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Wind and solar will keep electricity market prices low, but headwinds grow for gas

7 May 2021 In our latest Australian Electricity Outlook (AEO) for the National Electricity Market (NEM), published on Thursday, we present our expectations for LGC and wholesale electricity price development in each region of the NEM over both medium-term (four years) and long-term horizons (20 years). Modelling considers a Central Case for electricity price development in line with RepuTex’s view of the current transition of the energy industry and market drivers, along with an Alternative Case reflecting AEMO’s “Step Change” shift to renewable energy, accounting for faster coal closures, technological improvements and more aggressive action on climate change in line with a “well below 2°C” Paris climate commitment (to achieve net-zero emissions prior to 2050).

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