mexico is below 10 . Compare that to early september. Trump widened his lead a bit. As you can see, its Third Party Candidates that have gone away. That may be helping trump more than anything, clintons best shot is in gary johnson gets into double digits. Now to georgia. Here it is neck and neck. Democrats have been eager to capitalize on these demographic changes in go. And North Carolina. Right now, though, trump is ahead of clinton in a threeway race. We have johnson at 8. Jill stein, by the way is not on the ballot. Now well see what this means. Were aseouling an africanamerican electorate of 30 . Thats what keep georgia very close t. Question is will african turnout and the american electorate equal that 30 number. That will tell us how accurate this poll is. If you cant wait another five days for this race to be over, you might be in luck when it comes to nevada. Over 611,000 people voted. They are outpacing republicans. That data detect e collected and tabulated by target smart. Our friend and nevada guru thinks we might know if the race is basically done when early voting ends tomorrow night. All of it is based out on turnout in one critical county. What does he mean here . Austin us austin joins me. Myeople are intrigued when you said you can call nevada after tomorrow night. What makes you so confident . Well, im not that confident. You know how we pundits are, we talk more confidently than we r. Listen, there will be twothird, charge county is a hugely democratic county the democrats build up this firewall in terms of early votes and absentee ballots return. They have a 55,000 vote lead right now in that county. Theyre hoping to get it up above 60 maybe closer to 70 in 2012 when it was 70,000, barack obama won by seven points. All the data i seen indicates if they get it up above 60 to 65 or so, based on whats going on in whatshaw county, reno, it will be almost impossible for donald trump to win nevada unless something changes today or tomorrow. Where is he underperforming . Im not so much he is under performing as the democrats nominate in nevada. They have this clark county bastion. They have the Harry Reid Democratic Party machine. But there is one thing going on that i have been able to pick up on thats going on some other places too, i think, chuck, which is that Hillary Clinton is holding the Democratic Base and maybe higher numbers in some cases than barack obama did. Trump is hemorrhaging republicans. Theres one other thing, too, i think is interesting thats going on, truck. Independents, about 20 of the electorate here. They went for romney by some number of points. Maybe they went to obama for a few points if 2012. They are leaning towards the democrats now. They are much less white than they were in the past. Those voters and significant numbers i think are going against trump. Let me ask you one last question t. Mormon vote in nevada. Its bigger than most other states outside of utah and arizona. How much of a problem is that for trump . Are you seeing any evidence that mormons are crossover for clinton or not voting or looking for a third alternative . Gary johnson is on the battle here. Some mormons will vote for gary johnson. Not a lot because of his performance and some of his views are not going to comport by theres. Its clear mormons feel the same way as mormons in utah. They dont like trump. Does that mean they will vote for Hillary Clinton . Some will. Many will not. Every one that doesnt vote for trump hurts him. We will besh everybody will be refreshing the ralston flash tomorrow night to get that final analysis from you on the early vote out there. Thank you, sir. Thanks, chuck. Let me bring in the panel for the evening and the managing editor for time magazine, and chairman of the florida Republican Party. Editor and publisher of the nation. Welcome to all of you. I will ask you this only because i see a lot of other republicans going, suddenly never trump going to trump. Right. Where are you today . Im not there. If we are going to rebuild the party, we cant be too critical of each other, but, you know, i dont see many going to hillary. I thoughted their be more of. That so thats encouraging in terms of rebuilding the party. But yeah, theres a lot of pressure at the end. I think some of this. Have you felt more pressure lately . I have. Not so much from others. I think by now people know where i am, have left me alone. I think its more of the renewed fbi investigation, republicans are saying, we will have to deal with a lot of distraction, maybe this isnt an election about whos the least worst candidate and maybeonald trump is it and plus hes wearing our colors. So some of that is happening. But i think that the main reason hes surged before this fbi thing were twofold, one, Gary Johnsons dropped a lot. I think he has been the beneficiary of most of it. Surprisingly the undecideds have been cut in half in the three weeks, hes received a huge share. I think you are exactly right. Clinton got to 48 a lot sooner than trump got to where hes at. Lets say hes at 49 hes only just gotten there. I think whatever johnsonstein vote, she grabbed it after the third debate. I think you are rate, here favorabilities have gone up since september and thats basically the debates and his are about the same but theyve gone down a little bit. So obviously its different statetostate, but i do feel as though the real balances the access hollywood and that drama hurt him as much or more than the email drama has been hurting her. Katrina do you buy what we are seeing is a comey effect or not . Or do you think we would have soon it there is a natural people make their choice . Natural, coming together at the end of this very, very long season. A long drive. It may be over. The problem is it wont be over. We will be in new terrain. What strikes me, todd, we are talking horse racing polls. Its important, its stung how little attention to policy has been. I think the report of respected news, a Monitoring Organization came up with a study the other day showing the three main Network Evening broadcast devoted 32 minutes to attention to policy. I think that plays a role. I have to say. In their closing arguments, you see donald trump. Hes going to be the change candidate. It isnt any establishment year. He keeps sting on his lines, because hes tracking grievance, not policy. Hillary clinton wants to say im historic. But she even has 64,000 good policies, many of them good, not all. But shes having a hard time leaning away from trump isnt fit. Im going to say, im glad you brought it. Being in the media is a past time. You cover the campaign thats there, not the one that you want sometimes. I say is that because trump, look at how trump and clinton are closing. Theyre not closing on policy, tears not one policy you are closing on. They Pay Attention to policy an not enough to motion and character. Weve seen cable news, cnn tracked 1 billion in gross profits, not because they couldnt do more substance. They gave virtually at the beginning of the race to donald trump. His ratings and revenue. Look, i hear you there. Both campaigns are fought running on policy. She is in the closing on policy. Because shes the one who loves policy and has the, you know, has 120,000 word on the website, except they made a calculation trumps fitness for office was the much better strategy. It isnt that she doesnt care about it or doesnt want to talk about it. I do think its tricky. If you have one candidate that would like to talk about policy until the cows come home. The other isnt in that space, how do you even approach that . Some of the conversations have been had in the gop camp is shut down as too risky. Shes a double of richard nixon. Smart, capable, experience, with ever trick up her sleeves. Secretive. People are looking, saying, woer, lets not do that, our guys like richard nixon. Donald trumps got five days to go. Hes not there. The only way for him to be there is to take some risks. Now wheres the vote going to come from . People are mot moving from where theyre from, the voters. Except on the side, on the gary johnson three or four left. This election is about characters, way too late to be a policy. Its been a character for six months. You are sticking around the rest of the show, still ahead. I want to check in on missouri. Its been a wild Political Year in missouri. Its not really a part of the president ial battleground. You got a senate race that will be about the fight for control. It will be determined there. And a crazy governors race thats very close. Donald trump, by the way, touting new trouble for Hillary Clinton and her foundation. Pete williams, though, will join me next to separate fact from fiction on the latest rumors and innuendo regarding the fbi. Stay tuned. We are calling about that credit score card. The fbi agents say their investigation is likely to yield an indictment. Reports also show the Political Leadership at the department of justice is trying to protect Hillary Clinton and is interfering with the fbis criminal investigation. So donald trump today is hoping to capitalize on a bunch of rough headlines for the Clinton Campaign. The wall street journal reported last night on a supposed view over pursuing the investigation into the Clinton Foundation and thats separately, they said this, quote, officials at the Justice Department headquarters sent a message to all the offices involved to stand down on investigating the foundation. Also late last night, citing two sources inside the fbi. Fox news reported an indictment was quote likely in the Clinton Foundation case. The fox news anchor bret baier who broke that story walked back that reporting a bit today. I pressed these sources again and again, what would happen . I bought the to the end of that and said they have a lot of evidence that would likely lead to an indictment. But thats not, thats inartfully answered. Thats not the process. That itself not how you do it. Which was what we were all about to explain there. Fox is standing by its reporting that there is a 99 chance that at least five foreign intelligence actions breached clintons private server. So, when it comes to the fbi and the Justice Department, there is one person to go to to find out what goes on here, our chief justice correspondent, pete, lets walk through the story that claims there is a feud inside the fbi and fbi injustice over pursuing the checkpoint foundation case. First of all, what is the status of the fbi investigation into the Clinton Foundation . Reporter there really isnt one, few want to calm it an investigation. Thats a term of art in the fbi. There was an initial inquiry that was opened a couple months ago based largely on media reports and a book called clinton cash. There were some initial things done in that. The fbi officials tell me theres been virtually no movement on that case for the last several months. So this idea that there are indictments near or Something Like that i am told is just not true. On the second one, this idea that the server that the clinton home server was that they know for certain that it was breached be aat least five different foreign entities, that would be big news if true, correct . Reporter indeed, so. And i am told that there is no such view. Comey said in july that he announced no charges should be filed. He said that there were sign osf attempted breaches into the computer and that they couldnt they simply cant say for sure whether it was breached. They say if it was, it could have been the type that could have signs. They found no positive proof of successful hacks. Im curious how the fbi is handling the fact there is all sorts of leaks and innuendo percolating all over. They are totally overhed v heated and hyped. Does the fbi think at some point considering how much a role they perhaps are playing right now inadvertently in this campaign that if that is the case they, themselves, should put out more word on that . On the journal story, its not surprising. Its certainly true the case agents working the case and headquarters and the Justice Department disagreed and there were some pretty strong feelings. Now, thats not unusual in these cases, i think about the Boston Marathon bombing, the omar mateen case. There are lots of times when field agents think if main justice would let us go, we could do this. So thats not unusual. But i dont think you will hear anything in the next few days. Are they comfortable with all this innuendo based on fbi sources . Well, they dont like it certainly. They dontably the answer is to come out and say anything. I think many of the guys said enough last friday. I guess. Pete williams, in our walk newsroom, pete, thank you very much. Well have more mtp daily ahead. Thanks, we had stocks closing lower across the board. The dow sink 29 points. The nasdaq dropping 47. Shares of starbucks are higher t. Company reported revenue and earnings that beat estimates. Same store sales were up by 4 . Timeings, first time jobless claims rose to near threemonth high last week claims remain below the level associated with a healthy labor market. The report comes one day after the governments closely watched jobs da that. Thats it from cnbc, first in Business World wide. This is humira. This is humira helping to relieve my pain and protect my joints from further damage. This is humira helping me go further. Humira works for many adults. It targets and helps to block a specific source of inflammation that contributes to ra symptoms. 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Five days out from election day, its anyones guess who would control the senates next term. It seemed like democrats were favored. Now im not sure. More on that and Mitch Mcconnells strategy. One seat they may mid is missouri. That our race of the day. This contest puts roy blunt against a young candidate. He is getting hit on ties to big tobacco and his relationship with lobbyist himself. Monmouth had a poll out just yesterday that has blunt clipging to a onepoint lead the closest its been all year. One thing that sets missouri apart with close races is donald trump is outperforming the Republican Senate candidate, according to monmouth, trump is winning 96 of republicans. Blunt 90 . Its no surprise, blunt is now playing to the Republican Base to the trump base actually. Joining me now to try to physical out whats going on in missouri is city star columnist steve kratz ki, it is interesting, its not a Battle Ground it could close precomey, its leaning red federal ways these days. But both the senate and governors race are incredibly competitive and democrats are surprisingsingly on the president ial level. Whats happening . Its interstate shock. By all means, outsiders are the story as they have been so much across the country. Thats the donald trump story, obviously. The outsider in the u. S. Senate race is the democrat jason kander. He isnt so much of an outsider. Hes a fouryear secretary of state, a threeterm state law maker. But hes 35yearsold and that gets him sort of a bearing continuenence of someone whos different. Someone coming at this from the outside. Roy blunt as you just mentioned, obviously, a longtime insider in missouri, a longstanding career in the u. S. House of representatives, followed up by his single term now in the u. S. Senate and if its the year of the outsider, its not a good year for someone like roy blunt, who again has been the consummate insider for so many years. So could it be that trump joe witters who are wanting to essentially throw the molotov cocktail at washington, is that why blunt is under performing trump . I think that begins to get at it and blunt being such an insider in this strange year, missouri is like this outsider thing will talk about the governors race in just a moment and in that race, the outsider is making up very strong push in a race thats virtually deadlocked here. You know the states very simple in terms of how it breaks down, chuck as you well know the two big things go democratic. The rest of the state is bright red on the election map. Its looking very red now in our state missouri that monmouth poll had trump up by 14 points, chuck. Let me just ask you this, this one out question. Which is i guess i feel like missouri is becoming a more reliable state on the president ial level. But clearly it still is competitive down the ballot. Is that something, is that a, is that a statement about the state Democratic Party and the state Republican Party . Is this simply a coincidence or a black swan type thing . What is happening below the radar here . Chuck, its a statement, on the missouri Republican Party. Republicans are getting decimated cycle after cycle by these very competitive primaries weve had out here, including the one this year for governor on the republican side a fourway, very strong four candidates fighting it out in the primary here. And those primaries have been under cutting, under mining republican candidates state wide, now, going back a number of years. Theyve got to figure that out going forward, as has been the case in so many states, the democrats are the disciplined ones, now, suddenly in missouri. Well, it sound like whats happening in missouri inside the Republican Party is similar to whats happening here in washington inside the Republican Party. Steve kratzee, good to see you. Thank you, shair. Up next, why im obsessed with the number 7. Stay tuned. [beeping] take on any galaxy with a car that could stop for you. Simulation complete. The new nissan rogue. Rogue one a star wars story. In theaters december 16th. Now, tonight my exception is with the sevengame series. Obviously, the most thrilling way to wrap up any championship. What if anything could be decided the way . How about a best of seven . Never mind, seriously, cominging off the excitement of the nail biting world series game. I have been obsessed with trying to figure out, who should we credit with the genius of game seven. Who invented the sevengame series. The answer, one of the original National Team owners of the then new york giants, john t. Brush. The format was one of the socalled brush rules adopted in 1905 after he blocked the championship games, at the time he refused his giants who played boston, because he thought the American League was inferia, duh, still is. The next year under his rule, his team played the philadelphia athletics in the second world series. Giants won in game five. First series to actually go to brushs sevengame ending was in 1909. Pittsburgh pirates beat the Detroit Tigers in their first championship of the mlb era. A decade later, there was a brief flirtation with a ninegame series. It lasted three years. Probably for the best. I dont think chicago or cleveland fans could have handled even more games and certainly not chatman or andrew millers, their arms are about to fall off. Anyways, thank you, mr. Brush, for game seven. Well be right back. Hillary clinton im Hillary Clinton and i approve this message. Vo in times of crisisy leadership. Donald trump knock the crap out of them, would you . Seriously. Vo clear thinking. Donald trump i know more about isis than the generals do, believe me. Vo and calm judgment. Donald trump and you can tell them to go fu k themselves. Vo because all it takes is one wrong move. Donald trump audio only i would bomb the sh t out of them. Vo just one. Welcome back to the lid. The panel is back. Nancy gibbs, al carllenas. I was really intrigued today by something from Mitch Mcconnell. We do not have footage of it, but he was campaigning across the state of kentucky last night and basically gave whais for mcconnell, his first real endorsement of trump. Hes always said hes going to vote for him, but he said this. We need a new president. Donald trump to be the most powerful republican in america. You know, nancy, hes this is Mitch Mcconnell, who has not been comfortable with trump the whole time, i think, has always viewed him as the guy whos going to cost him his Senate Majority leader title, now he thinks, maybe the only shot of keeping that title is to embrace him. And if he keeps it, maybe, in fact, hell be the most powerful republican and he may be thinking that way. What i think hes thinking is he doesnt like the idea of being a Senate Minority leader. And the way to keep a majority is to have donald trump do better in a number of states, where the fault line is such that our candidates may not win it makes sense, politically. You look at the segment i just did about missouri. Blunt is underperforming trump. And you look at, you know, pat toomey is in a box, because he needs those philly suburbs, but needs a big turnout. Blunt, i think, is underperforming, because hes viewed as the establishment candidate. That is a more republican state. And mcconnell, i think, is desperate to get on the change and any establishment bandwagon. Good luck. But im curious, al, because youve been, you know, pretty nevertrump. And you have some others. And then theres been this late sort of, okay, lets embrace trump. But if he loses, do all these people what do they do with the stand of trump now . You know, it depends on trump. Talking about this tv he might do, he might want to lead the effort to take over the rnc and other state parties. Folks are talking about that. At one point, i thought, you know, he kind of banished, because hell lose by five, six, seven points. Doesnt seem to be the case. I think this election may get a little closer. I dont know if we can get above 230 votes. Thats whats interesting. Suddenly im with you, al, i think a lot of republicans who thought they were getting ready the to rebuild the party, your mitt romney and ryans, trump world believes they should not only have a seat at that table, but run the table. They should be the builders. If thats what they want to do. The theory about, they have a completely different plan. We have absolutely no way of knowing. This is not a team that has been laying that groundwork for decades. So, its hard to say. He consider every step, every breath he takes, trump seems to be reducing the coalition. I mean, its rousing a base, but its not building in new voters and new coalitions. But who will own this somebody if trump walks away, somebody is still going to represent this piece. I think therell be a civil war. This is conventional wisdom. I think therell be a civil war. I think paul ryan will preside over a much more extreme husk of a house. Youre assuming ryan can get the votes to be speaker. Which i dont know. I think the senate is vital for Hillary Clinton. I mean, she will be one of the few firstterm democratic president s to come in without control of the house and the senate. And if shes going to be able to govern, shes going to need a senate to take back a court and maybe executive actions, as obama learned in the second term, because Mitch Mcconnell wanted to take him down, day one. Well, george h. W. Bush is the last firstterm president to come in with having the party, the other Party Controlling both. That does make your first term hard. Yeah, it does. Because, frankly, 70 of what you get to do, you do in the First Six Months of your first year in office. And george h. W. Bush was a oneterm president. And it also depends on what Chuck Schumer thinks about Nuclear Options and other tactics in the senate. Oh, i think were headed the to a nuclear option, no matter what. Lets hope were not headed to nuclear war. Thats a different discussion. Thats a different discussion. Well leave it there. You guys are great. Nancy, al, katrina, good to see you all. After the break, the state to watch next tuesday night or maybe wednesday morning, heres a hint. I cannot see it from my house. Stay tuned. When it comes to healthcare, seconds can mean the difference between life and death. For partners in health, time is life. We have 18,000 people around the world. The microsoft cloud helps our entire staff stay connected and Work Together in real time to help those that need it. The ability to collaborate changes how we work. What we do together changes how we live. With another new flavor you never saw coming. Grilled, glazed korean bbq shrimp. And try as much as you want of flavors like new parmesan peppercorn shrimp. Just come in before it ends. Ive never liked marijuana. But im voting yes on prop 64 to legalize marijuana for adults 21 and over. It has important safeguards for families, like strict product labeling and childproof packaging of all marijuana products. And banning edibles that would appeal to a child. Raising a teenager, that regulated system makes a lot more sense than what we have now. Plus, 64 taxes marijuana to Fund Priorities like afterschool programs. Personally, marijuanas not for me. But my minds made up. Im voting yes on 64. Well, in case you missed it, there might be a sleeper tossup state, one that will probably get called once we probably all go to sleep too early on election night, its alaska. Thats right, alaska. Could it be a closely contested state this year . Lets make the case. The last frontier has only voted democratic once since achieving statehood in 1959. But hear me out. Heres why alaska could be competitive this cycle. First of all, native alaskans make up 15 of the states population and the states largest native organization endorsed Hillary Clinton. Its the groups firstever political endorsement. Two, another demographic note. About 25 of White Alaskans do have college degrees. More than in ohio and iowa. That would be a positive potentially for clinton. Next, both the Trump Campaign and the Johnson Campaign missed the deadline to get their biographies in the voter pamphlet that gets sent to every single registered voter. Thats right, donald trump forgot that. So their information is only on the online version, but not what came into houses. And the third party vote could matter in alaska bigtime this year. Vp nominee bill weld stumped for his running mate last week in anchorage. Polls have had johnson as high as 18 last month. And a live telephone poll last week had clinton up in alaska by four points. Folks, were not ready to throw alaska into the tossup pile, we have it in lean republican for now. But were telling you the state might be worth staying up late on tuesday night wednesday morning just to check it out. Could be interesting. Thats all we have for tonight. With all due respect, though, starts right now. Im john heilemann. And im mark halperin. With all due respect to people out there making political predictions, you aint got nothing on this guy. Sure as god made green apples, some day, the chicago cubs are going to be in the world series. That may be sooner than we think