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Economic recovery stumbles, setting stage for sustained low interest rates

NEW DELHI: India’s economy showed signs of cooling in June as the slow easing of localised lockdowns hurt activity, a factor likely to encourage monetary policy makers meeting next week to consider keeping interest rates at record lows to foster a durable recovery. Contractions in both manufacturing and services sectors, which contribute more than two-thirds of India’s gross domestic product, pulled the needle on an overall activity indicator to 5 from 6, a level not seen since February and the first downward shift since May 2020 data. The gauge uses a three-month weighted average to smooth out volatility, and a move left signifies loss of momentum.

Reserve Bank Of India May Maintain Low Interest Rates As Economic Recovery Slows Down

A contraction in services sector deepened as localized curbs to control the virus hurt demand India s economy showed signs of cooling in June as the slow easing of localized lockdowns hurt activity, a factor likely to encourage monetary policy makers meeting next week to consider keeping interest rates at record lows to foster a durable recovery. Contractions in both manufacturing and services sectors, which contribute more than two-thirds of India s gross domestic product, pulled the needle on an overall activity indicator to 5 from 6, a level not seen since February and the first downward shift since May 2020 data. The gauge uses a three-month weighted average to smooth out volatility, and a move left signifies loss of momentum.

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