Here. Ive been through it. Weve talked about it on the news. We want to focus on, obviously, pennsylvania, where Hillary Clinton, according to your poll, leads donald trump 49 to 38 . Not anymore. Yes, and we will get to that. Well get to that. You see the sampling error there. And well just throw out some more information. Here are some subgroups of where theres big support between the two candidates. Big lead with clinton with white women in pennsylvania, and, after that, we will also see that the unfavorability of both candidates is pretty high, but clinton is 52 . Trump is 62 , trump 10 points higher in that. Whats the Biggest Surprise that youve found in all of this . Well, i think the Biggest Surprise was that, for the clinton campaign, its all about the southeast. Its all about the four suburban counties and philadelphia. 1 3 of the vote comes out of 5 counties. Think about that for a minute. And she leads there. And she leads there. And the race has narrowed considerably. We can talk about that. And why its narrowed has been simple. Trump is doing better among white women. She still leads. Trump is doing better in the philly burbs bucks, chester, montgomery, and delaware. Not saying hes going to win, but hes doing better. And hes doing better among the vote base that mitt romney won last year, but hillary was leading substantially among collegeeducated voters. Okay. Now, this poll was taken before the fbi announcement on Hillary Clinton. How do you think thats changed . Obviously, things have tightened in a lot of polls nationally. There are three things i want to talk about. Number one, weve gone to using the internet for about 40 of the poll, and im up front about this. This has a democratic leaning because it has a disproportionate number of voters democrats like the internet . Yeah. Okay. Well, no. Yeah. They tend to be younger and they tend to be more liberal, so im up front about that. This poll shows clinton with a bigger lead. It was about the nbc poll was 8. There was another poll at 6. We were at 11. We were above it, and i need to be up front about it. The other point i would make is republicans come home later. Okay. It tightens up before elections. Thats exactly right. All right. Whats your third point . The third point is that, among voters that really matter, were seeing a change having to do with the fbi directors letter to congress that said theyve reopened its been dripdrip for a week, and clintons been on the defensive, and one more point trump has not inserted foot in mouth. And so the race has tightened considerably, not just in pennsylvania but in many of the battleground states. Pa senate race. Yeah. Big race here in pennsylvania. Katie mcginty, the democrat, leads pat toomey 43 to 33 . There you see 22 . Right. Thats the key. Your thing with this race, terry, is that toomeys reluctance and there you have it with likely voters toomeys reluctance to say whether or not hes gonna vote for donald trump is killing him . Yeah. Well, there isnt any doubt that heres toomeys problem. Number one, he hasnt endorsed trump. He hasnt said whether hell vote for him or not. And, number two, he has said he wont vote for hillary. But heres his problem. He wants the white, workingclass voters thats trumps biggest base of support out in the southeastern part of our state and up in the northeast. These are white, workingclass voters who earned no college educations, earn about 50 grand or less. These are people who are the populist movement that trump leads outraged at the economy. They havent improved their lives. Theyre working at minimumwage jobs. Its very tough. Having said that, heres the takeaway. For toomey, he needs them, but he also needs the philadelphia suburban vote. He needs the collegeeducated suburban voters, particularly the women. And hes walking that tightrope. Terry, we could speak to you for another three hours, but we must go cause were bringing our panel next. Thanks for the poll, and good luck on election day. My pleasure. I know youre not on the ballot, but youll be working. Well be right back. Inside story is presented by temple university. Remarkable change isnt easy, but for those who take charge, it comes naturally. Explore temples impact. Visit temple. Edu impact. This is an individual who mocked a disabled reporter. I dont know what i said, ahh. Who attributed a reporters questions to her menstrual cycle. Trump blood coming out of her. Wherever. He is not a person who is equipped in temperament, judgment or character to lead our troops. Donald trump has created a toxic atmosphere pitting one group against another. Hes a mexican. Claiming a person cant do the job because of their race is sort of like the textbook definition of a racist comment. Priorities usa action is responsible for the content of this advertising. Hillary clinton im Hillary Clinton and i approve this message. Vo in times of crisis america depends on steady leadership. Donald trump knock the crap out of them, would you . Seriously. Vo clear thinking. Donald trump i know more about isis than the generals do, believe me. Vo and calm judgment. Donald trump and you can tell them to go fu k themselves. Vo because all it takes is one wrong move. Donald trump audio only i would bomb the sh t out of them. Vo just one. [ snaps fingers ] panel, appear before us, and they have. Welcome back, everyone. Lets introduce our panel of insiders here. George burrell, a nonprofit executive. Good morning, george. Morning, matt. Dom giordano, radiotalkshow host. Morning, matt. Morning, dom. Nia meeks, communications executive. Good morning. And christine flowers, attorney and journalist. Like magic. Yes. Isnt that great . Its the magic of television. All right. So, Melania Trump gave her first solo speech in berwyn, chester county, this week, saying she wants to make cyberbullying one of her top issues if she becomes first lady. Donald trump also held a rally in pennsylvania. Hillary clinton has been keeping pennsylvania in focus, as well. Planning on holding a preelection day rally tomorrow night with president obama and michelle obama. Now that we have the panel here, tell me what you think about this the sense of this hidden trump voter, okay . The shadow trump voter. And, george, you remember this back in the days of rizzo, where they would say that, you know, rizzo would be down frank rizzo, the former mayor of philadelphia hed be down by 10 to 15 before election day, and all of a sudden, he wins. And its because people were afraid of telling their neighbors that they supported rizzo, because he was a controversial mayor. Do you think that there is a hidden voter out there thats going to support donald trump thats skewing these polls . Well, i think we have a resurrection of history, and i dont ever remember rizzo being down that far. I mean, most times when he ran for mayor, he was the favorite the favorite to win. I mean, he maybe got more votes than he thought. You know, its interesting. I think that could there be a hidden vote for trump . Sure, there could be, but i think that there are many compelling reasons why theres a hidden vote for Hillary Clinton. Both of them have very high negatives, so if you dont want to say youre for donald trump because of the problems, why would you not want to say youre for Hillary Clinton if youve got to deal with the problems of hers . I think theres an issue for both of them, and i dont think and i agree with what, i think, terry said. I dont think its a significant number of people. Its not this hidden vote thats gonna rush donald trump to a major victory in this president ial election. Things have definitely tightened with this fbi thing with Hillary Clinton. I mean, that seems to be the direct driver right now. Yeah, exactly. I think this is a little bit different than the previous corruption stories in that this and then the subsequent things with comey and the Clinton Foundation and all that this has taken it to a new level, and i think republicans are looking to trump again, matt, versus independents, maybe, a little bit. I think its moving it but not moving it tremendously. You know, matt, i think the substance of what you know, the bombshell from last friday initially moved it somewhat, but i think hillarys initial reaction to it moved it more in trumps direction in the sense that it appeared as if she was attacking james comey and going after his character. Thats what happened with a lot of democrats. It was sort of like the mirror image of what happened in july, when you had republicans attacking comey for not indicting, and then you had, this time around, democrats attacking him, saying, this is timing. You know, you had harry reid walking around, mumbling things about the hatch act, the hatch act, the hatch act, so i think i think its more the optics here that it looked as if the democrats and Hillary Clinton were going after a man who, most people say, has a lot of integrity and independence, but it definitely has had some impact on the numbers. Theres an enthusiasm gap, clearly, and what ended up happening with the comey revelation, which didnt reveal anything i mean, were still waiting for the actual revelation is that it energized those people who already hate Hillary Clinton and for those people who are undecided, and i truly dont believe theres any undecideds in this election. There are just some people who dont want to admit who theyre gonna vote for. Right. What it did for them is to resurrect maybe the reasons or some part of the hillary narrative. It doesnt help her, but at the end of the day, you have to look at this in a really sober fashion, and at the end of the day, the people who are still even saying, oh, im not excited about Hillary Clinton theye because the option is not viable or tenable. The same things happening on the trump side. However, i think the numbers are still in favor of Hillary Clinton. Its gonna be a turnout game. I also i dont i think the comey issue was an iue, and i think comey was wrong in what he did, but i think the healthcare costs the momentum for donald trump started more with the dramatic increase in healthcare cost. The comey thing was just an addon. I think voters have discounted the email issue and they are idle where they are. I dont really think the comey thing had a dramatic impact. But do you think, george . Because, i mean, there was a lot. I mean, the comey issue was the sexy one that you saw all the time on the cable news. Ive heard people putting forward and saying, trump, talk about the increase in the healthcare in the premiums and everything, but i really havent seen that discussed as much. And i think thats a mistake by trump. I think the healthcare costs drive voters much more than the comey drives voters. Thats policy. Who wants to talk about policy . Thats exactly what i was gonna say. Its shocking. Pocketbook. Its pocketbook. People are opening this i think there are more undecideds out there, though. I know in my audience, theres a lot of women, particularly collegeeducated and all. They dont want to vote for either one of them. And theyre going through the throes of this almost right up to the last minute, so theyre persuadable. Lets talk about the issues at the polls. Philadelphia has found itself in the center of a lot of this argument that theres gonna be some kind of rigged election or its already been rigged. We know that a federal judge, jerry pappert, who used to be an inside story panelist here with us, struck down a state g. O. P. Request for Trump Supporters to serve as poll watchers in the state and particularly in philadelphia, and pappert was quoted as saying, no need for this judicial fire drill. Does anyone think there is going to be a significant story when it comes to intimidation at the polls or maybe something even worse, particularly in philadelphia . No, and it was unfortunate. And when we go back a few years was it about 2004 . Whenever those ragtag raggedy black folks decided to get up and say, oh, were the new black panther party, three or four people came and went on cable news, and then, suddenly, oh, my gosh its voter intimidation the blacks are coming after the poor white people that are voting it did not exist. But that narrative was able to be spun out of control to one, two different voteri. D. Issues, blah, blah, blah. I dont really truly believe that voter intimidation is going to be an issue. I dont know about where you guys vote. Where i vote, everybody at my poll knows me. They know all their voters. Theyre not really gonna stand for any people coming in and acting crazy. Theyre just not gonna do it. Theyre far too protective of their polling places. I dont think theres gonna be voter intimidation. I absolutely agree with you, and i think that the black panther thing was blown out of proportion. However, in the past couple of days, theres been evidence of possible derrydoing in my home county, Delaware County, where there has been ocratic registy traditionally republican county. Now theres information that there may have been there was an organization out of norwood in Delaware CountyFreedom Works or freedom. Org that seems to have maybe not done their you know, followed the rules in getting these registrations, and theres an investigation into that. But theyre not talking about going to Delaware County to watch the polls. Theyre talking about going to philadelphia and pittsburgh. I mean, its a dog whistle. I mean, truly, it was. Wait a minute. But there are 200 precincts or voting places in philadelphia that will not have a republican poll watcher there. By choice. By choice. Well, im not saying anybody stopped them. Not because they couldnt. But theyre welcome to be there. Well, i understand that, but, i mean, this is the reason why people get whos watching the process . Well, if theyre concerned, they should be there. I get that, but its hard finding people to go to some of these places. Thats why i think the judge was wrong and should have allowed people theyre all citizens of the commonwealth to come in and pollwatch. But theyre not going to luzerne. Theyre not going to erie. Theyre not going to certain counties. Why is it that they always have to go to where those people are . Its a dog whistle. Lets call it what it is. Well, i think, all four of you, the bottom line here is that you believe that the polls will be safe and there wont be. Shenanigans. Well, i think there will be chaos. In every tense election, there are problemmakers. There are always problem but is that gonna dramatically impact the outcome of this election . No, it is not. Right, and we always talk about this every president ial year. Every president ial election, its this. And i agree with nia. A lot of times, it is a dog whistle. I dont know if its a dog whistle in Delaware County, though. I mean, this is something that pat meehan indicated. Obviously, hes got an interest in it, but he wants an investigation. You have a process thats controlled by republicans. I mean, if they cant manage their own house i mean, they have to go in and file some piece of paper that says, i can be registered. But, george, the state tom wolfs administration theyre the ones that raided them. The state police came in. Whether they attempted to do something or not im not saying whether they did or didnt. The process by which they have to do registrations goes through a republicancontrolled entity. Lets talk about the senate race Pennsylvania Senate race. Democrat Katie Mcginty leading incumbent republican pat toomey, according to our poll that we had terry with, 43 to 33 among registered voters. And donald trump has been quite an albatross with toomey. As you know, he has refused to say who hes going to vote for, but he says he knows hes not going to vote for Hillary Clinton. So, dom, i mean, what do you think about this . Well, hey, i dont think that number, with all due respect i love terry madonna. I cant imagine Katie Mcgintys 10 points ahead. There are a lot of other polls that have it very close. Youre right. I think its very close, and i think, internally, they think its very close, and toomey is a guy whos earned this second to none. Its amazing the media has kind of turned on him and endorsed mcginty, like the enquirer. They praised him before, when we went against party lines on the guncontrol issue. So, i think its very close. If anybody can get tickets split, i think itll be pat toomey. My only worry is will the trump voters hold it against him because he hasnt said hes gonna vote for trump or endorse trump . There are so many Different Directions you can go. Thats where its a little bit weak, yeah. And the thing is that, too, as dom said, the vast majority of the polls show theres no daylight between these two particular candidates. And particularly in pennsylvania, toomey is the perfect candidate because he appeals to so many different demographics. He does appeal to women, despite what those ridiculous campaign ads about Katie Mcginty say he wants to come after your ovaries, you know, trying to he appeals to gun owners. He appeals to guncontrol advocates, like Gabby Giffords and michael bloomberg. He is a fiscal conservative, and yet, at the same time, he has that moderation. I mean, i dont want this to sound like a campaign ad for toomey. It kind of did. But where do we vote . But, but, but no. The idea that theres a 10point differential statewide . Well, do you believe, nia, george . I dont think its 10 points. I think, really, monday night will be the determinant. If monday night comes its gonna be really close. I was gonna say monday night comes. If the president and first lady, if the former first lady and former president really completely jazz up philadelphia, it could be problematic for pat toomey. I really believe its more closer to a 2to3point race, but if that turnout comes from philadelphia as it relates to what happens tomorrow night, pat toomey may have a big issue. But the fact is that most elections tend to break at some point in time. If Katie Mcginty if shes 2 or 3 points ahead today, its gonna be really hard for toomey to catch up to her unless theres some republican surge. Its not gonna be a pat toomey surge, and my friend christine conspicuously left out africanamericans, latinos, and minorities. Why would they be negative to toomey . But he hasnt alienated them. Because he has. How, george . He has no re let me take a deep breath. He has no record of affirmatively addressing it because hes ignored the community. He has had no record of addressing issues that impact the Africanamerican Community or the Latino Community directly. Gun control . Gun control crossing the aisle . Poverty, gentrification, jobs, not gun control. What has mcginty done . Dont talk to me about mcginty. Were talking about toomey. Hes done nothing. Ive never seen him in an africanamerican church. Ive never seen him in the Africanamerican Community. Ive never seen him surrounded by africanamericans on his staff and in his leadership team. Ive never seen him at an event. Im sorry. Hes reached out to all demographics. Maybe one thing that might prevent people from supporting Katie Mcginty is her inexperience in Elective Office, and its a big jump going to the senate. What would you say to that . I mean, at this stage, it really is about momentum and its about tailwind, right . If she gets on the coattails of Hillary Clinton and if Hillary Clinton really pushes pennsylvania, Katie Mcginty likely will be elected. Yeah, but theres a qualification, though. Hows she qualify . Yeah, because shes seen as a shadow. I get the ticketsplitting and i get the qualification issues. Shes a smart person, and just like before pat toomey went into office, he was a smart person, so the qualification issue he was a congressman. He had a record. He had something. Shes never been elected to anything. Every single job shes had, shes had handed on a platter. Right, but she has served a very specific leadership. But most people in Elective Office who go into the next job are not prepared for it, whether theyve been a mayor, a council president. Each job is different. Lets talk about the delaware governors race really quickly, because theres Something Interesting going on here. University of delaware poll found this race is not a race. [ chuckles ] the survey had Democrat John carney at 57 and republican colin bonini at 25 . The last elected republican governor of delaware i know there was one after him, but the last elected republican governor of delaware was michael castle, who served until 1992, which was 24 years ago. Right. The legislature is run by democrats in delaware. What has happened to republicans in delaware . Its a democrat state, and what happened was whatshername odonnell, yes. Well, i was gonna actually bring that up. And im a tea party guy, but when you put someone in there denying whether shes a witch or not, among other things, i think thats a problem. You really think that was what broke the dam . I think it did, because they had republicans who could win, like castle. One time hes a congressman. The next time hes a governor. They switched job. And carper i dont know what that guy does, but anyhow hes a senator now. Hes a senator now. He was a governor, though. Right . They switched jobs. But i think there was a break there that got them, and a guy like coons is perfect for a delaware. Hes liberal enough, but hes a reasonable guy. Hes like pat toomey on the other side. Thats what he reminds me of. Okay. Any other comments, real quick, on delaware . My only focus on delaware is lisa bluntochester, an africanamerican woman running for United States congress. Who may end up being governor, the way they switch jobs. Right. Exactly. Can i say one quick thing about the odonnell person, whose first name was christine . She was actually she was palinized. I mean, the way that they treated her oh, no. We differ on that, christine. No. No, no, no. I think she was very unfairly treated. Whether or not you agreed with her, whether or not you thought she should have been elected, i mean, she was they were doing to her what they did to melania the other day. Melania wasnt supposed to talk about online bullying because of her husband. I mean, give me a break. That was clearly ironic right there. You know, in context. But, seriously, i mean, were gonna talk about online bullying we need to stop this maybe roll over the pillow and maybe you can start there . But you know what . The online bullying was crazy because they were saying [slovenian accent] oh, we cannot understand her. Like, listen to her. She not talk right. I get you, but, you know, Christine Odonnell i dont have enough time to go around the table, so maybe whoever wants to jump in first jump ball what yeah. Here it comes. [ laughs ] whats gonna happen on november 9th. A lot of people are gonna have. Regardless of who wins . A massive hangover november 9th. Okay. So, drink water. [ laughs ] and take an advil. Yeah, thats gonna work. You have a United States congressman who has said, if Hillary Clinton gets elected president of the United States, i have two years worth of investigation that im going to be doing as a congressman. Is that what people want . Okay. Well, that does happen regardless of who wins . Is the investigation gonna begin right away . Yeah, exactly. I mean, i think people will try to impeach trump if he wins. Without a doubt, i think youll see a moment with that. Theyre gonna point out all the trials and the if trump wins, the senate, the house is probably gonna remain republican. Do you think a Republican Congress would well, but, i mean, democrats are very good, even when theyre a minority, of pushing it. There will be a lawsuit. There will yeah. Plus, have you heard the republicans . Theyre not particularly thrilled with trump, either. Ive not heard any jargon in the Democratic Community about impeaching donald trump if he gets elected president of the United States. Well be right back. I alone can fix it bomb the [bleep] out of em. Id like to punch him in the face. I like people that werent captured, okay . Hes a mexican she ate like a pig. I moved on her like a [bleep] i did not say that. I love war. Yes, including with nukes. Blood coming out of her. Theyre rapists. Wrong. There has to be some form of punishment. Such a nasty woman. I wanna be unpredictable. On 5th avenue and shoot somebody. Shes a slob. I dont remember and you can tell them to go [bleep] themselves priorities usa action is responsible for the content of this advertising. Inside story is presented by temple university. Remarkable change isnt easy, but for those who take charge, it comes naturally. Explore temples impact. Visit temple. Edu impact. Round table of inside stories of the week, starting with george. I love my republican fries who talk about politics in terms of values. I remember when chief justice roberts, kind of the strict constructionist, the darling of the republicans, once he decided twice that the constitution protected the Affordable Care act, he all of a sudden became a villain. Thank you, george. Dom . Well, my inside story involves something all these wikileaks and all the stuff back and forth to beware of. New york times big report loved it. Watch out if you have a smart home light bulbs and everything else. They can be hacked into. Want to scare people on election eves. Thank you, dom. Nia . Im looking at another really hot senate race this one is in california where attorney general Kamala Harris is actually poised to be the next u. S. Senator from california, first africanamerican woman from that state and the second in the senate. That would be powerful. Thank you, nia. Christine . Matt, in a couple of days, were gonna be home clear, home free, and all this dissension and hatreds gonna quell down, and i know that because the other night when i was watching television and the cubs won after 108 years of a drought, there was this ecumenical bipartisan. Hurrah so, congratulations, cubs. So, everyones voting, right . Of course. Im voting, too. I mean, some people say they dont want to vote, but i think you really should. A patriot and a citizen. Yeah, thats your responsibility. Thats inside story. Election day tuesday. Well see you later. Im gray hall, coming up next on action news, the race for the white house crisscrosses the state. Police look for a hitandrun driver who killed a woman in north philadelphia. Those stories and the exclusive accuweather sevenday forecast next on action news. Thank so much for joining us, sunday, november 6. Nydia han is off. Heres some of the stories were working on on action news, battleground pennsylvania, candidates target the state as latest abc poll shows a very tight race. Plus a sleeping woman is injured after she is hit by a stray bullet. And the