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Layoffs could spike as one labor-market indicator says a recession is already here, market forecaster says

Headline job growth has been strong recently, but commentators have pointed to mixed signals in the data suggesting a less rosy picture.

David rosenbergFederal reserveNational bureau of economic researchQuill intelligence researchDanielle dimartinoNational bureauEconomic researchDavid lin reportGreat financial crisisUnemployment rateDanielle dimartino booth2008 recessionLabor market

The stock market is looking a lot like it did before the dot-com and 08 crashes, top economist says

"I don't find speculative manias a turn-on and in my personal finances, I avoid them like the plague," economist David Rosenberg writes.

David rosenbergRosenberg researchWall streetNifty fiftyMagnificent sevenRichard bernstein advisorsStock marketBull market2008 recessionSpeculative maniaRosenberg researchNew york stock exchange

The inventor of the market s most famous recession indicator says 3 factors will ensure a coming downturn isn t too painful

"Given the track record of the yield indicator, it is with great peril to ignore it," Campbell Harey wrote for Research Affiliates.

United statesCampbell harveyFederal reserveDuke universityResearch affiliatesFed funds2008 recessionHousing marketInverted yield curveHe fedLabor demand

Stock Market Indicator: Investors Feeling the Most Bullish Since 2007

Investors are feeling the most optimistic about stocks in nearly 17 years, according to one stock market sentiment gauge.

Mi exclusiveStock marketStock market indicatorStock market sentiment2008 recessionStock market crashRecession outlookEcession outlook 2024Dow jones industrial averageYale school of management

Bond Market Enters New World, Rewriting Rules on What Drive Yields up

Popular theory says the supply of bonds doesn't affect yields. "But that is not the state of the world we are in today."

United kingdomTomasz wieladekTerms of serviceMi exclusiveBond yieldsS debt2008 recession10 year yieldEd rate hikesFitch downgrade

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