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2006 was the last democratic mid-term wave year, and even then they didnt have an advantage, it was no difference in terms of turnout. >> exactly, so when we are looking at the house forecast i have pretty decent faith in this, and democrats gained a seat since yesterday, 226 to 209 and democrats right now, as we have been saying all along, look favored to take back the house. >> do you know about early voting? >> yeah, its indicative of a higher turnout. we dont know how they are turning out. i...

>> forecast. >> so lets go to the forecast for the house. this has pretty much stayed basically the same, no change. democrats still favored 226, republicans at 209. you need 218 for a majority. >> hold on a second. i have a question. >> yes. >> is this staying the same because you are not polling or because its that steady? >> its that steady. we will get to that -- well, you know, lets just go right here. not changing slot. so this is one of the main drivers, the national environment of whats ...

>> yes, they do and thats something we should keep in mind. if the gap were reversed and lets say democrats are doing exceedingly well among men as compared to women their margin would be two points less. so this could be the difference between them winning and losing the had a us. >> keep your eye on this in the next two weeks. lets talk about your current house forecast. >> its the same as it was yesterday, sorry, its a little bit boring, im going to say hello to you both again. >> too close. ...

Didnt touch him. 226 to 209. again, close, but democrats have a clear eupblg. one thing i want to point out, and thats that i want to look at the best case democrat in the house to the best case gop. its a gap of 34 seats here, and if you take the number of the gop, thats only -- can we do the math together -- >> 16. >> thats 23 seats. >> i was told there would be no math. >> i was just grabbing a number. >> what i am saying here is theres a much longer tail, and democrats can do better than rep...

Accomplished but the way she accomplished that work the grace, dignity. the america first way she went about her work. remember when she raised her hand, she presided over historic back-to-back unanimous votes against i believe it was russia or north korea at the time. those were significant. with her at the table, this president has been able to splish so much on the world stage. we are all grateful and shell be missed. brian: kellyanne, in your prior life and new life you look at polls all the...

Delay, demolish and destroy. democrats have become totally unhinged. you dont hand matches to an arsonist. and you dont give power to an angry left wing mob. and thats what the democrats have become. [cheers] >> they would turn our country so fast into venezuela. and venezuela is not doing too well, folks. in just four weeks, you will have the chance to render your verdict on the democrats outrageous conduct. on november 6th. brian: and before the kavanaugh hearings they thought 209 seats in the...

Outline to it all. >> and because its trump world, i assume if there is anything interesting at all about the timing, somebody will start leaking about it in three, two, one. >> exactly, exactly. >> thank you. >> thank you, rachel. well, on this tuesday night we are now exactly -- and i mean exactly four weeks away on a tuesday night from an election in which todays polling news is very, very good news for the democrats. now, its only todays polling news so we dont know how long this is going ...

Wave election that the latest polling indicates could be developing across the country. a new report from politico finds that the number of seats in the house of representatives that are solidly democratic or leaning democratic is now up to 209. if democrats won all of those seats, they would then need to win only 9 of the currently 26 toss-up races in order to win back the house of representatives. the democrats chances of doing that have never looked better than they look tonight. a new cnn po...

Alleged victims like dr. ford. its talked about like you have to be in one way or the other. sometimes you can drive down the center, i think, with your position. i want to ask morgan, really quickly -- what gets you to the polls more, do you think? anger, gratitude, joy? if? pure energy? is it like an energizer bunny commercial? you talk about what drives the people actually to the polls. in the polling booth. >> morgan: you are right, the motivators for the midterm are very different from the ...

>> tonight that prediction is stronger than ever, 30 to 40 seats the democrats will pick up in the house of representatives. its four weeks exactly before the fall midterm election. and thats what the democrats are headed for, 30 to 40 seats. politicos latest ratings suggest the republicans in the house is crumbling now. there are now 209 seats either firmly or leaning in the democratic column. just nine shy of the 218 the party needs to wrest away control of the chamber. president trump and rep...