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If you look in 96, roughly when president clinton signed the defense of marriage act and over time we saw that issue shift incredibly, the first civil unions at the state level in 2000, a federal ban proposed as recently as 2004 on marriage equality by president bush. and obama and clinton for both for political reasons, didnt support marriage equality when they ran in 08. they both changed and most extraordinarily and most rarely, the president came out and said he was wrong essentially to sign...

2012. there are a few vacancies, though. they need to pick up 17 seats. this looks like it could be doable. why? because there are 36 seats where the president either won or got 48% or better that are currently held by republican members of congress. so you look at it and its doable. there is an interesting canary in the coal mine, if you will. were going to have a special election in the 13th district. long-time congressman just passed away. there is going to be a special probably january, febr...

Strategists say in 2014? lets go back to the model of 06, 08, and 12. pushing on obama care, thats risky. no, no, no. keep your head down and well win races. thats not how you win races. thats based on the oh, so clever idea that if your opponent is here in the spectrum, you want to be infan test mally to their right so you can capture every voter where you are. the problem is if you do that, you destroy any reason everyone has to show up and vote. >> i think i just heard the barry goldwater ant...

Lets go back to the model of 06, 08, and 12. keep your head down and win races. thats not how you win races. thats based on the idea that if your opponent is here, you want to be to the right so that you can capture every marginal voter up to where they are. the problem is if you do that, you destroy every single reason anyone has to show up. >> dont miss this jab from a guy who may give cruz competition. if he decides to run, this is what former presidential candidate and caucus winner said whe...

There are a few vacancies, though. they need to pick up 17 seats. this looks like it could be doable. why? because there are 36 seats where the president either won or got 48% or better that are currently held by republican members of congress. so you look at it and its doable. there is an interesting canary in the coal mine, if you will. were going to have a special election in the 13th district. long-time congressman just passed away. there is going to be a special probably january, february, ...

Were going to have a special election in the 13th district. long-time congressman just passed away. there is going to be a special probably january, february, march, something like this. bush carried it in 04, obama carried in 08 and 12. if democrats cant win a seat like that, then they wont control the incumbents. this is shutdown fodder. what happens if the health care rollout continues to be a debacle? this gets wiped out. coming up here, taking the fall. should anyone in the administration...

>> right. >> well, that process started back in 07, 08. and then if you remember, they gave the current attorney general the ball and allowed him to decide to bring him here for trial. he was going to bring him to new york. >> so who had their hands on this, the cia? >> well, the cia initially had their hands on him. in 06, he went to the guantanamo, which is run by the defense department. at that point, after a change in administration, the authority was given to -- for a while, to the attorney...

Failed. it happens at the state and local level too. new york city had city time, about a half a billion dollar project that ended up with some indictments. the state of california has a docketing system thats $2 billion and -- >> clay, there was this one moment where it seemed like that wasnt going to be happening and that is during the obama 08 and the obama 2012 elections, those campaigns seemed so nimble when it came to technology, not only the use of kind of social media and new technologie...

The falls. the call comes in on march 19th, 2003, 5:08 p.m. sergeant pat moriarty is on duty. hes a 19-year veteran of the niagara falls state park police. >> our radio man yelled down the hall and said, we just got a call from the canadians. theres a man on the ice at terrapin point. >> not a safe place to be. terrapin point is a piece of land that sits as close to the falls as you can get. >> the drop from that point, at terrapin point, is over 180 feet straight down. if you go over in that pa...

So that special is going to be our oh big canary in the coal mine. look at the things where democrats and their house results over previous years. a few things i want to throw up here. this is what they netted after the last shutdown, thanks to special elections and different things. they won about nine seats overall in 96 after the fact. so they netted seats after the shutdown, but it wasnt enough at that time to gain control. it was really nine, but, again, you play around the numbers, and you...